Cabinet compass

22 Jul 2026 · 53 min · 24 chapters

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In short

UK cost-of-living and economic policy after a new Labour government forms its cabinet; focus on Chancellor John Healey’s fiscal “discipline,” early cost-of-living measures (VAT cut on domestic electricity), potential employer NI cuts for under-25s, and market reaction (sterling, gilt yields). Also covers international inflation drivers (oil/crack spread) and US drug tariffs on generic medicines.

Guests

Nimisha Raja, owner/CEO of NIMS Naturally (air-dried fruit/veg crisps and drinks garnishes for UK hospitality); AJ Bell investment director at Ross Mould (markets, national debt/interest, growth); Lord Boateng (former chief secretary to the Treasury, 2002–2005; worked with Healey on spending reviews; now discusses growth in every postcode and defence funding).

Key claims

VAT/electricity help is small and may be short-lived; credibility depends on funding and sticking to fiscal rules; NI cuts could reduce youth unemployment by lowering hiring costs; businesses are shifting from fresh garnishes to dried to cut costs; markets watch borrowing costs and need a funded growth plan; US 100%+ tariffs on generics would likely raise prices for US consumers.

Notable examples

NIMS rent rising from £45k to £152k; pubs switching to dried garnishes; unemployment 18–24 up 0.3% to May; 15% unemployment for 18–24; oil crack spread rising $40 to $65; Waterstones Odyssey sales up 70% with Emily Wilson translation up 890%.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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Cost of Living Crisis Discussion

2:11 to 3:20

Guests discuss the impact of government decisions on cost of living.

“Burnham implores Cabinet to find ways to tackle cost of living crisis.”

Impact on Manufacturing and Retail

3:20 to 4:22

Exploring how businesses are adapting to changes in consumer behavior.

“Let's see how it goes over the next few weeks.”

Fiscal Discipline and Market Concerns

4:22 to 6:10

Exploring what fiscal discipline means for the economy and markets.

“But Namisha, from your perspective, are you also seeing your customers change?”

Government's Economic Strategy

6:10 to 8:04

Discussion on the government’s approach to fiscal responsibility and growth.

“In the first full day of the new government, Andy Burnham and his top team met in Downing Street.”

John Healy's Role and Responsibilities

8:04 to 10:31

Analyzing the new Chancellor's potential impact on economic policy.

“You had a new cabinet, an immediate tax cut, a major shakeup of government.”

Tax Allowance and Financial Implications

10:31 to 12:54

Understanding the personal tax allowance and its effects on citizens.

“I think the other thing that you're looking for from a Chancellor is that they work with the Prime Minister.”

Impact of Pay Raises and Tax Brackets

14:01 to 16:41

Learn how pay raises and tax brackets affect workers' finances.

“if I'm on£12 ,570 or whatever the figure is...”

Challenges in Fresh Produce Costs

16:42 to 18:00

Discover how rising fruit and vegetable prices affect small businesses.

“We got a text in here from Steve saying, big love for you, Namisha, saying this lady sounds so wise and grounded.”

VAT Cuts and Political Promises

18:01 to 19:49

Understand the implications of recent VAT cuts on electricity bills.

“It's just a soundbite tokenism and will have no effect on as unfunded Keith from Bradbury.”

Employers' National Insurance and Youth Employment

19:50 to 21:02

Explore proposals to cut national insurance for younger employees.

“It's a slightly unfortunate start that the party is starting to have a bit of internal sniping on day one or day two.”
Show all 24 chapters

AI's Role in the Future Workforce

21:03 to 23:08

Examine the impact of AI on job opportunities for young workers.

“I thought it made really good sense when Andy Burnham said that two, three days ago.”

Economic Perspectives on Youth Employment

23:09 to 24:29

Learn about economic strategies to support young job seekers.

“This is a direct hit on our national insurance bill, which makes a big difference.”

Global Inflation Pressures and Oil Prices

24:30 to 28:03

Discover the international factors affecting oil prices and inflation.

“Nimisha, you have a warehouse, you employ people, people need to use their hands.”

Watching the Crack Spread

28:03 to 28:23

Learn about the significance of crack spreads in the oil market.

“So the oil price is important, but at the moment a lot more people are watching this crack spread.”

Generic Medicines and Tariffs

28:24 to 30:11

Discover the implications of Trump's proposed tariffs on generic drugs.

“I'm in Mumbai, by the way, not Singapore.”

Impact of Tariffs on Consumers

30:12 to 31:46

Understand how tariffs on generic medicines affect U.S. consumers.

“You know, Liana, nine out of 10 prescriptions that are doled out in the United States are for generic medicines, and it saves huge amount of money for U.S.”

Public Opinion on New Chancellor

32:34 to 35:07

Explore public perspectives on the appointment of the new Chancellor.

“Lots of texts in this morning on our big chat about the economics and the politics.”

Challenges Ahead for Chancellor Healy

35:08 to 41:48

Discuss the critical challenges faced by Chancellor Healy amidst economic pressures.

“trying to sort out some sort of trade deals that are more beneficial for us than what we currently have.”

Innovative Approaches to Defence Spending

41:49 to 42:00

Learn about the need for innovative strategies in defence spending.

Economic Strategies for National Security

42:00 to 44:46

Learn how innovative economic strategies can enhance national security and regional development.

“which do allow room for borrowing in order to invest, including investment in our national security.”

Market Reassurance and Fiscal Discipline

44:46 to 46:18

Explore the balance between fiscal discipline and immediate economic support in current government policies.

“Well, Ross, I'm going to bring you in on this.”

John Healy's Approach to Regional Growth

46:18 to 48:26

Understand the importance of regional development and industrial policy in John Healy's upcoming budget.

“Lord Boateng, another big priority is this growth in every postcode.”

Interview with Lord Boateng

48:26 to 49:24

Get insights from Lord Boateng on the challenges and opportunities facing the current government.

“And that, I think, is an exciting opportunity and one which we really do need to embrace.”

Cultural Impact of The Odyssey Film

49:24 to 55:23

Discuss the cultural significance and market impact of the film adaptation of The Odyssey.

“Namesha, any interest in seeing it in the cinema?”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

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1:02BBC Sounds. Music, radio, podcasts. Wake Up To Money from BBC Five Live.

1:09Leanna Byrne:Hello, welcome to Wake Up To Money. Of all the cabinet appointments made by Andy Burnham, John Healy has probably drawn the most attention. Well, today on the show, we'll have a colleague of Healy's during his first stint at the Treasury. He served as the chief secretary to the Treasury from 2002 to 2005. So loath to get into there. Also this morning, might employers' national insurance contributions be cut for all under 25s? That's what some MPs are suggesting. We'll get into that. And we're talking the Odyssey. The film is getting rave reviews, but also book sales for the epic are booming. What nonsense you let slip through your teeth.

1:47Now, how on earth could I forget Odysseus, great Odysseus, who excels all men in wisdom?

1:54Leanna Byrne:The great Ian McKellen, of course, on the audiobook version there. We'll be speaking to one of the bosses at Waterstones. Wake Up To Money from BBC Radio 5 Live. Good morning and welcome to Wake Up To Money on Wednesday. It is the 22nd of July. It is just four minutes past five. What a first day. We have a couple of papers updates now. I mean, the front page of The Guardian. Burnham implores Cabinet to find ways to tackle cost of living crisis. It's all about the cost of living. It's all about how we're going to fund the cost for the cost of living. So we've got two fantastic guests with us this morning to talk through it all.

2:29Leanna Byrne:First of all, good morning to Nimisha Raja, owner and chief executive of NIMS Naturally, which makes air dried fruit and vegetable crisps. as well as drinks, garnishes, supply to hospitality venues across the UK. Namisha, good morning. Good morning. I'd love to get your initial reaction to everything that happened tomorrow. Does it give you a pause? Does it give you a bit of, you know, a bit of oomph? Excited for the months ahead? Well, it's nice to see a change, I think, because, you know, under Rachel Reeves, it just felt like a very long bleak winter ahead of us for the next few years. And so there is some hope that there will be reprieve for businesses, which is obviously what I'm looking for most as we are mainly a B2B business.

3:18So yes, there is some hope. Let's see how it goes over the next few weeks. I mean, obviously, things like the 20 % cut in business rates for the high street helps a lot, which I absolutely welcome because we supply to a lot of those and we've seen so many of them close over the last year or two. But it always seems to be retail. There's a flip side to it. The help always goes to retail and we're a manufacturer on an industrial site and we never seem to get any help when we have the same bills. Our rent has just gone up from 45 ,000 a year to 152 ,000 a year. You know, that's something that's so unsustainable, you know, we're fighting it, but it's going to go up more than double once our lease ends.

4:09But so there are, but obviously the government can't go around helping absolutely everyone. At least they're helping the people that we're supplying, which in turn does help us as well, because they survive. It helps us as well to grow.

4:22Leanna Byrne:But Namisha, from your perspective, are you also seeing your customers change? Would they buy from you in order to save the money if there's so much uncertainty for them? Absolutely. I mean, they're looking to cut costs every which way, including closing earlier during a weekday, opening fewer days a week as well. And actually, we're seeing more business coming towards us where they were using fresh garnishes, you know, fresh orange lemon lime, which they have to buy, cut. and rather than that they're buying the dry garnishes which is all done for them at a set price and they don't have to worry and it genuinely in a busy pub cut costs for their staff.

5:03So yes, it's helping us in that way I have to say.

5:06Leanna Byrne:It's interesting to hear how different parts of the economy essentially are and from the smaller business to kind of the macro perspective and speaking of the macro perspective AJ Bell's investment director at Ross Mould is with us this morning. Good morning Ross. Good morning, Leanna. From page of the Daily Mail, who's going to pay the bill for Andy's large yes? Is that top of your mind? It's certainly one of the things that's, from a narrow perspective of financial markets, yes, absolutely. I mean, we're all looking for a way out of the debt difficulties in which the nation has found itself.

5:37If something like 10 pence in every pound of tax revenues that we pay and the country raises goes on interest, that's really not helping anybody. That money could be used more productively elsewhere. So trying to rein in the national debt, trying to get that interest bill down is paramount. And the best way to do that is to grow because it generates more tax revenues, it decreases welfare payments and it probably generates confidence and attracts more revenue, more investment in a virtuous circle. So it is top of financial markets' mind, but certainly top of the electorate's mind and top of the government and other parties' mind as well, I'm sure.

6:08Leanna Byrne:All right, well, we're going to get into it all and tease that all out. Let's do a recap of yesterday. Cabinet assemble. In the first full day of the new government, Andy Burnham and his top team met in Downing Street.

6:23There you go.

6:24Leanna Byrne:Big applause for the new boss there. Job one for the new Prime Minister was to sweep away half of Sir Keir Starmer's top team, including Rachel Reeves, replacing her as Chancellor with the former Defence Secretary John Healey. Andy Burnham said policy was part of his wider mission. Life's hard out there, isn't it, at the moment. We need to every day think, well, what can we do just to take that little bit of pressure off people's shoulders, just to give them that little extra sense that help is coming so they can have that bit of hope that things are getting better. But he stressed the importance of showing fiscal discipline.

7:05We've got to be prepared to reprioritise. We've got to show fiscal discipline. We've got to show that our commitment to the fiscal rules is real. And we're prepared to make difficult decisions in relation to that.

7:21Leanna Byrne:Russ, when you hear the words fiscal discipline, what do you actually want that to look like in practice? The government has set its rules. And I think, again, from the narrow perspective of financial markets, they're looking for the government to stick to those rules and not start fudging them or changing the way in which they measure debt or finding wheezes to keep spending off balance sheet through private finance initiatives as they used to do. So I think that's really what they're looking for is, in the end, stick to the rules, but ultimately a clear, credible, funded growth plan. They're not frightened of governments investing, looking to cut taxes or looking to raise or whatever it happens to be, so long as there is a clear path to getting a payback and generating return and getting some growth from that.

8:03So nobody's expecting them to do nothing, but it needs to be clear, credibly communicated and funded, which is where in the end Liz Trust went wrong, what, three, four years ago.

8:13Leanna Byrne:Namisha, a lot happened yesterday. You had a new cabinet, an immediate tax cut, a major shakeup of government. So was that a good signal to you? What did you make of the first day? Well, yes, I mean, it was good that they were looking at it, you know,£45 a year on gas bills, electric bill rather, sorry. is not that great. I mean, it's not going to help that many people. But what I think, I think what Russia said, yes, you know, if you want to cut down your how much interest we're paying, it's not just about growth, because growth takes time as a business, you know, if you want to grow, that takes time, that takes investment, that takes planning, and it's you're planning months and years ahead.

8:55What you start with, and what we did when the NI went up a couple of years ago is start cutting our costs. And I think that's the thing that's really, really important that I'd love to hear more about from the government, that if they're cutting their own costs, that helps us as well. Otherwise, it's putting everything on us as well. We want businesses to grow. We want this while we're at the same time taxing them. So yeah, I think what I heard was great, but I think I want to hear a lot more about what they're going to cut in terms of cost to the country and what we're paying for.

9:32Leanna Byrne:Yeah, I think it's fair to say that£45, the help with electricity bills, it depends on what your electricity usage is. And yeah, I guess it's house to house dependent. And overall, I guess that's not going to, like a trip to the cinema costs£45 these days, doesn't it? But at the same time, is that kind of the beginning maybe in signalling a much broader change in economic policy that you might be happier with. Yeah, absolutely. And I think, you know, I'm quite excited to hear what John Healy's going to come out with as time goes on. I just had absolutely no hope when it came to Rachel Reeves. And I had sort of bedded down for the next three years of hardship, you know, when it comes to that, oh, what's going to come next?

10:17How are we going to be hit next? So, no, I am looking forward to it. I'm hoping things are going to get a lot better. and as you say, it's the start.

10:26Leanna Byrne:Well, the mention of John Healy, he was a slightly unexpected choice for Chancellor Ross. Do you think that? I mean, he's previously criticised the Treasury for holding back on spending and then, I mean, from an investor's perspective, you're looking at it saying, I want him to be fiscally responsible, but then, you know, defence, he's going to spend on defence, surely. Well, that was what he wanted to do when he was Defence Secretary, so we'll see what he can come with now, whether he can generate that extra three or four billion pounds that he was arguing with Sir Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves about.

10:55I think the other thing that you're looking for from a Chancellor is that they work with the Prime Minister. You know, we have had examples, Philip Hammond and Theresa May, they certainly didn't seem to be on the same page. Gordon Brown and Tony Blair certainly weren't on the same page many years ago. So you assume that Andy Burnham, as First Lord of the Treasury, lest it not be forgotten, he's actually the boss, works with the Chancellor and that they work together and have the same agenda. And if they don't have that, then there's not going to be anywhere near as much done in terms of achieving ambitions and hopes as there would be otherwise.

11:25Leanna Byrne:What was the market's reaction to John Healy? Because he was announced the previous day all the markets were closed so we only got the reaction yesterday, didn't we? Yeah, no great change in sterling against the dollar or the euro yesterday and that sort of benchmark for the other bench. So sterling is one benchmark of government's political and economic credibility from a market's point of view. It's borrowing costs of the other, and that 10-year gilt or government bond is the benchmark there. That has just crept over 5 % for only the fourth time since 2007, so it has nudged up a little bit. Bond yields are actually rising for other governments as well, so it's not just the UK, but it does feel as if the UK is rising slightly faster than some of the others.

12:04So I think they're now waiting to see again what Mr Burnham and Mr Healy have got in mind, but they do have a big challenge. It does cost the UK more to borrow for 10 years than it does Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece or Spain, countries whose finances were in absolute shambles 10 or 15 years ago and were a bit of a laughing stock. And if the UK were still a member of the EU, which it's not, then only three members of that zone would actually currently pay more to borrow for 10 years than the UK and they would be Poland, Hungary and Romania, which would be politely termed as emerging markets, not developed ones.

12:35So there is a credibility gap there and that's one of the jobs that Mr Healy and Mr Burnham have got to try and fix.

12:41Leanna Byrne:Some more of the front pages, the Times, Burnham signals cuts to pay for spending pledges. So he is trying to, I guess, balance the books. And then also we had it makes the front pages, also on the BBC News website, Burnham backtracking on this income tax giveaway. So that was the tax-free personal allowance that he didn't move on that. Can you just, well, I suppose go back to basics. What is we talking about here? What is the personal allowance and why was he going to look at that? Yeah, so the first thing it's£12 ,570 or something of our income is tax-free. And after that, you move into the lower income tax bracket, then you get it to just over£50 ,000, you move into the 40 % tax bracket, and then up at£150 ,000, you move on to the next tax bracket of 45%.

13:25So what he was looking at was reducing that£12 ,570 bracket, or sorry, increasing that bracket so that the early part of a person's earnings would be tax-free. So that would be effective if you raise that threshold. Now, he's not at the moment, it seems now, going to do that. So, again, just because the cost will be quite substantial, I guess the hope would be if you gave people that tax cut, they'd go up and spend the money, and there would be a longer-term benefit. But, again, the short-term hit to government finances will be substantial, and therefore he seems to have backed off slightly.

13:58Leanna Byrne:Yeah, and just to put that into context for people, I guess, if I'm on£12 ,570 or whatever the figure is... That's the bang-on number. That is the bang-on number. There you go. So, and my wage increases with inflation and that's what he was looking to do, wasn't he? He was looking to increase it with inflation. But I essentially, some people out there, they don't want to take a pay rise because they're saying, oh, actually, I don't want to pay the tax on that. The government has, there've been a number of chancellors, Jeremy Hunt did it and then Rachel Reeves did it, who've been actually basically holding these tax thresholds and extending them.

14:31So they're now, I think, extended out to 2031. So as you say, if people get a pay rise to hopefully keep them in line with, or better still, slightly nip ahead of inflation, then they will naturally start over time to maybe fall into the higher tax brackets and therefore, yes, pay more tax. And there is that wicked, wicked cliff. If you're lucky enough to earn over£100 ,000 a year, you then start to lose other tax benefits. And so I think then, in effect, although His Majesty's Treasury, I think, will still deny this, once you start earning between£100 ,000 and£125 ,000, you effectively start paying on that little bit of your income there about a 60 odd percent tax rate because of the way in which the other tax changes kick in.

15:11So those cliffs are something that Mr Burnham may, in time, want to look at.

15:17Leanna Byrne:We've got a text in there. So no change in personal allowance, sad face. So yeah, a lot of people did want that to happen. Now Misha, how does that play out in your business? Are people saying, I'm still having to pay tax? I'm having to pay more tax even though inflation is going up. I'm having to pay more in my outgoings on the daily basis. Yes, they didn't actually when the minimum wage went up, so the living wage went up. So even if the living wage goes up, although our employees get paid more than the living wage, we increase their wages in proportion to whatever the living wage has gone up.

15:56And two people out of the 18 said, And, you know, we don't want a pay rise. We don't want the minimum wage to rise because it's just going to cost us more in tax. I don't think that's quite how it always works out. But this is just their perception. But, yeah, it does. People do think we don't want to have my daughter's got a very good job. You know, she's 26, earns about$50 ,000 a year at the moment. But how much of her money goes to tax and, of course, student loans payments? So young people, even when they have got a good job, actually only just managed. And that's a good job and it's a good salary for a 26 year old.

16:34But after paying student loans and after tax and everything, it's still hard to survive in paying rent.

16:41Leanna Byrne:That's it. Even trying to get a job these days is so difficult. We got a text in here from Steve saying, big love for you, Namisha, saying this lady sounds so wise and grounded. There you go. Big love heart. But serious question for you. For ordinary folks, fresh fruit is both expensive and yet unreliable. Drives me nuts, either damaged or just so often off or peaches rock hard forever. How does your fabulous guest deal with this? well we obviously buy tons and tons of it from um so it's not as if we're buying from a supermarket but yeah that that's exactly the reasons why pubs and bars now are moving to dried garnishes it's a new thing you know we started this a few about five six years ago and it's taken a long time to get people to understand that it it is actually a lot more cost-effective to buy dried garnishes and it looks nice as well, you know.

17:35But yeah, that's what small pubs and bars have to deal with. The cost of fruit and veg is changing every single day. I saw something the other day that the only thing that hasn't changed over the decades is the price of a banana. But a cucumber is as much as a pound each now, you know. Yeah. That's what I have for my breakfast this morning, a banana.

17:56Leanna Byrne:We got two texts in on the VAT cut. Good morning regarding the VAT cut for electricity bills. It's just a soundbite tokenism and will have no effect on as unfunded Keith from Bradbury. And it's a start, but it's a£40 to£50 off bills that have gone up significantly in the last two years in the context of a promise prior to the general election to reduce energy bills by£300. Labour made lots of promises, has delivered very little, at least little of what was wanted. Let's do a little recap on that. That was the first material policy announcement. And the government says cutting the 5 % VAT rate and domestic electricity to zero will save the average home, as we said, around£45 a year.

18:35Leanna Byrne:And ministers say the change will cost around£850 million. Our economics editor is Simon Jack. He's got defence spending. There's been talk about raising the threshold at which people start paying income tax. Andy Burnham says he wants to solve social care. These are very substantial, pricey pledges. And there's very little detail on where exactly that money is going to come from, given the fact that Andy Burnham has also said, and the Chancellor said he's going to stick to the fiscal rules. So when announced, the policy was said to be fully funded by using the cash saved by cancelling Sir Keir Starmer's digital ID scheme.

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19:10Leanna Byrne:But Darren Jones, a key member of Sir Keir's cabinet who was sacked by Andy Burnham, has publicly claimed that no money has been allocated to the digital ID project, something the government has disputed. Leaders of Opposition Party wasted no time in holding the new Prime Minister to account. We want to bring down the cost of energy for households as well as businesses. So it still falls short and it seems to not be funded. Well, it's probably not the best way to help households energy, but we'll have a look at it. At least it's something. That was the Conservative leader, Kemi Badenoch, and the Liberal Democrat leader, Sir Ed Davey there.

19:47Leanna Byrne:What do you think, Russ? I mean, is that like a decent argument that actually that isn't really fully funded if the budget wasn't there in the first place? It's a slightly unfortunate start that the party is starting to have a bit of internal sniping on day one or day two. So that's a little bit unfortunate. I mean, the intriguing thing is I think it's deemed to be a one year event, isn't it? And that therefore may go back to 5 % that VAT and electricity bills thereafter. I would be fairly confident there's almost no chance of that going back up. because we all know that, as US President Ronald Reagan once said, nothing lasts longer than a temporary government programme.

20:21And if this is designed to help people with the cost of living, if it's designed to try and give a little bit of a, you know, to help massage the inflation figures, then you're not going to be too keen to let that figure go back up because it might boost inflation and it might then often squeeze people's pockets in a year's time. So, again, you've got, I'm sure Mr Burnham's keen to say, look, put down a marker. We are very concerned about the issue of the cost of living. We are determined to try and help you. And I can see that, but this is the first step of what will have to be many steps in that direction.

20:49Leanna Byrne:Namisha, does that create an early credibility problem? And does that, you know, give a bit of doubt in your mind? Well, it did, yes. Because, yes, if the money hasn't been put aside anyway, how are you going to be saving that? I thought it made really good sense when Andy Burnham said that two, three days ago. He said, yes, that's what we're going to do. We're going to scrap the ID cards, which I didn't like the idea of it. or not the idea of it, but just the spending money on it at this stage. And I didn't think it was going to achieve that much. But then I don't know all the ins and outs. But yes, I thought, oh, that makes sense.

21:24That's great. At least he's explained how he's going to fund it. And then, of course, yeah, the next day, the money wasn't put aside anyway. You'd think they'd have checked that, really. But yeah.

21:37Leanna Byrne:Well, here's another one. MPs are today suggesting that employers' national insurance contributions should be cut for all under 25s. We were talking earlier about how difficult it is to get a job under 25 for young people. And the Work and Pensions Committee heard overwhelming evidence from businesses that rising employment costs, particularly driven by the national insurance contribution increases, were reducing training and job opportunities with young people disproportionately impacted. And this was particularly the case in retail and hospitality, traditionally big employers of young people.

22:08Leanna Byrne:I'm sure you've just seen this all over. Yes, absolutely. And I mean, I think when you're thinking about employing young people, one of the things you have to think about is what it's like employing somebody under 25 or under 21 or an 18 year old, as opposed to especially in our factory situation, we want somebody on a factory floor. And there are people out there who are aged 30, 40, 50, 60, even 70. I have a 73 year old that works for me at the factory. and they have a lot more life experience and a lot more responsibilities at home and they'll turn up to work day in and day out you don't always get that with younger people and so we almost need an incentive to employ younger people so when they increase the wage so that everybody was getting the same over 21 over age 21 that was really difficult to explain to the rest of our team.

23:06But I think, yes, the national insurance is going to help a huge deal. All the other programs that they had to help, you know, the schemes that they had, I don't think they were going to be very helpful because you had to commit to employing them for a long period of time before you got any money back. This is a direct hit on our national insurance bill, which makes a big difference. So I think it's a great thing. Good thing. Yeah.

23:29Leanna Byrne:Kind of, Russ, from a broader economics perspective, would this help? We had jobs data out yesterday on unemployment for people aged 18 to 24 rose by 0.3 % in the first three months to May. So things aren't going well in that category. 15 % unemployment for 18 to 24 year olds is a frightening number. And any government measure that's designed to try and help that and tackle those who are not in education or employment or training those needs, it's got to be a good thing. It's good for the economy. It gives those workers who want to get involved, it gives them a stake in society and it gives them a chance to start getting out there and earning and then ultimately spending.

24:09So the payback is long. I think the Resolution Foundation said that there's going to be a big initial cost to this, but over time you would like to think that you would get the payback. So it's got to be seen as a good thing. And Nimisha mentioned the magic word there, incentive. It's an incentive for employers and in the end all economics is about incentives and the rest is commentary as the saying goes.

24:29Leanna Byrne:It's interesting though, obviously Nimisha, you have a warehouse, you employ people, people need to use their hands. But what about AI? People are also blaming. It's kind of like it's two things at once. You also you have the increase to national insurance, but then you also have people, particularly office jobs are saying those entry level jobs, they can be done by AI now. Yes, we have. We work with schools, local schools, and where they have to do some work experience and they come into our factory and they work in the office. for one week, one month, six months, whatever. And a lot of those little jobs that, yes, you're absolutely right, AI is doing them a lot better.

25:13But what we should be doing, somebody needs to be operating and using AI. Somebody needs to be there to be using it. And it should be young people. One of the things I was really quite taken aback by, you would think young people, because they've grown up with computers, they've grown up with technology, you put them in front of a computer and they'll know exactly what to do, but they don't. They know about the phone. They know about how to use the phone itself and the social media. They don't know about office suites and all the things we need for them to learn. So even there, there is a gap.

25:45So there is a skills gap where young people are not being taught how to use AI to their advantage when they do get a job.

25:52Leanna Byrne:And Ross, I mean, are we just looking at a different economy when you've got the likes of AI now? We'll find out in the fullness of time. I think that AI will be there, as you said, to improve efficiencies and do a lot of sort of fairly basic data gathering or grunt work. But in the end, you still need junior employees to come into the business, to learn how it works, and ultimately develop and grow up through the business to become ultimately middle and senior management. And if they don't know the basics, then you're going to have a big problem further down the road. So I think that's something we all still need to think about as managers at companies or as employees on a much longer term basis.

26:27And as Namisha was saying, one of the great skills that any young person can have right now is knowing how to use AI, how to ask the right questions so you get the most appropriate, sensible and useful answers.

26:38Leanna Byrne:Now, obviously, the gilts markets, the financial markets are reacting to what's going on in the UK. But broadly, inflation internationally, there's a big lot going on. So price of oil has gone back up to$90 a barrel. No great surprise there, I guess. Well, not given the resumption of hostilities between the US and Iran. I think the US has now bombed Iranian facilities for 10 nights in a row. So the oil price, when the war began in February, was at$70 a barrel. It went to$125. It then almost round-tripped back to$70 when the peace deal was announced. The Memorandum of Understanding came out in early June, but it's now back at 90s, you say.

27:16The other thing that financial markets are increasingly looking at is not just the price of oil, but what's known as the crack spread, which is the difference between the price of two barrels of petrol and a barrel of diesel relative to three barrels of oil. And it's effectively how profitable refining is because we don't put crude oil in our car or our jet engines or our tractors. We put refined product in. So it's looking at the actual stuff that we use. And the crack spread, that price has gone from$40 to$65 in a month, which is telling you that refiners are scrambling around looking for oil supply and they're preparing maybe for higher oil prices going forwards.

27:52And if this carries on, we may find ourselves actually with some much more expensive petrol, diesel, jet fuel prices than maybe financial markets and day one economists are expecting and the inflation numbers suggest. So the oil price is important, but at the moment a lot more people are watching this crack spread. So keep an eye on that.

28:09Leanna Byrne:Well, speaking of international inflation pressures, Donald Trump has announced plans to impose tariffs 100 % on some of the most widely used drugs in America from 2028 as part of his latest effort to move manufacturing to the US. Well, let's speak to our reporter in Singapore, Archana Shukla. Good morning, Archana. Hey, hi. Good morning. I'm in Mumbai, by the way, not Singapore. Oh, pardon me. Well, it's great to have you. So tell me about this story. This relates to generic medicines. Just explain what are generic medicines. Well, generic medicines are basically copy versions. These are copy versions of patented drugs that have lost their patent.

28:51So branded products, when they lose their patent, many other companies come into the market to manufacture cheaper versions. So the moment a patent goes off, you would see multiple brands in the market across the world. So those are generic medicines. They are affordable and they improve access to many patients.

29:10Leanna Byrne:So why does Donald Trump has his eye on them? Why does he want to tariff them by 100 %? And I think then after that, 200 % after a year, right? Yeah, he's been talking about that. He's been talking about, you know, putting tariffs on pharmaceutical imports into the US. He wants companies to come and manufacture these drugs in the United States. He wants to move the production back home for these drugs. and that's why he's been speaking. Last, you know, a couple of months ago, he's actually put tariffs of 100 % on branded products. So these are patented drugs that are still selling as branded products in the United States.

29:46There is a 100 % tariff on companies that do not promise to set up manufacturing. And we've seen companies like L.I. Lilly, Pfizer promise large sets of money and production promises to the US and those tariffs on their products have actually come down. So this is what he wants to pass on to the generic medicines, but it will be far more difficult to do that for generics because of the sheer numbers and the volumes. You know, Liana, nine out of 10 prescriptions that are doled out in the United States are for generic medicines, and it saves huge amount of money for U.S. consumers. So if there is a tariff on these products, the end person receiving the tariff actually would be the U.S.

30:30consumer, because beyond a point, the companies are going to pass on that cost.

30:33Leanna Byrne:And this announcement comes as the White House is preparing for a wider reset of its tariff strategy. Its temporary 10 percent levy on many imports is due to expire on Friday. So are we expecting more this week? Absolutely. You know, this is the week that you would hear of tariffs. We heard of 50 % tariffs on Canadian goods yesterday. Before that, we heard about, you know, fresh tariffs on Brazilian products. So, yes, there is a reset on tariffs. But just have a look at it. You know, most of the announcements that are coming that are not coming for immediate effect. There is a window of negotiation in between, even on the pharmaceutical tariffs.

31:09There is a two-year window, after which it will be 100 % and then 200 % from the third year onward. So most pharma companies say that there is some time to reconcile, to discuss, to negotiate terms with the United States. And also, he's also giving a window because the United States is simultaneously having trade talks with multiple countries. So he's talking with Europe, he's talking with China, with India, some of the countries that will be supplying, that do supply a lot of, you know, generic drugs. And these proposed tariffs could be negotiating ploys when you are looking at these big trade deals that U.S.

31:47wants to be in its favor, even on the other tariffs that we spoke about yesterday about Canada. The U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade deal is under negotiation. So there you go.

31:57Leanna Byrne:All right. Archana Shokla in Mumbai. This is summer at its peak. Whole Foods Market Summer Fruit Fest is your invitation to eat the season. Fresh, organic, and bursting with flavor. Start your day with peaches and organic blueberries and yogurt. Build a grazing board with fresh fruit, prosciutto, and artisanal cheese. Then fire up the grill with no antibiotics ever proteins and fresh produce. Savor the season. Shop Summer Fruit Fest at Whole Foods Market. Thank you so much. Wake Up To Money from BBC Radio 5 Live. Welcome back to Wake Up To Money. It is 5.37. Lots of texts in this morning on our big chat about the economics and the politics.

32:40Leanna Byrne:The economics of the politics. We've got Brendan, the Governor's House Cafe and Deli in historical New York and Trent. Hylianne, Andy Burnham has to seriously use more stick than car to get people back to work or into work for the first time by incentivising small independent businesses to employ more people. Burnham should also consider using our natural resources, gas, oil, coal, potassium, along wind, solar, hydro, etc, etc. Well, Brandon, you should listen back to Wake Up To Money. Yesterday we had a big, big chat about that. But in a few moments we'll be speaking to somebody that has worked closely with the new Chancellor last time he was Treasury, later.

33:14Leanna Byrne:So, yeah, in a few minutes, actually. So just get your thoughts in to us, 85058 or 08085 909693 on WhatsApp. What do you make of the appointment? what you think he should be prioritising. Also, later on in the show, have you watched The Odyssey yet? Has it inspired you to read the book? Because later on we're going to hear from a bookseller who has seen sales of the ancient Greek epic Surge as a result of Christopher Nolan's adaptation. So get in touch with us about that. But, of course, less than two months ago, John Healy resigned as Defence Secretary due to a dispute with the Treasury over funding for his department.

33:56Leanna Byrne:Well, he now finds himself in charge of the Treasury. He is Andy Burnham's surprise pick for Chancellor and he now faces the challenge of easing the cost of living while maintaining fiscal responsibility. Healy is no stranger to the Treasury. He served as Economic Secretary to the Treasury between 2002 and 2005 and then Financial Secretary between 2005 and 2007. We've been asking people in Salford Quays what they think the new Chancellor's appointment, what they think of the new Chancellor's appointment and what his priorities should be. I think it was a good choice, to be honest here. Well, it seems an experienced type of guy I like, you know, for me anyway.

34:34So it goes anyway. For me, personally, it's about long-term financial health for people. The energy crisis is the big one. I think the main need for any government at the moment is to try and get the country united. A big thing I think should be focused is stabilising the country, making things more affordable for people, making sure there's support for our poorer citizens. And again, the energy crisis is a really big one, as well as like food prices as well in supermarkets. Once we can combat those kind of things, then working together and trying to fix bigger problems for like worldwide would be more useful.

35:17trying to sort out some sort of trade deals that are more beneficial for us than what we currently have.

35:25Leanna Byrne:Well, we're joined now by a colleague of Healy's during his first stint at the Treasury. Lord Boateng served as the chief secretary to the Treasury from 2002 to 2005. Good morning. Good morning, Leanne. Well, were you surprised by this appointment? Because it seems like everyone else was. No, I wasn't surprised. John Healy is someone with immense experience. in the Treasury. His approach is principled, patriotic, with a strong focus on policy. And as a Chancellor, he will be guided by his longstanding commitment to growth in and through the regions and a willingness, and this is important, to be innovative in delivering that.

36:06And so, given his association with the Prime Minister's political association and friendship over many years, no, it didn't come as a surprise to me.

36:16Leanna Byrne:Well, you worked through two spending reviews with him. So what is he like to work with? Well, good, thoughtful, someone who contributes and listens, someone who, above all, takes on board the need to be practical in delivery. Let's not forget, this is someone who, way back in 1998, when he was Parliamentary Private Secretary to Gordon Brown, wrote the seminal paper for Gordon and the Treasury on regional development agencies. This was someone who then subsequently, when he was Economic Secretary and Financial Secretary, and certainly during the period in which I was responsible for two spending reviews, worked with me and the Chancellor on delivering his vision in terms of regional development and put, I must say, business at the heart of that.

37:21So I think this is a Chancellor who really will take the Treasury by the scruff of the neck, work well with people and make sure that it delivers to this Prime Minister's agenda.

37:32Leanna Byrne:So he's had challenging jobs in the past and, you know, by your standards, he's certainly overcome them. But from what we heard from some of those people giving their opinions and how they are and the cost of living, does he have a very challenging job ahead? Is this his biggest challenge? Of course it's a big challenge. I mean, we live in troubled and troubling times. What we need, however, is clarity, clarity of purpose. What we need is a focus on delivery. And let's actually take the commitment that the Prime Minister and this government has to growth in every postcode. What the Chancellor understands is how business, and earlier on I heard you referring, or one of your ringers in, referring to small independent businesses.

38:25Well, they were put at the heart of the regional development agencies, which were so disastrously abandoned by the coalition regime in 2010. Again, it's small businesses working, medium-sized businesses, working with local authorities, with the universities, working to develop skills and capacity within the economy that will deliver the agenda of growth that is going to improve the living standards of all of us. But you know, the important thing, Lihana, is that the Treasury needs really to be innovative in this. If you take the challenge of defence spending, what we have not had from the Treasury, it seems to me, in the past years, is an innovative approach to raising money for spending on the defence, spending on defence, which we know has to happen, because the foremost and ultimate responsibility of government is to protect the people and the nation.

39:33So the Treasury needs to be innovative. And the good news is that this Chancellor has a track record of spearheading innovative work and thinking within the Treasury. So I have no doubt that the Treasury is going to play an important role in delivering on the objectives that the whole country wants to see succeed. And business has to be at the heart of that in the regions. Yeah.

39:57Leanna Byrne:And to put context on that, only weeks ago, John Healy accused the Treasury of treating defence as a drain rather than a driver of rope. That was a row. He left. You know, now that he's running the Treasury, does he have to prove that those criticisms were more than just the frustrations of a spending minister? And what would an innovative approach actually look like? What an innovative approach looks like, and the Chancellor knows this very well, is an approach that recognizes that defence has to be part of a wider industrial strategy, that our regions have a role to play in that, And that we have to ensure that we are able to borrow, to invest, and look at innovative mechanisms in order to do that.

40:51And the Treasury needs to be seen as a driver of performance across government. But equally, every part of government has to play their part in ensuring that national objectives are delivered. This is what the Chancellor achieved when he was Economic Secretary and Financial Secretary in the government of which Gordon Brown and myself were members in cabinet. And this is what I have no doubt he will do now he has achieved the highest economic office, office which he well deserves.

41:29Leanna Byrne:So, Lord Boateng, I think this is the crux of it. He wants a clear route to defence spending of 3 % of GDP. can he deliver that without higher taxes, more borrowing, significant cuts elsewhere? Is that possible? What we have to have and what we will have is a national conversation as to how we do that. What we will have is a Treasury which is thinking deeply and acting within the existing fiscal rules which do allow room for borrowing in order to invest, including investment in our national security. And we need a chancellor who will drive that in conjunction with the prime minister and who has a track record of delivery and understanding what it takes to improve and enhance economic performance.

42:25And he'll do that, you know, in a way that is prudent, because that was, you know, that was the word we used during our time and his time in the Treasury. And that's what we delivered. Do that in a way that is prudent, that enhances stability, but above all delivers, delivers to the regions, delivers to the country, to our national defence and well-being.

42:51Leanna Byrne:But it's difficult, isn't it? Every departmental minister believes their spending is essential. How does John Healy face that uncomfortable task of making the same arguments to colleagues that the Treasury probably previously made to him? Look, what the Treasury has not been doing in the past is thinking and working innovatively. It has not allowed departments to make the case to them and to hear the case for innovative approaches to delivering growth, to delivering spending within the departments concerned in ways that involve and engage a national effort. And business in every region has a role to play in that.

43:48And one of the things I learned, Liana, over the years, I began as a lawyer, I became a politician, I then became a diplomat. One of the things I learned was the best way of predicting what's going to happen is by looking at what people have said, written and done in the past. And when you look at what this chancellor has done in the past, in the Treasury as economic secretary, as financial secretary, if you look what he then went on to deliver in local government housing and planning when he was minister there, You see, this is someone who's serious, who's thoughtful, who's focused on policy and on delivery, is willing to think outside the box and works well with others in delivering on that.

44:38That's good news for the country, good news for the economy and good news, too, for everybody who's concerned about investment in business.

44:46Leanna Byrne:There you go. Well, Ross, I'm going to bring you in on this. I mean, Lord Boateng, you know, all his descriptions there. Is that a combination that's likely to reassure markets, to reassure investors? I think, yes, definitely. As we said at the top of the show, if there's a clear and credible program outlined with funding, I think financial markets will be very relaxed. Now, defense spending doesn't necessarily bring the biggest multiplier across the rest of the economy, but it still could create jobs, which does bring some benefits as the workers then go and spend their pay elsewhere. It isn't perhaps as big as some other industries or some other areas where you could spend the money.

45:18But as Lord Boateng said, in the end, the government's primary job is national security, and that's not just military. that's also energy resources and other vital things as well.

45:28Leanna Byrne:And defence chairs have risen on expectation. They did, yeah. Babcock, Kinetic and BAE Systems all went up yesterday on Mr Healy's appointment, intriguingly. Namisha, I mean, the government is promising both fiscal discipline, immediate help with the cost of living. With those priorities, do you think this is all good news? Yes, well, all welcome. I think the biggest thing I want to hear is how they're going to tighten their belts and how they're going to control costs. You need to control costs in order to invest in growth, and that's what we all want. It's a simple maths to me. It doesn't take a genius to work that out, surely, but I am confident.

46:09I mean, I'm a lot more confident now in the government than I was and really looking forward to seeing what they do to help businesses. Farmers, you know, they've had such a raw deal. So let's see where it goes. Yes, I'm excited.

46:22Leanna Byrne:Lord Boateng, another big priority is this growth in every postcode. So what evidence should we look for in John Healy's first budget to show that that's a genuine priority? Well, I think it's worth looking at what John Healy has written about this. And indeed, there was an article in a Harvard publication a few years ago in which he said, and this is, I think, hugely important, we resisted the idea that government at a national level could somehow simply favor cities, largely because that would have favored a few. There may have been economic agglomeration in strict terms, but we were concerned about equality as well as the economics.

47:05So it's right that we should be looking through the regional development agencies at agriculture. It's right that we should be looking at our big industries in pharma, in areas where, frankly, we have not had an industrial policy that's been driven in the past and where we now will have. And that's going to make a difference to everybody. We need an industrial policy. Lip service has been paid to it in the past. Now, through this government's emphasis on the regions and regional development, we will see actually that happening. And that's good news for every sector of the economy, not simply for defence.

47:56And we need a treasury that's driven to work in that way. And John Healy will drive it. He'll drive it with thoughtfulness, with care, with consideration, with an eye, yes, on stability, but making sure that central to all of that is growth, is business, is local authorities, universities, businesses working together on the ground in the regions. And that, I think, is an exciting opportunity and one which we really do need to embrace. It's long overdue.

48:32Leanna Byrne:Do you have any last words for him? Any advice? It's not for me to give advice to the Chancellor. This is someone who I trust, who has earned trust over the years in all the departments in which he has worked and with all the people with whom he's worked, in business, in local authorities, in academia, in the regions. I have no doubt that we are in for times which will provide challenges, yes, but above all, opportunity. And this country is up to it. And this prime minister and this chancellor are going to deliver to the objectives that we have set them. Well, Lord Boateng, thank you so much for coming on Wake Up To Money.

49:13Leanna Byrne:Maybe you'll put in a good word with John Healy and he'll come on the show as well at some point. My pleasure, Leona. You take care. It's been a pleasure having you on. All right. OK, well, let's talk about The Odyssey. Namesha, any interest in seeing it in the cinema? Are you a Christopher Nolan fan? Yes, I've heard a lot about the film. You know, record numbers and biggest opening for Nolan, etc. And it's all very impressive. And you just said, I think, that the sale of the books are climbing, aren't they? The one thing is, though, except it's not true to the book at all. And that seems to be a bit of a trend at the moment, given Wuthering Heights, you know, where it was a big title, one that everybody knows, but it didn't really stay true to the story.

50:04So I'm wondering why use that title if you're not really staying true to it. Yeah, people were raging about that, weren't they?

50:11Leanna Byrne:Yeah. And I'm not really into fantasy. Bring on the minions for me. Fair enough. Well, you're right. The Odyssey is proving to be a box office hit so far, but so are sales of the original Epic. The book sales of The Odyssey are up 70 % on last year with almost 40 ,000 copies already sold this year. That's according to Nielsen, the UK data analytics company, and Kate Skipper is chief operating officer at Waterstones. Good morning, Kate. Good morning. So what have you seen in terms of demand? Big spike? Yes, it's been phenomenal, actually. So we've got the main sales have concentrated on Emily Wilson's translation, which is an incredibly lively adaptation, which Christopher Nolan apparently has been inspired by.

51:02So that book in particular has had an 890 % increase year on year. And we're getting deliveries every day and it's selling as quick as it arrives.

51:12Leanna Byrne:Now, we've got one text in that says, no one should read the Odyssey. It's intended to be told out loud. It's much better enjoyed as an audiobook. That's Sarah in Jerusalem. But I'm guessing you would argue differently. Absolutely. I think, you know, we've just made the point earlier about, you know, the sort of how true a film can be to the book can vary enormously. I think this one very much feels like it was, it's true to the spirit of it. It's not obviously true to every word of the text. So who's buying it? Who's this Nolan effect, I guess, touching in terms of demographics? I think that's one of the interesting things about this book in particular and the film adaptation is that it does have this huge demographic appeal.

52:00So it's this great sweeping adventure story fundamentally, but it's also a Greek myth. So it seems to be appealing from teenagers all the way through to retirees. Both men and women seem equally entranced. Whereas something like Wuthering Heights earlier in the year, that seemed very firmly aimed at a much younger demographic and didn't seem to extend its reach of that film much beyond that.

52:28Leanna Byrne:And so when a classic gets remade like Wuthering Heights, do you generally see a spike in the sales of that book? yes generally there is always a there's always an uplift um but it depends on the scale of the uplift and it depends on the um and this is the longevity of that uplift and weathering heights was a much smaller spike for us so um we we didn't see anything like we're seeing here for the odyssey um and again i think that part of that was because of the demographic of the film also the Odyssey has been incredibly well reviewed it comes with this enormous marketing budget as many films do but the reviews are the element that you can't really predict and that does seem to translate make a difference in how many copies of a title will sell And then Kate, do you have to prepare for this in any way?

53:21Leanna Byrne:Get a bit more stock in? Absolutely what you never do quite know is how much stock you need to get in and sometimes equally with something like this exactly which edition will fly so Emily Wilson as I said that's the one that's doing so incredibly well and deliveries arrive every day and they fly out all the other editions are also selling so Stephen Fry did a great retelling of it a few years ago that's doing really nicely again all the Penguin Classics are doing really great Brilliant. Okay, Kate Skipper, Chief Operating Officer at Waterstones. Thank you so much for joining us. Wake Up To Money from BBC Five Live.

54:03Leanna Byrne:Also, big thank you to Namisha Raja, owner and chief executive of NIMS Naturally, and AJ Bell's investment director, Russ Mould, who joined us for the programme. And that is it from Wake Up To Money. Listen back to us on BBC Sounds.

54:445 Live Sports I've lived every ball of this. Listen on BBC Sounds.

54:54How did a boycott Jimmy become a billionaire from posting videos? On Good Bad Billionaire, we're going to find out how the world's most popular YouTuber, Mr Beast, made his fortune. He's buried himself in a coffin for days. Counted to 100 ,000 on camera. And even recreated Squid Games, all in an attempt to go viral on the internet. But it all started when he gave a homeless man$10 ,000. So is he a philanthropist reshaping capitalism? Or is he just the king of the attention economy? Find out on Good Bad Billionaire. Listen on BBC.com or wherever you get your podcasts.

From the publisher

Leanna Byrne speaks to Lord Boateng, who worked with new Chancellor John Healey during his first stint at the Treasury. And some MPs are suggesting that National Insurance contributions paid by employers should be cut for all under-25s. Elsewhere, while The Odyssey is getting rave reviews, book sales for the epic are also booming.

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