Strait-ening out?

15 Jun 2026 · 52 min · 25 chapters

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In short

Wake Up To Money (BBC Five Live) covers: (1) US-Iran peace deal news and implications for oil prices and markets; (2) UK EV policy—possible watering down of the 2030 mandate; (3) UK defence investment uncertainty; (4) expected UK social media protections for under-16s; (5) business/markets items including SpaceX trading and a Boots takeover pullout; (6) Scottish World Cup fan coverage; plus listener EV experiences.

Guests (backgrounds)

Penny Hughes, chair of luxury retirement brand Riverstone Living (previous roles include The Gym Group, Coca-Cola, IQ student accommodation). Laura Lambie, Senior Investment Director at Rathbones. Robin Mills, CEO of Kamar Energy (Dubai-based energy consultancy). Megan Sutcliffe, geopolitical/security intelligence analyst at Sibylline (Middle East & Africa). Steve Beddington, CEO of Bristol military tech firm Q5D. (Also referenced: James Alexander, CEO of UK Sustainable Investment and Finance Association; Jonathan Joseph, BBC correspondent; Zoe Kleinman, BBC tech correspondent.)

Key claims

Oil fell ~4.75%/>$10 on deal expectations; strait-of-Hormuz “opening” and nuclear/sanctions details are crucial. EV target may drop from 80% of new cars to as low as 50–70%, worrying investors and charging-infrastructure backers. Defence procurement uncertainty is pushing Q5D toward US/Europe. Under-16 social media ban likely includes age verification and possible extra restrictions/penalties. SpaceX sentiment-driven appetite despite no earnings.

Notable examples

60-day extension to ceasefire; possible signature in Switzerland Friday; past “false dawns” (37–39). EV listener stories: solar + home charging; salary sacrifice “all-in” monthly fee. Q5D selling drone-related work to US Army; UK procurement “over-specified.” Australia’s under-16 ban as precedent; mention of AI chatbot blocking. SpaceX first-day trading: opened ~$150, closed ~$160 after ~$135 launch. Boots: Sigma Healthcare pulled out of a ~$10bn bid.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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Discussion on Recent Events

0:00 to 1:02

Exploring the recent peace deal between Iran and the US and its implications.

“This BBC podcast is supported by ads outside the UK.”

Discussion on Recent Events

2:50 to 3:50

Exploring the recent peace deal between Iran and the US and its implications.

“Wake Up To Money on Monday the 15th of June.”

Exploring the Scottish World Cup Win

3:50 to 4:40

Discussion about the recent Scottish football victory and its impact.

“Your CV, we could do a whole show on that, actually.”

Impact of the Peace Deal on the Oil Market

4:40 to 6:00

Analysis of how the Iran-US peace deal affects global oil prices.

“So I woke up early in the morning, immediately looked to the BBC and we had nervously won the match.”

Detailed Analysis of the Peace Deal

6:00 to 8:00

In-depth discussion about the terms and implications of the Iran-US agreement.

“As I say, pretty strong, excitable words.”

Geopolitical Perspectives on the Deal

8:00 to 10:40

Insights from analysts on the potential outcomes of the Iran-US agreement.

“Robin, thanks very much for being with us on Wake Up To Money.”

Challenges and Future Prospects

10:40 to 14:00

Discussion on potential challenges that could undermine the peace deal.

“I want to bring in Megan Sutcliffe, a geopolitical and security intelligence analyst specialising in the Middle East and Africa at Sibiline.”

Negotiation Stalemate and Nuclear Concerns

14:00 to 14:59

Discuss the hardline positions of the US and Iran regarding nuclear negotiations.

“At the moment, of course, we are looking at a situation where for over 100 days, both parties have negotiated quite hardline positions when it comes to their aspirations and the outcome of this conflict.”

Shipping and Market Reactions

15:00 to 17:29

Examine how shipping companies and investors are reacting to the potential opening of the Strait of Hormuz.

“Robin, how willing are shipping companies, energy companies to try to start shipping again through the strait?”

Regional Geopolitics and Future Diplomacy

17:30 to 21:48

Analysis of Iran's increased influence and the challenges in future diplomatic negotiations.

“over the next few days before supposedly getting signed.”
Show all 25 chapters

Listener Perspectives on Electric Vehicles

21:49 to 23:10

Listeners share their experiences and thoughts regarding the switch to electric vehicles.

“Well, we will be staying across this all week here on Wake Up To Money and across Five Live, bringing you the latest news as it happens.”

Government's EV Target Challenges

23:11 to 26:16

Discuss the potential watering down of the UK's EV targets and industry concerns.

“sold in the UK are supposed to be electric by the year 2030.”

Investor Confidence in EV Transition

26:17 to 28:00

Explore investor concerns regarding the UK's policy shifts on electric vehicles.

“James Alexander there, CEO of the UK Sustainable Investment and Finance Association.”

Government EV Targets and Public Opinions

28:00 to 30:26

Discussion on government strategies regarding electric vehicle targets and public sentiments.

“So I think it's a bit of a halfway house for the government in terms of trying to appease the car makers by reducing the targets.”

Implications of the Defence Investment Plan

31:28 to 37:09

A dialogue about the impact of the UK government’s defence investment plan on military technology companies.

“Somebody who doesn't give their name just says, EV owners are the motoring version of vegans, which I feel you're saying critically, but I suppose could be taken either way.”

Children's Online Safety Measures

37:09 to 40:53

Exploration of the Prime Minister's upcoming social media ban for children and its implications.

“Well, there's lots the government's considering this week.”

SpaceX Trading and Market Reactions

40:53 to 42:01

Discussion on SpaceX's trading debut and the investor sentiment surrounding it.

“That's our technology correspondent, Zoe Kleinman.”

Exploring SpaceX's Investor Appeal

42:01 to 43:31

Discussion on the factors driving investor interest in SpaceX.

“And quite futuristic plans going on as well.”

Trends in Luxury Retirement Living

43:31 to 45:06

Insights into the current demand for luxury retirement accommodation.

“I'm waiting very patiently, I'm afraid, Penny Hughes, chair of the luxury retirement brand Riverstone Living.”

Challenges in Retirement Housing Sales

45:06 to 47:29

Addressing concerns about unsellable retirement flats due to fees.

“And Will in London wants to know what you feel the government or the industry can do about that.”

Planning for Retirement and Future Care

47:29 to 48:48

The need for better financial planning for retirement living.

“Sarah Pennells is a consumer finance specialist at Royal London.”

Boots' Failed Takeover Talks

48:48 to 50:20

Analysis of Sigma Healthcare's decision to withdraw from Boots acquisition.

“And so I agree with things like increasing the proportion into auto-enrolment, finding ways of bringing the self-employed sector into auto-enrolment.”

Scotland's World Cup Excitement

50:20 to 53:40

Celebrating Scotland's success in the World Cup and its impact.

“OK, something that is great is Scotland kicking off their first World Cup campaign since 1990 with a win against Haiti at the Gillette Stadium in Boston early on Sunday morning our time.”

Show Closing Remarks

53:40 to 53:55

Wrap-up of the discussion and thanks to guests.

“Penny Hughes, Chair of Riverstone Living.”

Show Closing Remarks

54:17 to 55:49

Wrap-up of the discussion and thanks to guests.

“This is the story of the greatest rivalry in the history of sport.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00This BBC podcast is supported by ads outside the UK.

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1:41BBC Sounds. Music, radio, podcasts. Wake Up To Money from BBC Five Live. Hello, welcome to Wake Up To Money, ships of the world. Start your engines. let the oil flow. That's what Donald Trump hosted. Pakistani mediators announced a peace deal between Iran and the US. And Vice President J.D. Vance is very pleased. It's going to end the war. It's going to make the Middle East more investable. It's going to mean a lot of prosperity, lower energy prices for the American people. So what do we know? What do we still not know? And what does it all mean for your pocket? We will find out. Also in the show, as Keir Starmer heads to the G7 summit in France, later today, we'll look at what's next for the UK's stumbling defence strategy.

2:27And speaking of defence, how are the heads Scotland fans? Well, you thought it couldn't get any better sitting in a Boston bar. After their first World Cup win in 36 years, we'll speak to a pub owner in Boston, which has become a real hub for Scottish fans during the tournament. Wake Up To Money with Felicity Hanna. Very good morning to you. Welcome to the week. Welcome to Wake Up To Money on Monday the 15th of June. It's just coming up to five minutes past five. And if you are listening from Scotland this morning, then a particularly good morning. Although I suspect some of you might be listening on catch up since you're getting a cheeky World Cup bank holiday today.

3:07Later on in the show, we'll be talking EVs with the news that the government's targets might get watered down. So I want to hear from you this morning. I want to hear from you about everything we're talking about. But do get in touch and let me know your thoughts on all things vehicles, electric or ice. Have you made the switch yet? What's holding you back if you haven't? You can text me on 85058. You can send me a WhatsApp message on 08085 909693. And if you're on social media, use the hashtag WakeUpToMoney. I will keep an eye on that. And I will also be keeping an eye on our guests this morning.

3:43I'm joined by Penny Hughes, chair of the luxury retirement brand Riverstone Living. Morning, Penny. Good morning, Christy. Your CV, we could do a whole show on that, actually. Over the years, you have held chair and other positions at the gym group, Coca-Cola, IQ student accommodation. You must see how all the conversations that we have on Wake Up To Money feed into just every different industry and business. Well, it's been good fun. And I think probably what you're reflecting is experience and long years. I'm looking forward to being with you and your guests. Well, very, very pleased to have you.

4:18And also joining us this morning is Laura Lambie, Senior Investment Director at Rathbones. Morning, Laura. Good morning, Felicity. What was it like? I believe you're in Glasgow. What was the atmosphere like after that win? Well, I'm afraid I did not stay up until two o 'clock in the morning to watch it. It's a hard watch watching Scotland play football from past experience. So I woke up early in the morning, immediately looked to the BBC and we had nervously won the match. So that was great. Very, very good news. But was there a bit of a party atmosphere? And also the bank holiday today. I mean, that's relatively short notice.

4:57Do you think many, many people are getting it? I don't think so. I think most of the public sector are enjoying it. But I think most of the private sector have decided just to take it. So, yeah, the roads will be quieter, I suspect. But, you know, possibly most people will not be enjoying today off. Well, 85058, if you are in Scotland, want to share your views on that. There's so much to talk about. It was breaking news overnight with that oil news. But Penny, just a quick check in with you. How is business in the luxury retirement sphere? um so london housing has been quite challenged um you you'll know that number of transactions and pricing in prime central london uh is holding but not improving and so it's quite challenging but what we do really is offer people a different lifestyle and so i think if you're doing something new and pioneering you can normally overcome the sort of headwinds of the economy okay well let's talk about one of those headwinds that might be being overcome this morning.

6:02As I say, pretty strong, excitable words. Ships of the world, start your engines, let the oil flow. Sounds a bit like something out of Wacky Races, which I said to my producer this morning, who's clearly too young to have ever heard of Wacky Races. But those were the words written on Truth Social by the US President Donald Trump. That's after the Prime Minister of Pakistan announced that a peace deal has been reached between the US and Iran. Posting on X, Shabazz Sharif, who's been acting as mediator, said, following intensive talks, they have been intensive, haven't they? We are pleased to announce that the peace deal between the United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran has been reached.

6:42Iran's deputy foreign minister confirmed on state TV that a deal has been finalised. An official signing ceremony is expected to happen on Friday in Switzerland. Here's U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance telling Fox News overnight what he believes the deal will do. Number one, this is the immediate opening of the Straits of Hormuz and, of course, the lifting of the naval blockade that we've had on Iran along with it. The number two thing that it means is that Iran will never have a nuclear weapon and not just pursue a nuclear weapon, but procure or try to buy a nuclear weapon as well. That's built into this agreement.

7:20And then the third thing is, and this only happens, to be clear, if Iran delivers on their promise. And so there's an approach here where we verify and where there are real benefits so long as Iran meets their end of the obligation. But if the Iranians comply with this deal, it is going to fundamentally transform the Middle East for the next 50 years. It's going to end the war. It's going to make the Middle East more investable. It's going to mean a lot of prosperity, lower energy prices for the American people. Well, that's J.D. Vance's view on it. I will absolutely be getting Laura's and Penny's as well.

7:55But let's also talk to Robin Mills, Chief Executive of Kamar Energy, which is an energy consultancy based in Dubai. Robin, thanks very much for being with us on Wake Up To Money. Hello. Thank you. Good morning. So first of all, then, just bring us up to date on what we're seeing with oil prices, because Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, that dropped more than 4.75 percent this morning,$83 a barrel. For context, it was hovering about$95 this time last week. So is that in line with what you'd expect? Yes, absolutely. I mean, not surprising, prices have fallen on the news of this deal. Obviously, there's still a long way to go and we need to see the deal actually signed and then implemented, which is always tricky.

8:40But indeed, not surprising, all prices have come off, as you say, more than $10 a barrel. What do we actually know so far? What are we aware of that might be agreed in this deal? Or do we have to wait now to see the small print? Yeah, more than small print, I think. It's pretty crucial terms on both sides of leaking the agreement and some differences on what's actually agreed. I mean, look, there's a whole bunch of terms, obviously, that will be negotiated later, particularly around Iran's nuclear program and what constraints are on that, on sanctions relief, on releasing Iran's frozen funds, all these kind of details, very important details.

9:21But I think the key thing for oil prices is obviously the strait is supposed to be open. Donald Trump has said so completely open. Ships will keep moving again. Will the Iranians, as they've argued all through this crisis, have any control? Will they be able to charge tolls? Will they be able to approve vessels going in and out? Or is it completely free passage? Now, I mentioned the words from the US president, ships of the world, start your engines, let the oil flow. I mean, those are incredibly upbeat comments, aren't they? But we have had a number of previous kind of upbeat comments that turned out to be false dawns.

9:59Does this feel like we are finally arriving somewhere where the conflict of the last three and a half months might be concluded? Yeah, I mean, depending on your count, there's been 37 or 39 kind of similar promising announcements from the president since early in March. But yeah, this does feel different because both sides have released texts and quite a bit of detail and talked very promisingly about signature. And there's also clearly a lot of internal debate within Iran about how good a deal they got and whether they should now go ahead. So yes, this does seem different, but still fingers crossed.

10:39We can't guarantee that we're actually there yet on getting the strait properly open. Well, stay with us, Robin. I want to bring in Megan Sutcliffe, a geopolitical and security intelligence analyst specialising in the Middle East and Africa at Sibiline. Megan, good morning. Good morning. Thanks very much for being with us. Robin's been sort of talking us through some of the perhaps the hesitations. And you heard that 37 to 39, depending on your count, false dawns already. Does this feel different to you as well? It certainly does feel different because while in the past we have seen Trump repeatedly stating that a deal was imminent, that it was about to be reached, this is the first time that we've really seen Trump and Pakistani mediators both state clearly that an agreement has been reached and that it will be officially signed in the coming days.

11:34Of course, this does not necessarily mean that a lasting peace is coming to the region. The agreement that has been reached is only a 60-day extension to the existing ceasefire. However, the fact that we are now looking at a formal de-escalation framework and one that opens the door to further engagement is a positive sign when it comes to de-escalation and is cause for cautious optimism, at least within the region. Robin, though, was highlighting some of the things that are still potentially unknown, sticking points like Iran's uranium or the sort of control over the straits seems to be unlocked, but is still potentially something where we might see tension in the future.

12:20I mean, what could potentially scupper this deal before it's signed on Friday? Well, right now, there are three major factors that could undermine this particular deal. The first is, of course, the dynamics that are at play in Lebanon at the moment. We've seen Iran repeatedly state that a ceasefire between the US and Iran should also include a durable ceasefire between Israel and Lebanese Hezbollah. And if we were to see a continuation of Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon, particularly targeting the capital, Beirut, that would undermine the potential for this deal to come into force. The second area of concern is, of course, going to be the Strait of Hormuz.

13:05Although Trump has said that the waterway is now open, Iran's definition of open will potentially be different from that of the United States. And that could well undermine the longevity of this deal. Finally, of course, we have to look at the nuclear programme and exactly what concessions Iran is willing to make in this particular situation. If those concessions are not sufficient for the United States, particularly regarding weaponisation of Iran's capabilities, then at that point it's possible that this deal will be dead in the water before it probably arrives. Is it a problem, Megan, that there always has to be some compromise, doesn't there, with any kind of jaw-jaw instead of war-war, that there has to be compromise on both sides.

13:48And we're in a situation here where both sides feel like they need to take away a win. And that means that America is perhaps unlikely to be satisfied with just getting things back to where they were, the status quo before the conflict began. I think that's entirely possible. At the moment, of course, we are looking at a situation where for over 100 days, both parties have negotiated quite hardline positions when it comes to their aspirations and the outcome of this conflict. And in order to secure a better agreement, both sides would have to demonstrate more flexibility. This is particularly acute as a factor when we're looking at Iran's nuclear program.

14:29The United States is looking for an agreement whereby Iran does not have an autonomous nuclear program, whereas Iran views the autonomy of its nuclear program as central to its autonomy as a state. If both parties are unwilling to show flexibility, that would essentially bridge the gap between where they're standing at the moment. Then unfortunately, I think that it is entirely possible we will see this deal falling apart and conflict coming back to the region again, after, of course, two rounds of extremely intense conflict over the past 12 months. Robin, how willing are shipping companies, energy companies to try to start shipping again through the strait?

15:10Will they need a bit more encouragement, a bit more reassurance?

15:16A lot of variation. I mean, we've seen the fleets of the national companies actually in the Gulf already kind of cautiously getting ships in and out. We've seen some rather more daring ship owners and their crews, but the big commercial lines are definitely be cautious. We'll need to see a few safe transits, obviously still question if all the mines have been removed. So yeah, we need to see a few safe transit before ships rush back in general. Laura, we've heard a look at the oil markets this morning, at what the different shipping companies might mean. But what are we seeing in terms of how investors are feeling, Asian trading futures this morning?

15:57Very much up on the expectation that we are going to see the Strait of Hormuz opened up again. Now, that might not happen. Your experts have outlined the risks in that. But it's Certainly is the best so far we've had in terms of the war with Iraq stopping. We've had buoyant Asian markets, so the Nikkei up 5 % overnight. Even the Chinese market, which has stagnated, has been up. Of course, short-term markets are reflecting increased expectations of a fix. but there are long-term issues, shipping backlogs, logistics, insurance issues, refining issues. All of these need to be fixed until we start to see that really impacting on the actual price of oil in the country and what impact that has on inflation.

16:52Robin, what will you be looking out for then over the coming days ahead of that deal getting signed on Friday? Well, we'll see if ships do indeed start sailing. That's crucial, of course. And then if there are any threats to them, if they kind of jump the gun to take the race analogy again. And then obviously there are still some vulnerable points on the deal and particularly the fighting in Lebanon. And is Israel going to escalate in Lebanon again? will the Iranians feel obliged to retaliate? That's really, I think, the danger where the deal could break down over the next few days before supposedly getting signed.

17:35And are you cautious, optimistic or cautiously optimistic?

17:41I'd say cautiously optimistic, yes, in terms of getting a deal. It's an interim deal. It's a lot to negotiate. But it does look at least that we're not going to go back to full-scale fighting. And some kind of normal transit, normal-ish transit is getting close. Yes. Megan, how big a deal is it, do you think, for whatever happens, whatever is signed, whatever is agreed, moving forward? Iran now understands the stranglehold that it can potentially exercise over the global economy. It's certainly very significant. And looking at Iran and its actions in the past, it's highly likely that it's going to remember this experience and that it's going to leverage its capabilities regarding the Strait of Hormuz during periods of economic pressure or geopolitical tensions.

18:36We saw this at play in 2020 and 2021 when Iran engaged in a campaign of selected hostilities targeting vessels that were attempting to transit the Strait of Hormuz that were affiliated with states that were enforcing US sanctions such as South Korea. This was extremely detrimental to confidence in the navigability of the waterway. But that was almost nothing compared to what we've seen over the past three months. And so the major concern for Iran going forward is going to be how they choose to tighten this essential soft blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, one that essentially relies on its capacity to credibly threaten vessels as opposed to necessarily physically blocking the Strait of Hormuz.

19:24Iran's going to maintain those capabilities. And in the future, that's going to undermine the resilience of maritime supply chains from the region and will undermine confidence in the broader predictability of the region's security environment, particularly when it comes to tense relations between states like Iran and the United Arab Emirates. Robin, how much of a concern is that in Dubai that the genie can't be put back in the bottle, that Iran now fully understands just how well it can weaponise that narrow strait? I think the view is a bit different. I think if we take the UAE point of view, they've adapted their policy all the way through this war.

20:07I think they'll feel confident they've actually come out of this quite resilient. And there'll be a new relationship with Iran going forward, hopefully a more positive and constructive one, having resolved this conflict. Yeah, but things will be very different. Obviously, Iran is now in a very different position in the region. More powerful, but I certainly think also the neighbouring countries have learned some things about how to survive a conflict like this. So, Megan, what about you? Are you cautious, optimistic or cautiously optimistic? I am cautiously optimistic about what this particular agreement means, at least for the next few months.

20:43However, there are going to be major challenges to converting this particular memorandum of understanding into a lasting agreement. My primary concern is going to be those nuclear negotiations. Under the memorandum of understanding, those talks should begin within the coming week. But we've already had two rounds of negotiations between the US and Iran. And on both occasions, those have ended because of conflict in the first instance, of course, between Israel and Iran, and in the second instance, between the US, Israel and Iran. It's possible that that situation will re-emerge in the next few months.

21:21And if we're looking at longer term timescales, of course, the 2015 Iran nuclear deal took almost two years to negotiate. It was over 100 pages, and it was an extremely complex process trying to get there. All parties would need to demonstrate significant patience and commitment to diplomacy in order to achieve a similar structure or a similar agreement. And unfortunately, I'm not sure that that necessarily is the characteristic that we're seeing in the White House, at least at this point in time. Well, we will be staying across this all week here on Wake Up To Money and across Five Live, bringing you the latest news as it happens.

21:57Megan and Robin, though, thank you so much for starting the week with us, giving us such a clear update. That's Megan Sutcliffe from Sibylline and Robin Mills from Kamar Energy, which is based in Dubai. I thank you both. Right. I've been asking you this morning for your views on EVs, why you've switched, why you haven't switched. As always, Wake Up to Money listeners have lots of views on this. Veronica in Lincolnshire says, I made the switch to EV in March. Super pleased with the investment. It was time for me as I had solar installed in February. So I never paid inflated petrol prices. Haven't had the need to charge on the road.

22:33Energy bills have fallen. And on top of that, for the first quarter, I exported 280 quid back to the grid. It felt like a no-brainer for me. No regrets yet. Thank you for that. And Conrad in Scotland says, I made the EV switch last August through my work salary sacrifice. I'm so happy. I don't know why I didn't do the switch sooner. It's totally worry-free driving, including a brand new car, insurance, road tax, breakdown cover, servicing tyres, all for one monthly fee. I would highly recommend it. And Conrad also says, come on, Scotland. P.S. That's from an Irishman. Thank you very, very much for your thoughts so far.

23:08keep them coming. But we're talking about it because under current rules, 80 % of all new cars sold in the UK are supposed to be electric by the year 2030. Now, the BBC understands that target may be watered down by the government. How much isn't entirely clear yet. It could be down to as low as 50%. Jonathan Joseph can explain more. Well, the car industry has long been warning the government that it's moving too fast towards its final destination of banning new petrol and diesel cars. Now, in the current system, manufacturers get a£15 ,000 fine for each vehicle they sell that breaches the target.

23:48That's led to them discounting electric cars to make them more attractive to consumers. And it's a bill the industry puts at£10 billion over the last two years. Trade unions have also got their concerns about the sustainability of this, saying it will cost jobs if it continues. Industry sources are worried that there just isn't enough demand at the moment to meet the EV targets. There's still concerns amongst the public, they say, about reliability and the extent of the charging network. So the government's going to run this consultation, which will look at cutting that 80 % target for 2030 to anything from 50 to 70%.

24:21We'll take weeks or months till we find out what that number actually is. Worth remembering where we are now though as well. Just over 23 % of the 2 million or so new cars sold in this country last year were electric, but bear in mind 80 % of all cars sold were second hand and they're not included in these targets. Our correspondent Jonathan Joseph there and as he said the car industry has been warning for some time that there are difficulties achieving that 80 % target by 2030. the change of policy or potential change reflects those broader global difficulties that manufacturers have been facing in convincing the public to make the switch to EVs.

25:02Despite investing billions in making them and sometimes in subsidising them and offering incentives, some people still do have concerns, don't they, about the range of the vehicles, about the charging infrastructure, about whether they've actually got somewhere that they can charge it if they're not living in a house with a drive. James Alexander is CEO of UK Sustainable Investment and Finance Association. He, for one, is far from happy. Investors are deeply concerned by suggestions that the government is seeking to water down the zero emission vehicle mandate, a policy which has been pivotal in driving billions of pounds of investment into charging infrastructure across the country.

25:41When the government suddenly withdraws support for signature policies, it's hugely damaging for the UK's reputation as a reliable place to invest and can make investors such as pension funds think twice about future financing if they are no longer confident that the government will stick to its long-term plans. The government has made it clear that they want the UK to be a clean energy superpower because they understand the scale of the investment and economic growth that this can drive while building our resilience to volatile fossil fuel prices. But committing this capital will become riskier if policies continue to be changed and watered down at short notice.

Read the full transcript

26:15We need to see the government provide clear and consistent policies that give investors the confidence to finance the UK's future. James Alexander there, CEO of the UK Sustainable Investment and Finance Association. Still with us, waiting patiently, Penny Hughes. Lots more to talk to you about, Penny, chair of the luxury retirement brand Riverstone Living. But you are somebody who's sort of made a halfway house switch, aren't you? You're driving a hybrid, I think. Yes, that's right. It suits me well. How are you finding it? Oh, I love it. For short journeys, local journeys, obviously you're on e-power.

26:52But if you're going on longer journeys, then you're not worried about the range. So it kind of does away with that range anxiety that so many people talk about. It does indeed. Laura, James Alexander mentioned investor confidence there. And this is a really tricky area, isn't it? Because these big companies have invested just absolutely eye-watering amounts. what's the general mood among investors when it comes to that EV transition? I think there's two points here. James was talking about the government changing policy or watering policies down and that is not good for businesses, any sort of business, if there is change in policy and then they have to adapt or to change to that.

27:35But I do think this is probably a reflection of the lack of demand And the government is recognising demand is growing, but it's not fast enough to meet the mandates to actually get 80 percent of new car sales to be electric by 2030. So they are considering weakening it. And car makers and unions actually have warned that there are job losses and plant closures if they are penalised for not meeting these targets. So I think it's a bit of a halfway house for the government in terms of trying to appease the car makers by reducing the targets. And Charge UK, which represents 40 companies that install and operate charging points, they say that this kind of thing impacts how investors will view the UK more broadly beyond just EVs, that we can't be trusted to stick with long term plans.

28:26Do you think that's fair? I think that's a fair, I do think that's a fair point. But what the government is trying to do is make sure that we have a robust car industry and good consumer demand. So you have to balance these two out, I'm afraid. OK, well, we heard a message from Johnny who says, Morning, Fliss. I'm a Sparky based in Suffolk. I'll never get an EV. Don't earn more than 40 grand. Network of charging infrastructure isn't there. And it's just dieselgate all over again. My mate is a second-hand car dealer and won't touch them as they depreciate so much and are written off on a whim. Keep up the great work.

29:01Thank you, Johnny. Keep your thoughts coming this morning. And Gaz says, just on the EV decision, why more consultation? Methinks it just feeds into Keir Starmer's procrastination about absolutely everything. These texts are coming in as we go. Keith says, regarding EVs, it makes sense to extend the target date for EV transition. 2030 had always been unrealistic. I can see the central boiler target will go the same way. Keep your thoughts coming.

29:53conversation with the CFO. LinkedIn has a word for that. Bull spend. Now you can invest in what looks good to your CFO. LinkedIn ads generates the highest ROAS of all major ad networks. You'll reach the right buyers because you can target by company, industry, job title, and more. So cut the bull spend. Advertise on LinkedIn, the network that works for you. Spend$250 on your first campaign on LinkedIn ads and get a 250 credit for the next one. Just go to linkedin.com slash broadcast. That's linkedin.com slash broadcast. Terms and conditions apply. Host unforgettable backyard barbecues with savings from Whole Foods Market.

30:39Get the good times going with made-in-house chicken or pork sausages and ready to cook kebabs for hassle-free flavor. Grab tasty flatbreads and their new balsamic chicken salad in the prepared foods department. Keep things fresh with organic red cherries, strawberries and peaches at their peak. And stock up on bug sprays and sun care must-haves. Make your summer sizzle at Whole Foods Market. Wake Up to Money with Felicity Hanna. Good morning. If you're just joining us on Wake Up to Money, then welcome to the week. We're having, well, a lot of conversations this morning about the news breaking overnight that Iran and the US seem to have reached some sort of agreement.

31:21We're also talking about EVs this morning. And as always, a lot of you have a lot of opinions. Somebody who doesn't give their name just says, EV owners are the motoring version of vegans, which I feel you're saying critically, but I suppose could be taken either way. Eddie and Hitchin says, I think EVs are the Betamax of the car world. Hydrogen will take over. And David in Pembrokeshire says, outside the densely populated metropolitan areas, the infrastructure isn't there to support EVs. Unfortunately, most of the decision makers live in densely populated metropolitan areas and don't have a clue what happens outside there.

31:59And then we'll have one more from Blue Sky. Somebody with the username Cyberspace says, we bought one earlier this year. It's great. We drive a lot of short journeys so you don't worry about ruining your engine or exhaust. We have a home charger and even on a bog standard tariff, It works out way cheaper. Keep your thoughts coming. You know what to do. You can text me on 85058. You can send me a WhatsApp message on 08085 909693. Let me know what you think about this as well. The G7 summit begins in France today. Keir Starmer will be hoping that discontent at home from within the Ministry of Defence will not be distracting from his trip abroad.

32:39You probably remember last week, let me just remind you, on Thursday, the government's much-delayed defence investment plan was deemed so unsatisfactory by the then Defence Secretary John Healy that he resigned from the Cabinet. The Armed Forces Minister Al-Khans soon followed. What does this all mean for the businesses that are making those investments in our military capability? Let's talk to Steve Beddington, who's CEO of the Bristol-based military technology company Q5D, who's been waiting for the government's plan for a while. Steve, good morning. It looks like you might be waiting a while longer.

33:17Unfortunately, it does, yes. How are you feeling? What does this kind of upheaval mean for a company like yours? Well, it's the uncertainty. So obviously, we want to invest. And it's very difficult to invest, hire new people and build the equipment and stuff that we need with this level of uncertainty. And yeah, we would like some surety that things are going to happen. Do you have any idea, has anyone sort of said how long you might now be waiting for the defence investment plan? Because we've been sort of hearing news over the weekend, I think on Laura Koonsberg yesterday, that the new defence secretary might just be sort of revisiting it.

34:03I'm not sure. We were all hoping that it would be out before the NATO summit because the whole thing's kind of embarrassing for the year for the prime minister. I think it would be sensible if they could make a positive announcement before that. So that was my assumption. But who knows now? What does it mean for where you do business? Are you seeing sort of companies like yours and your own company turning to other parts of the world for investment to Europe, to Asia, to the US? Absolutely. Yeah. So almost all our sales are in the US currently, both to the primes and to the US army itself. I mean, they obviously have a lot more money, but they're also set up to deal with innovative small companies like us.

34:43And our entire sales team is actually focused on Europe rather than the UK at the moment. Can you elaborate on that? When you talk about America being more set up to deal with smaller companies like yours, you sort of almost think bigger army, bigger country, bigger, dealing with the bigger firms. But you think that's not the case? Well, they certainly have more money and they always will. But that's not really the point. The point is about their procurement systems. They are able to find ways to work with small companies, small innovative companies that are developing technologies that they're interested in.

35:18They're willing to take the small risk and the people making the procurement have the authority to make those kinds of decisions in a way that's not the case in the UK where everything's so much more bureaucratic. How much might the peace deal, the planned peace deal with Iran and the US affect things? Is it likely to help? Maybe on focus, but otherwise, I think it shouldn't make any difference. You know, we've seen how things are changing. You know, both the Ukraine war and the Iran war were dominated by drone warfare. And I'm hoping that message has got through and that will change the way they're going to do their procurement systems, because they're not up to it at the moment.

36:02And Q5D recently won its first contract with the US Army supporting drone manufacturing in particular, didn't it? What does the UK need to do to replicate more of how the US kind of deals with businesses like yours in a situation where we don't necessarily have absolute buckets of money sitting around waiting to be poured into any part of our spending? I think it is less about the money and more about the systems. You know, procurement in the UK is over-specified. You know, they'll put a specification in which is too tight and too inflexible for innovative technology. You know, in drones, things change every month and you've got to have a system which enables that to happen.

36:46And, you know, some kind of procurement which locks you in place for multiple years to exactly the same platform is not going to be suitable. And so all of that needs to change. And you've got to allow the people making the procurement to be able to make their own decisions, make some level of risk. Steve Beddington, CEO of Q5D. Thank you very much indeed for joining us on Wake Up to Money. Thank you. Well, there's lots the government's considering this week. The Prime Minister is also going to announce sweeping reforms to protect children online this morning. Sir Keir Starmer says he wants to call time on a system he says has failed children ahead of his expected proposals of an under-16s social media ban.

37:32Our technology correspondent Zoe Kleinman will be in the room when the announcement is made in Downing Street in a few hours' time. She sent us this explainer. A social media ban for children in the UK is one of the measures we're expecting the Prime Minister to announce this morning. The goal is to protect young people on the internet. There was a big public consultation held by the government that's only just finished. There were nearly 120 ,000 responses and it says that nine out of ten parents supported the idea of keeping children off platforms like Instagram and TikTok and Snapchat and X until they're older.

38:05The minimum age at the moment is 13. But we don't think that it's going to stop there. We think there's going to be additional measures announced later on to things like overnight curfews for under 16s or even maybe under 18s, as well as blocking access to AI chatbots that generate sexually explicit content, also known as sexting. Now, there's lots of details that we don't know yet. We don't know exactly when it will start. We don't know how it would work. We don't know exactly how it will affect things like messaging, gaming and YouTube. but we do know the government has been clear that it wants to make it happen sooner rather than later.

38:41We think the tech companies are likely to be forced to comply or face penalties. They all tell us that they're very committed to protecting children. Now, if this all sounds a bit familiar, it's because it is. Australia was the first country in the world to implement a ban on social media for under 16 year olds. They did it in December last year. So it's been going for about six months now. And what we've heard is that a number of children have managed to find ways around the age verification card rails or they've gone to services not included in the ban instead. So it didn't include gaming, for example, and it also didn't include messaging platforms.

39:19Now, the UK's plan, which we have yet to hear but should hear very soon, has been described by some people in the know as Australia Plus, which suggests that it might be at least a little bit, if not a lot more strict. Online safety has been a priority for this government and it's done a lot to tighten up the rules and it's been very well received. So just last week, we had the Prime Minister, Sir Keir Starmer, announcing plans to stop children from taking, sharing or viewing explicit images on their phones. Now, he did that by giving Apple and Google three months to come up with a solution because most people's handsets are either iPhones or they're Androids and they're operated by those two companies no matter what the manufacturer actually is.

40:06So we might see a social media ban operate in a similar way. So you'll have to verify your age when you get a phone. And if you're not old enough, you won't be able to get the social media apps from the app stores in the first place. But not everybody thinks that this is the right approach. Some people say, you know, the tech giants should be forced to make their platforms better rather than taking them away from children. We know that there are lots of benefits to being on social media. And why should children miss out? Because they're not safe enough. Surely campaigners like the NSPCC argue it should be made, you know, a good place for children to be so that they can get all the benefits without coming to harm.

40:45But we'll find out all of this later on this morning from the Prime Minister at Downing Street. That's our technology correspondent, Zoe Kleinman. I feel like that is also something we might be talking about on Wake Up to Money tomorrow. Still with me, by the way, is Laura Lambie, Senior Investment Director at Rathbones. And Laura, social media includes X, formerly known as Twitter, which is part of SpaceX. Today will be SpaceX's second day of trading when US markets open this afternoon. And it had a pretty good, as I think anticipated, pretty good first day. It did indeed. Launched at$135, opened at$150 and closed at$160.

41:28So for anyone that was lucky enough to get shares in this company, they've done very well on the first day of trading. And I suspect with global equity markets being up over the world on the back of the peace deal in Iran, then we might see them going up a bit further. Interestingly, the other competitors to SpaceX had a poor day on Friday. I think there was a what we call a rotation out of them into SpaceX. that might reverse. We never know. We'll wait and see. SpaceX has so many different strands going on, doesn't it? And quite futuristic plans going on as well. Do you think that this sort of investor appetite is about all the different pies that SpaceX has fingers in or about its AI kind of trend more broadly?

42:21Much, I think, is to do with what Elon Musk has already achieved. it's hugely sentiment driven. You're taking a lot of faith in that man because there's no earnings, there's no cash flow, there's no fundamentals around the company. It's all on the expectation of an exciting future for this company. And of course, it does make Elon Musk the world's first trillionaire. So, you know, it's nice to be some people having a tough time, but Elon Musk is clearly doing all right. I suppose one of the interesting parts of this is that a lot of people who maybe aren't proactively choosing to invest in SpaceX will just automatically be invested in SpaceX because they're in tracker funds.

43:06Tracker funds or indeed many of the unit trusts and investment trusts that we might be familiar with, Scottish Mortgage Trust being one of them, has always been a big supporter of Elon Musk when he started up Tesla. So they have been allocated shares in SpaceX. So if you're a holder in some of these collectivised investments, you may well hold SpaceX anyway. OK, well, also still with us. I'm waiting very patiently, I'm afraid, Penny Hughes, chair of the luxury retirement brand Riverstone Living. It has been one of those one of those busy mornings. So very, very glad that you are still with us.

43:44So you're working in retirement living. As we said, you've also previously been at the gym group, Coca-Cola, IQ student accommodation. Do you watch something like SpaceX taking off? Sorry, some terrible puns flying around. And do you kind of does it make sense to you? Not quite for exactly the reasons that Laura said. The fundamentals are just not there. You have to believe in the future, but you can only admire it. I mean, it's extraordinary story in terms of fundraising. Yes, yes, it is. Speaking of extraordinary stories then, just tell us, catch us up a bit on what demand for luxury retirement accommodation is like at the moment.

44:25What trends are you seeing? Well, the demographic trends are profound. So one in four people in London are over 65, but very few live in age-appropriate homes. So yes, we're operating at the luxury end. We've opened in Fulham, in Kensington, and later this year we'll be in Bishop's Avenue. And what we're offering is independent living for later years within a very vibrant community that offers security and health and well-being safety net as we age. So we're really redefining what life can be as we age. Our aim is not lifespan, how long we live, but healthspan, how long we can be healthy in order to enjoy life to the full.

45:08So we're seeing good demand. it's interesting because i often think like retirement communities they they seem to really really make sense as a way of people kind of having that that community feel um but having a bit of additional security and stability as they get older but we've had a message from will in london who wants specifically to ask you what your views are on the scary stories of a lot of family members being saddled with retirement flats they can't sell uh this is across the the industry not a specific to you problem, but they can't sell those flats because of very high service charge fees and ground rent escalation.

45:42And Will in London wants to know what you feel the government or the industry can do about that. So many of those stories have come from outside of London, where actually there are more retirement homes. So, you know, it is worth checking, making sure you're not buying in a place that's got a lot of competition. But here in London, actually that we are really undersupplied. So I think what we do is sit down with our prospects and really understand what's important to them. Are they trying to create a large inheritance or are they more concerned about what the fees are going to be? And then we structure our arrangements around their needs.

46:20We call it value and choice and the best way is just to come in and chat. But do you have a view on the wider industry and why perhaps in other parts of the UK it doesn't work as well? So I think what the government needs to think about is, you know, once people start to think about downsizing, that releases large homes. Obviously, once you're in a retirement community, you are likely to be costing the NHS a lot less because of the care and health that you're receiving. And so there should be some incentives for moving into age appropriate accommodation. and we've thought about things like stamp duty, last time stamp duty if you're buying your last home.

47:02There need to be some incentives so that people take the right decisions about where to live later in life. And of course that's if people can have decisions, if they have the cash to make decisions. Millions of people who will be paying rent or a mortgage after they retire don't know how they're going to be able to afford that. This is according to a new survey. 4 ,000 people took part in the research commissioned by the pensions and investment firm Royal London, shared exclusively with Moneybox, the BBC programme. Sarah Pennells is a consumer finance specialist at Royal London. There's a whole range of reasons why that could happen.

47:39Some people plan to rent and they maybe don't realise how much money they've got to set aside then for their retirement. But other people, they may have a partner, husband or wife, and they're thinking that they're going to have their mortgage paid off before they hit retirement. But life happens, events get in the way and suddenly what seemed like a really good plan that was on track is thrown completely off track. Well, you can hear more of the story on BBC Sounds. Just search Moneybox. You can find that programme. Penny, how often do you hear stories like this? Because this is sort of the other end to you.

48:13Your clients will be in a position to kind of look around for the best fit for them. But there's a growing cohort of people, aren't there, who are going to still be paying either mortgage or rent through their retirement. And that's putting pressure. Well, I think it's the right conversation to be having. It's clear that we are living at an unsustainable level of welfare and social care budgets. And even the pension triple lock is probably unsustainable. So we do need to have a conversation about what it means to plan for the future. And yes, my residents do have wealth, but even they are not planning well enough in terms of understanding what both their financial and health circumstances can be as we age.

48:55And so I agree with things like increasing the proportion into auto-enrolment, finding ways of bringing the self-employed sector into auto-enrolment. We need to plan for our future and pensions obviously needs to be a conversation that the nation has in order to help more people plan better for the future. Thank you very much. Laura, let's quickly touch on Boots as well, because the Australian pharmacy group Sigma Healthcare, which had been looking at a takeover of Boots, has now said it's pulled out of talks in the early hours of this morning, saying that the potential$10 billion deal doesn't match its objectives.

49:34What do you think that might have gone on there? Well, the deal that was coming in from the Australian private equity company was for a very different style of business from the one it was looking at and buying in terms of boots. So the Australian pile them high, sell them cheap model, I suspect, would have been difficult to replicate onto boots. I think they've had a look at the deal, thought perhaps the synergies and the cost savings that they could have originally gleaned from this sort of tie up were maybe not there and the valuation was too high. So they have now backed out of this, which is not great for the owners of Boots.

50:20OK, something that is great is Scotland kicking off their first World Cup campaign since 1990 with a win against Haiti at the Gillette Stadium in Boston early on Sunday morning our time. Very early or very late, depending on how you came at it. The Scots top Group C and take a big step towards reaching knockouts for the first time after Brazil and Morocco drew. We heard from friend of the show Hamish Husband earlier in the tournament. Hamish and the Tartan Army were partying late into the night over in the US. The morning after that amazing night before Scotland beat Haiti 1-0, we are taking the World Cup with the scruff of the neck.

51:01The locals have taken us to their heart with 42 ,000 Scotland fans officially in the stadium and perhaps the same amount in fan parks around Boston and Providence. It cost us, amazingly,£75 a return trip on a bus to a stadium that's in the middle of nowhere and those in Boston who took the train having paid$80 found that getting here was okay but many had to wait up until three hours to return. The locals are actually finding out what soccer is all about although we are being approached by some asking what's going on and seemingly not getting the clue that wearing kilts meant we were there for the FIFA World Cup.

51:37I wonder what they thought they were there for. He also sent us another update on how he and other fans spent the day after. Well, you thought it couldn't get any better sitting in a Boston bar and one of the fans said there's more Scots here than Bostonians because they're all away spending our money they've made from renting out their property to the Tarnam army. There's a fan march to the Boston Red Sox and they've kindly given us their own section and we get a free Boston Red Sox shirt at the end of the match. The World Cup just gets better. It does just get better. Laura, much excitement and I'm sure much excitement in Glasgow where you are.

52:19But you mentioned earlier on in the show that the bonus bank holiday is not happening for everybody. But presumably, things like Scotland success and a bank holiday for some, that must kind of, oh, this is such a wake up to money question, must boost spending. I do. I very much think it does boost spending. But I suppose if any ad hoc holiday does add costs to things and there's been a figure bandied about that it would cost the NHS about£19 million for the day off. So there are definitely consequences of giving the people of Scotland a day off on Monday. I'm glad I haven't taken a day off and I wouldn't be here.

53:01Well, yeah, we're very glad to. We're very glad to and I'm sure some people will be needing the day off. Penny, briefly if you can, but within your retirement communities, Are you all gathering together to watch the matches? Of course we are. Obviously looking forward to Wednesday in England, but congrats to Scotland. I'm a Liverpool fan, so well done to Andy Robertson leading the team there. But is everyone sort of kind of coming together? Is it a community sense? Yes. Oh, yes. No, I mean, we have residents who are in Fulham. They go to the Chelsea matches, so they might go to Fulham matches.

53:33They go together. It's all part of the community. Enjoying sport together is an absolute delight. Absolutely it is. Penny Hughes, Chair of Riverstone Living. Thank you so much for being with us. Laura Lambie, as always, thank you for joining us, Senior Investment Director at Rathbones. Thank you to you this morning for your company, for your many, many messages. That's it for Wake Up To Money. Wake Up To Money from BBC Five Live.

54:16The 2023 Ballon d 'Or France footballer is Lionel Messi. The winner is Cristiano Ronaldo. This is the story of the greatest rivalry in the history of sport. A rivalry that split football into two fates for a generation. There could be no, oh, Messi and Ronaldo are both great players. There had to be one that was better. They 100 million percent pushed each other to the next level. You know, we were the lucky ones who got to see it. I'm Steve Crossman. This is Sporting Giants Messi v Ronaldo. Listen first on BBC Sounds. Ever invest in something that seemed incredible at first, but didn't live up to the hype?

54:58Like those$5 roses at a gas station, or a second-hand piece of technology that breaks in the first 10 minutes? Marketers know that feeling. We optimize for the numbers that look great, impressions, reach and reacts. But when they don't show revenue, well, that's a not so great conversation with the CFO. LinkedIn has a word for that. Bull spend. Now you can invest in what looks good to your CFO. LinkedIn Ads generates the highest ROAS of all major ad networks. You'll reach the right buyers because you can target by company, industry, job title and more. So cut the bull spend. Advertise on LinkedIn, the network that works for you.

55:43Spend$250 on your first campaign on LinkedIn ads and get a 250 credit for the next one. Just go to linkedin.com slash broadcast. That's linkedin.com slash broadcast. Terms and conditions apply. What do Beatles member Sir Paul McCartney, YouTube megastar MrBeast and former Facebook executive Sheryl Sandberg all have in common? They're all being discussed in the new season of Good Bad Billionaire, the podcast which explores the lives and fortunes of the world's super rich. That's Good Bad Billionaire from the BBC World Service. Listen now, search for Good Bad Billionaire wherever you get your BBC podcasts.

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