Blast off for SpaceX?

12 Jun 2026 · 52 min · 25 chapters

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In short

Wake Up To Money covers the 2026 World Cup build-up (ticket prices and fan travel costs), SpaceX’s imminent NASDAQ listing and valuation, AI’s impact on business and UK energy needs for data centres, oil-price volatility tied to US-Iran tensions, gold’s recent pullback, and UK defence spending turmoil after resignations.

Guests (backgrounds)

  • David Hall, UK Managing Director at Brita (water filter manufacturer).
  • Ella Good, Head of Fixed Income and Co-Head of Real Return at Newton Investments.
  • Shelley and Horne, economist/partner at S&W (accountancy firm).
  • Andy Thomas, CEO of Cohort (parent of seven UK defence tech SMEs).
  • Elizabeth Duggan, CEO of parkrun.

Key claims

  • SpaceX IPO: valuation about $1.8T; raised $75B at $135/share; partly justified by Starlink broadband revenue (~$11B) and long-term optimism despite limited proven future revenue.
  • AI: firms are using copilots early; UK AI growth depends on reliable grid power and electricity costs for data centres.
  • Oil: refinery capacity constraints could keep prices higher “for longer” if conflict escalates.
  • Defence: resignation letters cite underfunding; delays in the Defence Investment Plan threaten small defence contractors.
  • parkrun: one millionth event; volunteer-led model funded roughly by commercial partnerships, retail, and grants/donations.

Notable examples

Hamish Husband’s Scotland fan trip to Toronto; Brita staff using Copilot for email productivity and “personal coach” conversations; Cohort’s 20-year joint training tender delayed; parkrun’s start in Bushy Park with 13 runners, now 23 countries and ~700 events celebrating.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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World Cup Excitement

0:00 to 1:02

Discussion of the World Cup's kickoff and its impact on fans and spending.

“This BBC podcast is supported by ads outside the UK.”

World Cup Excitement

2:45 to 4:54

Discussion of the World Cup's kickoff and its impact on fans and spending.

“It's just coming up to five minutes past five.”

SpaceX IPO Overview

4:54 to 6:36

Exploring the upcoming SpaceX IPO and its potential market impact.

“It is, though, I think at this point in the tournament, it is more about the excitement, isn't it?”

Unique Aspects of SpaceX's IPO

6:36 to 9:46

Analysis of the unique factors surrounding SpaceX's IPO and revenue expectations.

“And that would give a stock market value to the company of$1.77 trillion.”

Market Implications of SpaceX IPO

9:46 to 14:00

Examining the implications of SpaceX's IPO on the broader market and investor sentiment.

“But what's very, very interesting is that it started as a rocket business.”

Elon Musk and IPOs: Market Dynamics

14:00 to 14:40

Discussion on the implications of Elon Musk's IPO promises and market reactions.

“And I think a lot of people will be hoping that Elon Musk does live up to his promises.”

AI and Business Confidence

14:40 to 15:40

Exploration of AI's influence on business operations and productivity.

“You do have to sell some of your existing holdings, you know, to raise some capital.”

AI Implementation at Brita

15:40 to 18:50

David Hall discusses how Brita is integrating AI into their business processes.

“organisation, access to co-pilots, so the ChatGPT engine behind that.”

Energy Supply and AI's Future

18:50 to 22:00

Discussion on the importance of energy supply in the context of AI growth in the UK.

“It's more about making them better in the roles that they're doing or potentially enabling them to do some other things that in the past they couldn't do.”

Productivity Trends with AI

22:00 to 23:20

Examination of productivity trends due to AI in startups and established businesses.

“Yes, I think the argument on productivity is certainly a positive one, right?”
Show all 25 chapters

The Impact of Oil Prices

23:20 to 26:00

Analysis of the influence of geopolitical events on oil prices and market stability.

“Let's talk about a different energy story.”

Investor Sentiment and Market Reactions

26:00 to 28:06

Discussion on how investors are reacting to news related to oil and geopolitical events.

“Are sort of energy costs and energy prices things that you're looking at nervously as an organisation?”

Market Reactions to Headlines

28:06 to 29:04

Learn how investors are reacting to market volatility and headlines.

“Are investors still responding to his comments with the same kind of sentiment or are they maybe starting to think we have to wait and see what actually happens?”

Transition to Defence Spending Chat

29:04 to 29:18

The hosts prepare to discuss defence spending after a brief news update.

“And this is normally the point where we say thank you and goodbye to our economists.”

AI and Market Sentiment

29:18 to 30:48

The hosts discuss listener messages regarding AI and market sentiment.

“Let's just hit a couple of your messages, though, on AI.”

Upcoming Discussions on AI and Parkrun

31:26 to 32:24

The hosts set up discussions about AI and celebrate Parkrun's achievements.

“If you're just joining us on Wake Up To Money, then welcome to Almost The Weekend.”

Defence Spending Resignations

32:24 to 35:54

Analysis of recent resignations in the defence sector and their implications.

“You can send me a WhatsApp message on 08085 909693.”

Impacts of Fiscal Constraints on Defence

35:54 to 39:24

Discussion on the tight fiscal environment affecting defence spending decisions.

“Dip, of course, being the defence investment plan that we're discussing.”

Defence Industry Perspectives

39:24 to 42:08

Insights from the defence industry on government spending commitments.

“lot of wriggle room and then that leads them on to sort of difficult decisions around welfare and taxation as well and where those trade-offs are.”

UK Defence Spending Concerns

42:08 to 43:51

Discussing the current state of UK defense spending and its implications.

“And I mean, especially if you look at the Nordic countries, the Baltic countries, Germany and Poland, where there is a real recognition that we're facing a very new and dangerous situation.”

Balancing Business and Government Requests

43:51 to 44:18

Understanding the challenges businesses face in requesting government support.

“Andy Thomas is Chief Executive of Cohort, which, as I said, is the parent company of seven small to medium defence tech firms.”

Gold Market Trends and Implications

44:18 to 46:49

Analyzing the recent decline in gold prices and investor behavior.

“Lots of businesses are asking for lots of different tax breaks or help to allow them to grow and to invest.”

Parkrun's Global Impact and Future Plans

47:52 to 52:45

Exploring Parkrun's growth, funding, and community outreach initiatives.

“Park Runners across the world will mark a milestone tomorrow as it celebrates its one millionth event.”

Unique Parkrun Experiences

52:45 to 53:59

Sharing heartwarming stories from Parkrun participants and their experiences.

“room there for us to reach out further and so this is a key moment for us to do that.”

Unique Parkrun Experiences

56:02 to 56:25

Sharing heartwarming stories from Parkrun participants and their experiences.

“You'll reach the right buyers because you can target by company, industry, job title, and more.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00This BBC podcast is supported by ads outside the UK.

0:29CFO. LinkedIn has a word for that. Bull spend. Now you can invest in what looks good to your CFO. LinkedIn ads generates the highest ROAS of all major ad networks. You'll reach the right buyers because you can target by company, industry, job title, and more. So cut the bull spend. Advertise on LinkedIn, the network that works for you. Spend$250 on your first campaign on LinkedIn ads and get a 250 credit for the next one. Just go to linkedin.com slash broadcast. That's linkedin.com slash broadcast. Terms and conditions apply. Host unforgettable backyard barbecues with savings from Whole Foods Market.

1:14Get the good times going with made-in-house chicken or pork sausages and ready to cook kebabs for hassle-free flavor. Grab tasty flatbreads and their new balsamic chicken salad in the prepared foods department. Keep things fresh with organic red cherries, strawberries and peaches at their peak. And stock up on bug sprays and sun care must-haves. Make your summer sizzle at Whole Foods Market. Wake Up To Money from BBC Five Live.

1:44Felicity Hannah:Hello, welcome to Wake Up To Money, the 2026 World Cup kicks off.

2:00Felicity Hannah:Oh yes it is but the build-up hasn't been without controversy especially when it comes to prices. We'll hear from a Scottish fan who has spent thousands making the journey over the pond. Then away from the football, SpaceX is just hours away from hitting public markets for the first time. It's targeting an eye-watering$1.8 trillion valuation, which doesn't mean at least to make those World Cup tickets sound cheaper. Our Friday panel will be here to make sense of it. And from 13 runners in a local park to a global phenomenon, we'll be speaking to the boss of Parkrun as it marks its one millionth event this weekend.

2:39Wake Up To Money with Felicity Hanna.

2:42Felicity Hannah:Very good morning to you. Welcome to Wake Up To Money. Welcome to Friday. It's the 12th of June. It's just coming up to five minutes past five. There is so much to talk about in the next hour. But it's not just me talking. I want to hear from you, as always, on the show. Get in touch with your thoughts on everything we're discussing, from the SpaceX IPO, the World Cup ticket prices, even whether you want to tell us how you would fund defence spending. We'll be chatting about that after about half past five. What taxes would you hike? What spending you would cut? But we're also going to be talking parkrun just before six.

3:15Felicity Hannah:So I would love your park run stories this morning or maybe your other other stories of how you exercise for free and for fun. Get in touch. You know the drill. You can text me on 85058. You can send me a WhatsApp message on 08085 909693. And if you're on social media, use the hashtag wake up to money and I will keep an eye on that. I will also be keeping an eye on our Friday panel. Joining me this morning are David Hall, UK Managing Director at the water filter manufacturer Britta. morning David. Good morning Felicity. Also joining us Ella Good, Head of Fixed Income and Co-Head of Real Return at Newton Investments.

3:52Felicity Hannah:Morning Ella. Good morning. And Shelley and Horne, economist and partner at the accountancy firm S &W. Good morning. Morning. Right, all three of you there but I want you to just sit tight because while there's lots of exciting business news to talk about, there is also the fact that the World Cup is now underway and after Mexico secured a 2-0 victory against South Africa in the first game of the tournament last night. The penalty area down to our right, where Williams plays it out. South Africa lose possession. Chance for Quinones! Right foot, back of the net. Julian Quinones sends the Azteca Stadium into Raptors.

4:35Felicity Hannah:It's the excitement, isn't it? I'm going to start doing the economics news that way. That was Mexico's Julian Canoas taking an early lead, scoring the opening goal. In the last few minutes, South Korea beat the Czech Republic 2-1. In the run-up to this tournament, though, of course, we've had some excitement about the football. But we have spoken a lot about exactly what it's costing England and Scotland fans who are heading over there this week. It is, though, I think at this point in the tournament, it is more about the excitement, isn't it? as fans pile onto flights to take them over the pond.

5:09Felicity Hannah:And here is Hamish Husband, friend of Wake Up To Money, Tartan Army veteran, who was halfway to Toronto when he sent us this message. Hello, here we are, the Tartan Army flight to Toronto, halfway to Boston, flying over the Atlantic. And I must admit, I would say 50 % of the flight is Scotland fans slightly disappointed in the lack of kilts. Perhaps they are in luggage below. Everybody's excited. We're just waiting. I think the big thing now is to get Arista Ballad in Toronto to enter the USA. Ah, Hamish, thank you very much indeed for that. We will be checking in with Hamish throughout the tournament, but you can get in touch with us as well.

5:56Felicity Hannah:Let us know if you're heading over there, what you're doing, what you're spending, what you are excited about. Right, panel though, that's the really, really exciting football news. But there is some equally exciting for some markets news, which is that we are hours away from Elon Musk's rocket company SpaceX, becoming potentially, probably, very likely, the first trillion dollar initial public offering IPO in history. Its shares are about to be listed on the NASDAQ, New York's stock exchange. They'll begin trading later today. And ahead of that, it has already raised some really, really significant cash.

6:35Felicity Hannah:It's raised$75 billion from financial firms selling shares for$135 each, about£100 each. And that would give a stock market value to the company of$1.77 trillion. Yesterday, we spoke to Jane Foley, head of FX Strategy at Rabobank, about what makes this IPO unique. Well, of course, listing on the stock market is all about getting money in. And there's so many unusual things about this particular IPO. The first thing is that the company has no proven revenue going forward. So this is all about faith. So if you decide to be engaged in this initial public offering, which, of course, many, many people have, then you are just putting your faith in Elon Musk and his co-workers that you will eventually make money on your investment.

7:28But not only is this huge, it will take money away from potentially other tech IPOs.

7:35Felicity Hannah:So there's a bit of a race here to get in there. Ella, you got to have faith. well it requires some degree of optimism as was just being said now in lieu of the fact that the revenue existing revenue is on the lower side and of course you need to wait for about three to five years to start seeing that revenue ramp up as per expectations so yes there is a degree of faith that's required. But let's not forget, you know, Musk has typically delivered on those more cynical expectations. So let's not write it off fully yet. Shelley, and that's an interesting point, isn't it? I mean, Elon Musk does sometimes appear to defy gravity with the sort of the excitement that he can generate.

8:25Felicity Hannah:But this IPO is predicated on some really futuristic stuff, you know, talking about mining in space, for example. Are you expecting that this is going to go the way we're all clearly expecting it no you're right we're talking not about mining in space but i think you're producing sort of in space as well but i think the story's not just about rockets so starling the um the satellite you know broadband is very much the economic center of spacex and that has got customers across 160 countries and it's already generating revenue i think maybe around 11 billion so i think although we talk about the hype of rockets and i'm sure that's where the um you know the valuations are coming from, there is Starlink and the broadband and it's growing use in sort of aviation, maritime, government, defence, emergency connectivity.

9:11So that value needs to be considered as well.

9:14Felicity Hannah:Well, we also spoke to Andrew Cawthorn, Managing Director at Surrey Satellite Technology or SSTL. Now, that is a British satellite manufacturer that played an important role in supporting Elon Musk's first steps in the space industry. Elon was first getting started in space back in 2004 he bought a stake in sstl really to understand what we were doing in terms of this this approach to building satellites the kind of parts we were using and this this approach to vertical integration and uh for about five years until the point that uh we we changed ownership um he would you know he participated in our board meetings he would come over to our um The company wants a quarter and, yeah, understand how we were able to build satellites differently using these approaches and then take that back to SpaceX and apply similar for building rockets.

10:11Felicity Hannah:But what's very, very interesting is that it started as a rocket business. Ella, it does so much now. This is a multi-layered tech giant. It's got the social media platform X. It's got the AI, artificial intelligence company XAI. I mean, this has got its fingers in a lot of the pies that we talk about so often on Wake Up to Money. Absolutely. It's an AI infrastructure company with internet connectivity, businesses attached to it, and with space as an enabling layer. Right. So so there's quite a bit going on there. And absolutely, it's very futuristic. And so it does require you to go in a bit of an imaginative journey as well.

10:53But I guess as investors, we have to sort of sit back and do the maths and sort of think, you know, is this a viable investment? And of course, you have to take a very long term view on it. But let's say for the next two to three years, you need to see the revenue come through. So quite, you know, as we were saying earlier, quite a bit of hope is already inbuilt in those share prices. But, you know, as we were saying earlier, you know, Musk has a strong following base of retail investors and they have been duly rewarded for that. So, you know, by holding Tesla shares, for example.

11:28Felicity Hannah:Yeah, that's a really interesting point, isn't it? Sorry to interrupt you, but Keith has messaged to say regarding SpaceX, I won't be investing in it as the shares are overpriced. Also, SpaceX requires him, Elon Musk, I think, to be in charge. Some people don't like him, but some people really, really admire him. He's got some real fans, doesn't he? How much are those fans as retail investors likely to be able to swell the share price? Well, my understanding is that there was a preference to allocate at least 20 % to retail investors. Also, my understanding is that, for example, if we compare it to Tesla, his other enterprise, about 40 % almost of those shares are held from retail.

12:08And as we were saying earlier, that's paid handsomely. If you bought the shares at that original IPO, you would have made more than 40 % per annum since then, you know, since 2010. So that fan base is pretty strong. But it is, as you say, a little bit like Marmite.

12:22Felicity Hannah:It's love it or hate it as far as the leadership goes. Is it unusual, Ella, for a company to have seen such enormous growth in value before its IPO? Does that mean potentially that investors are going to miss out on the growth that they've seen with perhaps some of the other big tech stocks? There is, you know, the sheer size of it means that the numbers need to be huge, right, over the next five years to sort of justify buying it. But, you know, as we say, technology has definitely been a sector not to bet against for a very long time. Now, that's not to say that the past is a guide to the future.

13:00Absolutely not. and there's quite a bit of optimism embedded in those share prices. So, yeah, absolutely, a bit of caution is warranted, I would argue. But at the same time, as we said, you know, it's a case of do you believe in this whole idea of space exploration, where, you know, in which case, you know, SpaceX would have at least 80 % of dips in that case. So they are well set up for it. But, you know, make no mistake about it. A lot of the good news is already reflected in that valuation.

13:31Felicity Hannah:Shelley, and what does it mean for markets generally when a company this valuable, this enormous already lists? Yeah, so I think, you know, ultimately, you know, there's only so much sort of investment available. So, you know, one of the points is that this investment sort of taking money, I guess, away from other potential investments where maybe, you know, there is more of a sort of proven business model. But, you know, as everyone said, there's a lot of hype around this and a lot of expectation. And I think a lot of people will be hoping that Elon Musk does live up to his promises. Glenn in Scotland has messaged, where does the money come from to invest in such a huge IPO?

14:11Felicity Hannah:Is it all new money or does it mean a sell-off in the markets affecting the value of other established companies? Glenn, thank you for such a good question. Ella, what would you say? Glenn has a fantastic question indeed. We've seen a bit of that already. For example, if you look at what US equities did over the course of this week prior to, you know, until yesterday, they allowed for some room. So we had like a 4 % sell-off or so to allow some space for this IPO. So yes, absolutely. You do have to sell some of your existing holdings, you know, to raise some capital. But I mean, let's not forget year to date, stock markets have done pretty well.

14:51Felicity Hannah:So there is quite a bit of scope for people to raise some capital for this. Well, we've got two more major IPOs set for this summer. ChatGPT maker OpenAI, Claude maker Anthropic. The performance of SpaceX on the stock market is going to be seen maybe as part of a measure of confidence in AI. Still with us, waiting patiently, David Hall, UK Managing Director at the water filter manufacturer Brita. David, thank you for your patience. It's really interesting, isn't it? asking different businesses how they use AI. Does AI have a vote of confidence from you? Is it something that you're working into your company?

15:31Yeah, we're having a play around with it. I think when I look at what we're doing, we're probably only at the very early stages, but we've given pretty much everybody in the organisation, access to co-pilots, so the ChatGPT engine behind that. We've encouraged people to play, we're putting some training in, but I think at the moment we're just very much at the early stages and using it for a little bit of personal productivity.

16:00Felicity Hannah:And is that how your employees are using it? Are they feeding back to you on what they're doing with co-pilot? Are they kind of sharing learning? Yeah, no, we're doing quite a bit of that. So we've got a whole wide range. So we've got some people who just use it for, I don't know, improving their productivity on emails. So sifting through their inboxes and telling them what's important and what they need to jump on at the beginning of the day, all the way through to a couple of folks who use Copilot almost like a personal coach on the way home in the car, having a little bit of a chat with it about, what's coming up in the next couple of days and asking it some questions about how they can be a little bit better or handle a particular situation.

16:42Felicity Hannah:Have you had any problems with it so far? Because I was talking to somebody recently who was using a, I won't mention the specific AI platform, but was asking it about their tax affairs and how they had to manage something. And the AI programme told them, well, if you don't tell HMRC, then there's no tax to pay, which is obviously staggeringly and dangerously incorrect. So there are absolutely potential pitfalls out there, aren't there? Yeah, we are asking everybody to have a healthy dose of scepticism that when you have the computer tell you with due confidence that absolutely everything's great, then just watch out a little bit.

17:24But if you sort of put that to one side for a second. I think one thing it's really great for is getting people going on stuff. So in the past, we've had quite a few people who, you know, if they're faced with a blank sheet of paper, they've got to do a presentation or something, just whacking something into the AI, getting a few ideas, getting going. It just starts the creative process and then people refine it. So yeah, we're asking people to watch out, but it's still very helpful to just give them a nudge.

17:53Felicity Hannah:Are any of your employees worried that if it does increase their productivity, that it could eventually result in a reduced workforce? Because I'm sure no one wants to think about laying off staff or recruiting fewer staff. But that is part of kind of the productivity puzzle, isn't it? It's doing more with less. Yeah, absolutely it is. And while we haven't sort of directly asked people, because I think that would sort of probably spook them a little bit and cause a few ripples. the approach that we are trying to take is saying the risk is most likely to be people who don't know how to use AI start to have challenges with their roles so rather than sort of go down the scariest type of route we're trying to make sure that people are trained up at least a little bit so they use AI as their personal productivity tools so you know we'll see what happens over the next few years.

18:48But at the moment, we're hoping that it's less about reducing staff. It's more about making them better in the roles that they're doing or potentially enabling them to do some other things that in the past they couldn't do.

18:59Felicity Hannah:Well, AI has been dominating the conversation on Wake Up To Money for some time now. It's also been dominating this week's London Tech Week, which ends today. The Prime Minister gave the opening speech, followed by Darren Hardman, the UK CEO of Microsoft. And we spoke with Darren on Wake Up To Money on Monday morning about the infrastructure needs of companies that are trying to take advantage of the AI boom. The big shift we've seen in the last 10 years has been less about planning and much more about connection to the grid, the availability of electricity supply to power these data centres. And so that's where we're working with industry, working with government to ensure that we can make sure that that doesn't hold us back.

19:41I think it's a risk at the moment. I think we are certainly building the capacity and have the line of sight to be able to provision that capacity. We've got a lot of physical infrastructure across the UK. And of course, we have a lot of physical infrastructure coming on stream across the world.

19:59Felicity Hannah:Shelley, and it's a really, really interesting but important point, isn't it? When I think of David's staff going home and using AI as a bit of a sounding board for the day. How likely is that, you know, that we could scale that across the UK? How much of Britain's AI ambitions depend on the provision of a reliable energy supply? Yeah, I work at a business advisory firm, so we are massively sort of behind AI. And I absolutely love what it can do for me and sort of the productivity gains it brings. And I think it just allows staff to do the really interesting part of their job, if I'm honest. as opposed to some of the more boring parts, I would say.

20:36But you're right. We really want to attract tech companies into this country. And there's now a sort of global war for these tech companies. So countries are competing against each other to get these tech companies to sort of move in. And it's really important for growth in this country. It's important to attract jobs. It's important that we get this investment. It's important for growth. But we're not just competing on skills anymore and access to finance. We're also now competing on access to power. So these data centre developers, they need timely grid connections and they need sort of reasonable electricity costs.

21:06And if we don't provide that to them, they will look at those countries that can. So we're very much competing now on power supply as well as talent, which is definitely new.

21:15Felicity Hannah:In terms of both, I suppose, do you think the UK does have the potential to be an AI leader? Yeah, I think, you know, I was looking at some of the data centre power stats recently. And I think by 2030, data centres are expected to use as much power globally as Japan does as an entire country. And about 25 % of Ireland's power usage is now from data centres. So it really does show how important power now is. And obviously, we have an energy strategy in the UK, but it's very much renewables based. And there is now a question as to whether we can invest quickly enough and fast enough in renewables to provide enough power, but also in that sort of grid infrastructure to be able to get it where it's needed.

21:57So it really does need now the government to sit down and think about its energy policy, as it has been doing, I think, over the last year or so, and really thinking about where those sources of energy are going to come from and also who's going to sort of pay for this grid investment and encourage this grid investment so it's getting where it needs to be.

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22:13Felicity Hannah:Ella, we've talked about sort of the impact of these massive tech companies listing on the markets, But what kind of impact is AI having on investor sentiment just in terms of what it can do for businesses like David's, what it can do to kind of boost the productivity of the country through all sorts of different businesses? Yes, I think the argument on productivity is certainly a positive one, right? So you can do so much more and certainly, particularly on the startup scene, very encouraging. So it's much easier to launch your own enterprise now and not have to hire, let's say, 10 people. You could, you know, using efficiently AI, you can actually do a lot of those tasks.

22:57Certainly a positive productivity trend. Now, it's very early days, right? So we don't know. Usually we look at productivity ex post, you know, after several years and try to explain it away. But for example, in the US, there's already some strong signals to that effect and absolutely here as well. So, look, I mean, we're well set up for it because the talent pool, the educational backdrop of UK universities and also the business drive as well make us or put us in a strong position to be able to garner those gains from productivity.

23:31Felicity Hannah:Let's talk about a different energy story. We have to touch on oil, don't we? Because Donald Trump said yesterday that he'd cancelled strikes against Iran. That was very shortly after threatening very hard attacks. Oil markets moved sharply after President Trump's initial comments that US forces could seize Iran's main oil and gas export hub, Karg Island, as well as other parts of the country's oil infrastructure. And then calmed down again once Donald Trump appeared to row back from that. But Shelyan, it's really difficult, isn't it, the price of oil and what investors can kind of expect at the moment, because Donald Trump can sort of change his position or seem to change his position within minutes.

24:23No, he does indeed. And I think he made a comment about, you know, great, that inflation was high or similar and then suddenly rolled back on that one as well. So he definitely does seem to come up with sort of potentially sort of unique positions. I think on oil prices, my understanding is that the Iranian oil refineries are filling up at the moment. I think there's a particular island in the Straits, and I think he was talking about bombing. And that was particularly worrying because that's actually where a lot of the refineries are, and they are filling up. And about six weeks ago, a number of sources were talking about that actually they can fill for about six weeks.

24:56And then at that point, they're full and you have to close down the oil fields or start talking about closing down the oil fields. And the minute you close those down, it's very difficult and sort of costly to reopen them again. So if you get to the stage where you're closing them, you're likely to have higher oil prices and for longer just because you've got to reopen them. There's less supply for longer and it's the cost of reopening. And we're now about eight weeks since that six week point. So I think we're getting to the stage now where those oil refineries are actually really full and we need to see a solution to this.

25:23Because if we do get to the stage where we're seeing them close down, you're going to end up with oil prices being higher and for longer. But, you know, who knows at the moment, who knows what Trump's doing and who knows when we will see that agreement signed in the Middle East.

25:35Felicity Hannah:Well, as we are on air right now, a barrel of Brent crude, which is the sort of benchmark that we use, is just over$88 a barrel, which has come down, David. We've seen it up as high as$120 at times in this conflict, but it is still way off the$70 that it was before the conflict began. Are sort of energy costs and energy prices things that you're looking at nervously as an organisation? um we always sort of keep a little bit of an eye on it because we obviously um buy energy for running our manufacturing site powering the office and and what have you but the bigger impact for us tends to be the knock-on impact of media stories about oil prices going up that inflation is going to peak again um because our business is pretty sensitive to consumer confidence you know anything that pushes up the cost of living, anything that pushes up food inflation, particularly for our consumer business.

26:41And then on the B2B side, where we have a couple of business units that sell into other organisations, there we're also quite sensitive to any kind of inflationary costs because it tends to delay capital spending, which means it's a bit more difficult for us to put water dispensers into new offices.

27:00Felicity Hannah:Has it affected your own kind of office plans or expansion plans or, you know, where you're spending money as a company? Yeah, well, our office plans sort of, we've actually saved money on offices this year by closing one and sort of moving everybody to our own site in Bicester. So that one wasn't sort of really driven by energy costs. That was driven more by sort of saving costs elsewhere within the business, because we do have to deal with some of these inflationary pressures. But, you know, we at the end of the day, we need energy for running the business. We obviously try and buy it as cheaply as we can and make sure that we avoid volatility if we can buy some sort of forward contracts.

27:44But, you know, the energy costs go up. We either have to find some cost savings somewhere or we pass the price on to whoever's buying the products.

27:50Felicity Hannah:Ella, it used to be that a tweet on his Truth Social platform or a comment in his aeroplane from the President Donald Trump in the US could really move oil markets and markets more generally. Are investors still responding to his comments with the same kind of sentiment or are they maybe starting to think we have to wait and see what actually happens? perhaps a smaller volatility around the headlines um probably more recently let's say over the last two three weeks uh we were seeing more fluctuation around those headlines earlier on in the conflict but what's interesting is we ran a bit of a survey at the desk with the team and you know sort of percent up moves versus percent down moves relative to those bullish or bearish headlines And actually, there's a small marginal positive effect when you net it out.

28:52So more noise than signal, we would say, on average. So investors probably would have paid off for investors to not pay too much attention, I guess, to headlines on an average basis.

29:04Felicity Hannah:Thank you very much. Now, it is half past Shelley. And this is normally the point where we say thank you and goodbye to our economists. But we're going to ask you to stick around for some defence spending chat after the news. So please stay with us. David Hall, likewise from Britta Ella Good from Newton Investments and Shelley and Horne from S &W. Stick around. Lots more to talk about. Let's just hit a couple of your messages, though, on AI. Let me see. Brendan says, hi, Flick. Flick. The problem with AI is exactly that. It's artificial. I prefer GI, genuine intelligence. Thank you for that. and Eddie says, a friend of mine was saying mums were asking advice on chat GPT etc on when to wake their baby rather discuss it with the mums present.

29:47Felicity Hannah:This is not good.

29:52Ever invest in something that seemed incredible at first but didn't live up to the hype? Like those$5 roses at a gas station or a second-hand piece of technology that breaks in the first 10 minutes? Marketers know that feeling. We optimize for the numbers that look great, impressions, reach and reacts. But when they don't show revenue, well, that's a not so great conversation with the CFO. LinkedIn has a word for that. Bull spend. Now you can invest in what looks good to your CFO. LinkedIn ads generates the highest ROAS of all major ad networks. You'll reach the right buyers because you can target by company, industry, job title and more.

30:34So cut the bull spend. Advertise on LinkedIn, the network that works for you. Spend$250 on your first campaign on LinkedIn ads and get a 250 credit for the next one. Just go to linkedin.com slash broadcast. That's linkedin.com slash broadcast. Terms and conditions apply. Host unforgettable backyard barbecues with savings from Whole Foods Market. Get the good times going with made-in-house chicken or pork sausages and ready-to-cook kebabs for hassle-free flavor. Grab tasty flatbreads and their new balsamic chicken salad in the prepared foods department. Keep things fresh with organic red cherries, strawberries, and peaches at their peak.

31:17And stock up on bug sprays and sun care must-haves. Make your summer sizzle at Whole Foods Market. Wake up to money with Felicity Hanna.

31:28Felicity Hannah:Very good morning. If you're just joining us on Wake Up To Money, then welcome to Almost The Weekend. We've been having some very, very interesting discussions already on the programme. We've been talking about AI in particular ahead of the SpaceX IPO that's coming later today. David in Pembrokeshire says, hi Felicity, enjoying the AI discussion. The extent of the AI revolution depends on what the country wants. The next discussion will be on a tranche of jobs no longer existing or tax returns not growing. It is all linked. But what do countries want? Thank you very much for that. Keep your thoughts coming this morning.

32:05Felicity Hannah:And we'll be hearing from the boss of Parkrun just before six o 'clock on the programme because the company is celebrating its millionth event this weekend. I do want to hear your Parkrun stories. Has it changed your weekend routine? Is it the reason you got active for the first time or maybe returned to being active? Get in touch. Let me know. You can text me on 85058. You can send me a WhatsApp message on 08085 909693. But get in touch on everything that we're talking about this morning, including defence spending. Because not one, not two, three resignations happened on Sir Keir Starmer's defence team yesterday.

32:44Felicity Hannah:The first came quite unexpectedly from the defence secretary, John Healy, who accused the Prime Minister of failing to properly fund defence, which could make the country less safe. That was followed by Pamela Nash resigning as Mr Healy's parliamentary private secretary and then Al Kahn's as defence minister. Now after months of delays, Healy said that he'd been given the defence investment plan on Monday and that it falls well short, he said, of what is required. That is potentially a question for the armed forces. It's also a question for the many businesses that are making those investments and having those investments made in them.

33:25Felicity Hannah:Let's talk to one. Andy Thomas is chief executive of Cohort, the aim listed parent company of seven small to medium defence tech firms. Andy, good morning. Good morning to you. I mean, this is perhaps more drama and attention than this area normally gets. What's your reaction? well i mean i think first of all it's sad to see the loss of someone who by all accounts is a well respected defense secretary who's um clearly been a very uh a very solid uh and capable man uh well liked by colleagues and the armed forces leaders um and the fact that he was clearly such a close ally of kia starmer makes this all the more surprising and such a major development um and of course the armed forces minister also going add further emphasis uh to the the really biting comments that he made in his resignation letter.

34:15So yes, it's a very significant move. And the implications for the defence investment plan, which of course we haven't seen yet, but we can infer quite a bit about from the letter, are a real concern.

34:32Felicity Hannah:Now, as you say, he was perhaps quite a popular secretary for defence. But Dan Jarvis, the security minister and a former British army officer, has now been appointed to replace him in that cabinet role. But I want to look at the wider picture with you, Andy, because back in April, you told us it's very hard for us to make investment decisions or to understand where future revenue is coming from. How are you feeling today? Well, what an eloquent sigh. It's the same. Very much the same, I'm afraid to say. I mean, we've just seen or it's just been reported that the defence investment plan may still come out as early as Monday.

35:19And there's been a very quick appointment of Dan Jarvis, who in any other circumstances I'd certainly welcome as defence secretary. I mean, a very experienced guy with real military experience and relevant ministerial experience too. And indeed, in any other circumstances, the fact that the dip is finally coming out would be very welcome as well. But in the light of what's happened and the clear implications that the spending plan is really inadequate to maintain the UK's armed forces and meet the threats which we clearly face at the moment, I would have hoped that the government would at least take a little time to reconsider its approach.

35:58Felicity Hannah:Dip, of course, being the defence investment plan that we're discussing. Your company then, it's made up of, as I said, seven defence businesses. Previously, you've said that small defence businesses would be the worst hit by this delay. Is that still your opinion? Is this perhaps causing you to delay investment or innovation or the things that clearly the UK needs? Well, I think it certainly is true that small businesses are likely to be the worst hitters. They won't have the capital or the balance sheets to be able to continue in the absence of the expected flow of contracts. As far as we're concerned, I mean, it's really an extension of what has been a delay in clear defence planning for over a year now.

36:53And really, since the government came into office, we've lacked a clear spending plan. And we've seen the non-arrival of expected defence programmes. When they arrive, they've been smaller than we'd previously expected. And then we have difficult processes which start with tenders being requested. When we put those in, there are delays in reviewing them, delays in approvals. Higher level approvals are apparently needed. So to give you one example, we've recently, well, some time ago now, put in a tender to continue providing high level joint service training exercises, something that we've been doing for well over 20 years.

37:38And the decision was awaited. The deadline passed. No approval was given. and we've been asked to extend the tender validity for several months. And that's really quite typical of some of the experiences we've been having. So the hope was that the Defence Investment Plan was going to resolve all of this and we'd have a clear way forward and we'd be able to understand what the government wanted and match our investment plans to that. But that's really been thrown into uncertainty by the events of the last 24 hours.

38:07Felicity Hannah:Andy, stay with me because I want to bring in Shelley and Horne, economist and partner at the accountancy firm S &W. Shelley, this is not just about defence, is it? This is about a really tricky, really tight fiscal backdrop for the government. No, you're right. And we don't know what's in the dip. But what we do know is that the investment's being considered within the environment of the self-imposed fiscal rules relating to expenditure with sort of high levels of debt to GDP and really limited fiscal headroom following the March budget. um so there are no easy answers here but there are choices and there are choices around where you spend that investment where you use it on welfare or on taxation and defense spending is a particularly hard one is it's not seen as necessarily self-financing or growth generating in the same way some investment in infrastructure and also the benefits aren't necessarily as visible to the british public as say spending in health care so defense is often described as preventative and you say this you see the same financing dilemmas for example in health care where it's a lot easier to justify spending on sort of immediate day-to-day health problems be that sort of cancer a and e etc and it's a lot more difficult to spend on finance prevention so i think defense is you know in that category and it's a lot harder for the government to justify given the sort of the fiscal environment we're living in where there really isn't a lot of a lot of wriggle room and then that leads them on to sort of difficult decisions around welfare and taxation as well and where those trade-offs are.

39:35Felicity Hannah:And I suppose the saying is, isn't it, that to govern is to choose. But Shelley, when you talk about the lack of headroom, the tight fiscal situation, in order to increase defence spending, we would have to cut spending elsewhere, raise taxes or borrow more. Do you have a sense of which of those would be the most palatable or I suppose the one that spooked the bond markets the least? No, it's a really difficult moment. So, you know, you hear, you know, I think Keir Starmer is sort of, you know, less willing now to say there won't be tax rises. So there's a lot more discussion around those, you know, potentially being in place in maybe the autumn budget.

40:14There seems to have been a renewed commitment to welfare. So that then leaves you the juggle of investment plans between government departments. So I think, you know, we'll probably look at trying to find some money from elsewhere through that sort of change in spending,

40:27Felicity Hannah:but also potentially looking at tax rises later in the year. Dave has messaged Shelyan to say, morning, morning Dave, what about defence bonds? I mean, is something new like that potentially the answer here? It's not something that I've heard considered. You know, I guess it's something to think about, but I don't think it's anything that we're going to see immediately. And I don't think it's anything we're going to see in the context of the dip at this time. Okay. Andy, thank you for still being with us. What does this mean for cohort generally then? Because I was quite interested looking at your latest trading statement.

41:04Felicity Hannah:You've had a very, very good year. But less than half of your revenue came from the UK. Are you deliberately growing your spending outside of the UK? No, not deliberately. I mean, it really does create a very clear statement. I mean, the rest of Europe recognises that the world has changed and in a very dangerous way. I mean, most clearly, of course, we're seeing the terrible conflict in Ukraine, but also the events in the Middle East and also continued huge Chinese investment, which affects right across the Indo-Pacific. So the result of that has been that, you know, the proportion of our revenue, and we are a UK company with four of our seven businesses based in the UK, has gone from, you know, sort of over 80 percent a few years ago to down below 50 percent for the first time.

41:53And yes, we have had a good year. And in part, that's because defence spending is rising so rapidly elsewhere in Europe and is so strong in the Middle East and the Indo-Pacific, but has just languished in the UK. And it's such a sharp distinction between the decisions that the UK is making on the importance of defence and protecting its population compared to pretty much every country in Europe. And I mean, especially if you look at the Nordic countries, the Baltic countries, Germany and Poland, where there is a real recognition that we're facing a very new and dangerous situation.

42:30Felicity Hannah:What would you like then? What would the UK defence industry like to see from the government? Because it does remain committed, doesn't it, to that 3.5 % of GDP as a target for defence spending? Yes, but on a very gradual trajectory indeed, according to John Healy's letter. I mean, I think it is good that we remain committed to that. But in the current circumstances, I mean, you know, the reality of that commitment has got to be called into question. And as John Healy pointed out, what's needed is spending now in the short term. There are real issues that need to be fixed, not necessarily just a promise to spend a little more in a few years' time.

43:13Felicity Hannah:Unite's General Secretary Sharon Graham says employers who've been waiting years to get contracts signed could simply walk away. Is that something you're considering? No, we won't walk away. We are a defence company and we're committed to the defence of the UK and its allies. I mean, that's what gets us into work in the morning as well as creating a successful business. But it's a real concern that the UK isn't responding to this major deterioration in the international situation in the same way that its European neighbours are. Thank you very much indeed. Andy Thomas is Chief Executive of Cohort, which, as I said, is the parent company of seven small to medium defence tech firms.

43:59Felicity Hannah:Thank you also Shelly and Horne, economist and partner at the accountancy firm S &W. We will now let you crack on with your Friday. Thanks for joining us. Thank you very much. Thank you. Still with me is David Hall, UK Managing Director at the Water Filter manufacturer Britta and Ella Good, Head of Fixed Income and Co-Head of Real Return at Newton Investments. Thank you for sticking around. David, do you feel for the government? Lots of businesses are asking for lots of different tax breaks or help to allow them to grow and to invest. And then you hear conversations like that. You realise just how many competing demands there are on the public purse.

44:37Felicity Hannah:Does it make you think, oh, do you know what? I'll just crack on and won't ask the government for any particular tax changes. It's a great question. I think for sure I'm sitting here thinking I wouldn't want to be the chancellor trying to find some ways to raise some additional revenue. I think, you know, there are difficult decisions that we all have to make every day, either in our businesses or with the government. And, you know, we would love to see more focus put back on sustainability, recyclability and areas like that through the tax system. But I think pragmatically we have to sort of park that and think that now's the time.

45:23You know, the time isn't right at the moment. There are other priorities for the country and for industry.

45:29Felicity Hannah:Jim has messaged to say defence bonds. No, we've already borrowed too much. and the interest bill is now over 100 billion quid a year. We do need more defence spending, but it needs to come from reduced welfare and less money for green projects. Yes, achieve the green objectives, but over a longer time frame. Look, there's still 10 minutes more of the programme. Get in touch. Let me know if you agree with Jim or where you think the cuts or the readjustment should come. Ella, let's just touch really quickly, if we can, on gold, because it's fallen to a six-month low. Investors are pulling back from one of the biggest bullion rallies in years.

46:06Felicity Hannah:In fact, the FT has got on its front page this morning. Gold hit six-month low as investors are spoiled for choice on the next big thing. The price dropped more than 1 % on Thursday, touching just over$4 ,000 per troy ounce before recovering slightly. What do you think is causing that drop? Is it, as the FT reckons, that investors are simply spoiled for choice? it tends to be one of those assets that does better in sort of times of crisis but what's interesting about gold let's say over the last I don't know eight nine months is that it's traded more in line with sort of riskier assets and it invited quite a bit of speculative flow into it so particularly from retail investors and levered accounts and so you know it had a significant run and quite a magnificent performance over the last, I don't know, six, seven months.

47:00And then it's given back most of that and some. So we're year to date on a negative territory now in terms of total returns. On the plus side, a lot of that speculative activity is now out. But on the other hand, it's worth taking a step back and looking at gold over the last two years. It's nearly doubled in price, even with this drop. So there's still demand from central banks or reserve managers and those people who want to have some protection from this fiscal dominance environment. So devaluation of fiat currencies. And so it does have a place in the portfolio of many investors who believe in its long term play.

47:39Felicity Hannah:Well, speaking of a significant run and a magnificent performance, that was dreadful. Is this how your Saturday morning sounds? Have we any tourist park runners this morning? Where are you from? Cornwalls! Park Runners across the world will mark a milestone tomorrow as it celebrates its one millionth event. What started with 13 runners in Bushy Park nearly 22 years ago is now a global charity running events in 23 countries, planning for many more. Let's talk to Elizabeth Duggan, Chief Executive Officer of Park Run. Elizabeth, good morning. Good morning. What a milestone. Did you have any idea, any ambition this big when you first started out?

48:27It's incredible, isn't it? One millionth event. And every weekend Parkrun is seeing around half a million people. And from where it started all those years ago, a handful of runners on a start line who gathered together because they knew that running was good for them and they enjoyed getting active, social and outdoors. And now we are this global movement, one of the world's most successful community public health initiatives. And this is a moment this weekend to celebrate what this volunteer led global movement has really achieved.

49:01Felicity Hannah:And actually, we've had a number of messages about what it means to some of our listeners. Tony in West Sussex says, I'm a 68 year old occasional park runner. It is such a welcoming and inclusive organisation. my most favourite ever parkrun was last year when I ran with my daughter Alice, who lives by the sea near Melbourne, Australia. I was pleased to find that my parkrun barcoded wristband recognised me, even though I was on the other side of the world. So it's interesting to see how it's able to work kind of across oceans. What are you doing to celebrate tomorrow? So tomorrow we have around 700 events across the globe who will be celebrating with us.

49:42and park runners know how to celebrate in style. We love a bit of fancy dress, some cake. I'll actually be at Bushy Park, which is the spiritual home of park run, where it all started. And I'll be joined by some of our celebrity park runners. So Joe Wilkinson, Dame Kelly Holmes will also be there with me to celebrate this momentous occasion. And I know we're going to have a great time there in park run style.

50:06Felicity Hannah:Do you do it every week? I don't do it every week, I do it as often as I possibly can. And I, like your listener, I've had the opportunity to do parkrun all over the world. And it's so special to go along to parkruns and find that they're fundamentally the same wherever they go. And we know that parkrun really means a lot to a lot of people. And so we are using this moment to say thank you. Thanks a million to all of our parkrunners and also to ask for parkrunner support to power us to the next million as a global charity. Yes, I mean, explain how you work a bit, because we've sort of done the excitement and I want to do some more of the excitement, but how are you funded?

50:47Felicity Hannah:How do you operate? so crudely speaking we operate um about a third uh a third third third so a third from commercial partnerships a third from a retail and a third from grants foundations and individual donations but we have a perception problem because all of our events are run by volunteers there is often not a recognition of what it actually costs to operate a charity like parkrun behind the scenes And we know that public awareness of Parkrun as a charity is only about 25%. So we're using this opportunity not just to celebrate where we've got to, but also raise awareness that we are a charity.

51:26And we're a very, very lean charity who operates so effectively. So intrinsic to our model is to be simple, scalable and sustainable. So we know that we need to work hard to to maximise the money that we get in order to increase our reach as much as we can.

51:41Felicity Hannah:And when you talk about a third of the funding coming from retail, what does that mean? So people can buy parkrun merchandise. People can buy milestones when they hit those key participation points. And there is a range of opportunities on our website if people want to look at them. Well, we'll allow you that one plug, I think. That's fair enough with a million parkruns. So what is next then? How do you go from here? Because it's been just incredible growth in 22 years, as I say, across 23 different countries. What are you planning for the next million miles? So we have three key growth pillars that we've identified.

52:20The first is around participation. We believe that we can get by 2030, we believe we can get to around 750 ,000 people globally and in about 30 countries. We also know that the next era, we need to work harder to reach deeper into communities who are underrepresented at Parkrun. So there's a, on Monday, we are about to launch our first ever UK health and inclusion strategy, which is a really exciting piece of work for us. and then the final objective is to grow our revenue streams so we know that there is head room there for us to reach out further and so this is a key moment for us to do that.

52:56Felicity Hannah:Let's squeeze in one more message. Paul says I do the junior park run in Portrush, Northern Ireland with my five-year-old daughter each week. It's the only park run that's entirely on a beach I think and it's the best way to start a Sunday morning. Great atmosphere and so great to see so many young kids getting out and exercising come rain or shine. My producer Elizabeth was just asking where the most unusual park run is. Do you have a view? So I have been to park runs across our custodial estate, so within the UK's prisons. And that's a really special thing to do, actually. So in around 25 prisons and young offenders institutions, we have park runs.

53:34I was there with a lady who was within the custodial estate. She would park run every weekend. Her grandson would also park run on the outside world and they would share a telephone call in the week to talk about their collective moment of park running together at the weekend. And that felt so special to me.

53:52Felicity Hannah:That's a lovely thing. Elizabeth Duggan, Chief Executive Officer of Park Run. Congratulations. I hope tomorrow goes incredibly well. Thank you for joining us. Thank you. Maybe see you there. Maybe. I think after this morning, I'm due a lion. Thank you so much to Elizabeth. Thank you to David Hall from the water filter manufacturer, Britta. Thank you to Ella Good from Newton Investments. Thank you to you for all your messages and for your company this morning. Let's squeeze in one more from Paul, who's XRAF, who says to pay for defence, we do need to increase tax. I benefited from furlough payments during lockdown so the business didn't fold.

54:24Felicity Hannah:Happy to see extra pennies in the pound. That's it for Wake Up To Money. Wake Up To Money from BBC Five Live.

54:51The 2023 Ballon d 'Or France footballer is Lionel Messi. The winner is Cristiano Ronaldo. This is the story of the greatest rivalry in the history of sport. A rivalry that split football into two fates for a generation. There could be no, oh, Messi and Ronaldo are both great players. There had to be one that was better. They 100 million percent pushed each other to the next level. You know, we were the lucky ones who got to see it. I'm Steve Crossman. This is Sporting Giants Messi v Ronaldo. Listen first on BBC Sounds. Ever invest in something that seemed incredible at first, but didn't live up to the hype?

55:33Like those$5 roses at a gas station, or a second-hand piece of technology that breaks in the first 10 minutes. Marketers know that feeling. We optimize for the numbers that look great, impressions, reach, and reacts. But when they don't show revenue, well, that's a not-so-great conversation with the CFO. LinkedIn has a word for that. Bull spend. Now you can invest in what looks good to your CFO. LinkedIn ads generates the highest ROAS of all major ad networks. You'll reach the right buyers because you can target by company, industry, job title, and more. So cut the bull spend. Advertise on LinkedIn, the network that works for you.

56:18Spend$250 on your first campaign on LinkedIn ads and get a 250 credit for the next one. Just go to linkedin.com slash broadcast. That's linkedin.com slash broadcast. Terms and conditions apply. What do Beatles member Sir Paul McCartney, YouTube megastar Mr Beast and former Facebook executive Sheryl Sandberg all have in common? They're all being discussed in the new season of Good Bad Billionaire, the podcast which explores the lives and fortunes of the world's super rich. That's Good Bad Billionaire from the BBC World Service.

56:50Felicity Hannah:Listen now, search for Good Bad Billionaire wherever you get your BBC podcasts.

From the publisher

Felicity Hannah looks ahead as SpaceX prepares to go public for the first time, with Elon Musk seeking a trillion-dollar valuation.

Our Friday panel reflects on the dominance of artificial intelligence at this week's London Tech Week, along with the big business stories of this week - and next.

And Parkrunners across the world prepare to mark a milestone, as Parkrun celebrates its one millionth event. We speak to its CEO.

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