The age of the apprentice

30 Mar 2026 · 53 min · 25 chapters

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In short

Wake Up To Money episode covering (1) the “age of the apprentice” policy shift and why more over-25s are doing apprenticeships, (2) staycation demand amid Middle East disruption, and (3) Iran-war spillovers into oil, gas, fertilizer, inflation, and global trade/WTO deadlock.

Guests (backgrounds)

Liana (host). Peter Shreiserman, co-owner/commercial director of Hotel Anfield and Hotel Wrexham; co-chair of the Liverpool Hospitality Association. Judith McKenzie, partner/head of Downing Fund Managers. Megan Sutcliffe, Middle East & Africa analyst at Sibylline (strategic risk advisory). Nick Marsh, BBC reporter in Singapore (market coverage). Mark Simmons, Senior VP HR at GXO. Kalinda Junja, CEO of Pride Hotels (Pride of Britain Hotels; 57 independent brands). Max Mendez-Parrara, Principal Research Fellow at ODI Global.

Key claims

Older apprenticeships are growing; age limits are not required. Iran escalation is raising oil prices and war/insurance premiums, with knock-on effects to fertilizer and food inflation. Uncertainty is driving market drops and consumer “wait-and-see” spending. WTO reform is stalled; digital trade moratorium expires, risking new digital tariffs.

Notable examples

Oil around $116/barrel; Red Sea shipping disruption via Bab el-Mandeb; Houthis resuming threats. GXO: 1,700+ apprentices; 79% over 25; 60 programs (levels 2–7). BAE Systems: ~20% of 5,000+ apprentices over 25; Kim (34) project management apprentice. Mitchells & Butler’s: hospitality top apprenticeship employer (2025 list). Staycations: Jet2 bookings up ~8% (reported), and Pride Hotels sees coastal/country-house demand without broad price hikes.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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Current Global Events Overview

0:30 to 1:19

Get insights into the emergency talks in Singapore and the impact of the war in Iran.

“Singapore, where business events can create lasting impact.”

Emergency Talks and Economic Impact

1:19 to 1:46

Understand the ramifications of the war in Iran on global markets and oil prices.

“and insurance today as the war in Iran intensifies, sending shockwaves through global trade and oil markets.”

Apprenticeships for Older Workers

1:46 to 2:02

Explore why more older workers are turning to apprenticeships and their benefits.

“We'll hear why more over 25s are signing up.”

Host and Guest Introductions

2:18 to 3:00

Meet the hosts and guests discussing the impact of time changes on hotel operations.

“and of course the latest on Iran and oil prices.”

Challenges of Running a Hotel

3:00 to 4:55

Hear personal anecdotes about hotel operations and dealing with guests during time changes.

“We had a very important podcast to record with some ex-Liverpool players on Sunday and I texted at least 20 people saying, remember, remember, you need to change your clock.”

Economic Outlook for Hospitality Sector

4:55 to 6:29

Discuss the economic challenges faced by the hospitality industry amidst rising costs.

“I'm the co-chair of the Liverpool Hospitality Association as well.”

Transition to Discussing Iran

6:29 to 6:43

Transition into the more serious topic of the war in Iran and its implications.

“I think you really put it really well there.”

Impact of Iran Conflict

6:43 to 8:01

Delve into the military and economic seriousness of the Iran conflict with an expert analyst.

“this is something that we speak about every day.”

Houthi Rebels and Security Concerns

8:01 to 9:56

Explore the potential escalation of conflict due to Houthi actions and their implications.

“So can you just start by putting all of this into context?”

Global Trade Disruptions and Oil Prices

9:56 to 11:43

Understand how the conflict in Iran could disrupt global trade and impact oil prices.

“So this just essentially escalates things that have been going on since before this war.”
Show all 25 chapters

Future Economic Implications

11:43 to 14:01

Analyze the potential inflation effects on food prices stemming from the conflict.

“Now, we are seeing efforts to reroute oil and release stockpiles, but how much of a buffer do any of those measures really provide?”

Impact of Political Uncertainty on Markets

14:01 to 15:47

Explore how geopolitical tensions affect market behavior and investor confidence.

“have a relatively short production time and that have been directly impacted by the disruption we're seeing at the moment to both energy and fertilizer exports from the Gulf.”

Asian Markets Response to Oil Prices

15:48 to 17:58

Discussion on how rising oil prices are influencing Asian markets and economies.

“Listen, you mentioned Asia and actually we've got our man in Singapore, the BBC's Nick Marsh, and he was watching moves in Asian markets.”

The Cost of Living Crisis Explained

17:59 to 20:20

Understanding the relationship between rising fuel prices and the cost of living.

“I mean, it's what anyone is talking about, basically, you know, the price at the pump.”

Hospitality Industry Challenges

20:21 to 23:26

Insights on how the hospitality sector is coping with economic pressures and consumer trends.

“from a hospitality point of view and I guess property as well.”

VAT and Economic Implications for Hospitality

23:27 to 25:55

Discussion on the impact of VAT on the hospitality industry and potential reforms.

“On the other hand, I think there's also some truth to the saying that you have to make some hay when the sun is shining.”

Trade Challenges at the WTO

25:56 to 28:00

Analyzing the recent setbacks at the WTO and their implications for global trade.

“because we've got the business secretary, Peter Kyle, saying the failure to reach a collective agreement at talks of the World Trade Organization is a major setback for global trade.”

The Challenges of WTO and Global Trade

28:00 to 29:16

Explore the limitations of the WTO in delivering new trade deals in a fractured world.

“will be in position to start applying duties on digital downloads, Netflix, newspaper subscriptions, etc.”

The Shift to Coalitions in Global Trade

29:16 to 31:18

Discuss the emergence of coalitions in trade agreements outside of the WTO framework.

“And it seems that it's extremely difficult that the new rules for these circumstances will be dealt multilaterally, will be probably dealt in a fractured way, as you suggest.”

Impact of Global Events on Travel Trends

33:37 to 37:10

Examine how the war in the Middle East influences travel plans and domestic tourism.

“I think what Paul is referring to there is Australia is having fuel tax.”

The Changing Face of Apprenticeships

37:10 to 40:01

Highlight the increasing participation of older individuals in apprenticeship programs.

“£725 million shakeup of the apprenticeship system comes in this week, aiming to help tackle youth unemployment and drive economic growth.”

Insights from Employers on Older Apprentices

40:01 to 42:00

Discuss insights from employers about the value of older apprentices in their organizations.

“From the John Lewis Partnership, they have over 1 ,500 apprentices currently enrolled.”

The Importance of Apprenticeships for All Ages

42:00 to 43:35

Discover the role of apprenticeship programs in supporting both young and older workers.

“And we're really proud of 60 % of every single role in GXO is filled from an internal talent.”

Personal Insights on Apprenticeship vs. University

43:35 to 47:29

Hear personal stories on choosing apprenticeships over traditional university paths.

“But I suppose if public money is going into apprenticeships, should it be more focused on people starting out rather than those people who, for example, like that case study, who were already in work?”

Adapting Apprenticeships for Sector-Specific Needs

47:29 to 48:36

Learn about the necessity of sector-specific adaptations in apprenticeship programs.

“I'm sure you agree with Peter because you guys do a lot with your apprenticeship scheme.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00This BBC podcast is supported by ads outside the UK.

0:30Singapore, where business events can create lasting impact.

1:18Leanna Byrne:The Prime Minister is holding emergency talks with leaders from shipping, energy, finance and insurance today as the war in Iran intensifies, sending shockwaves through global trade and oil markets. Strikes have continued over the weekend and now Houthi rebels in Yemen have entered the conflict. Also this morning, the government is putting hundreds of millions into apprenticeships from young people. But what about older workers? We'll hear why more over 25s are signing up. They do bring different skills, greater maturity, a wealth of insights from other sectors and other types of employment. And with rising travel disruption and costs, are more of us swapping overseas holidays for a UK break this summer.

2:07Wake Up To Money from BBC Radio 5 Live.

2:10Leanna Byrne:Good morning. Welcome to Wake Up To Money. It is Monday the 30th of March. It is 5.04. Yes, we're going to be talking about apprentices, staycations and of course the latest on Iran and oil prices. prices hit about$116 a barrel this morning, up 3 % in early trading. So we're going to dig more into that in a minute. But first of all, if you're listening to us this morning, well done, because it's not easy for us early morning risers when you've got a weekend clock change. I didn't get any sleep whatsoever. And two others who've also drawn the short straw this morning with me is Peter Shreiserman, co-owner of the Hotel Anfield and commercial director of Hotel Wrexham.

2:52Leanna Byrne:Peter, good morning. Good morning, Liana. Thanks for having me. There must be plenty of people in hotels who forget to change their watch. I'm sure you've got lots of stories about that. Oh, absolutely. We had a very important podcast to record with some ex-Liverpool players on Sunday and I texted at least 20 people saying, remember, remember, you need to change your clock. Have you ever had anyone sleep in and kind of rush down and be like, I forgot to check out? Or, you know, even some of your hotel staff possibly turning up late. Oh, absolutely. You just have to distinguish between people who make excuses and who actually overslept and then either charge them a little bit more or not.

3:34Leanna Byrne:That is it. Yeah, I probably would use that as an excuse, actually, if I slept in. Also with us this morning, Judith McKenzie, partner and head of Downing Fund Managers. Judith, good morning. Good morning. I nearly slept in this morning. Oh, there you go. I actually always forget when it comes up to this. and I feel like Will Bain definitely, because he normally does Mondays, he definitely knew this was coming up and was like, I'm not doing that day. So I've definitely drawn the short straw. Have you ever missed any meetings or anything like that? And we're just showing up late, apart from this.

4:08Oh, yes. Oh, yeah. I've missed quite a few meetings in my time. But to be honest, you know, it's just an hour. It's just an hour. So we can hopefully get over it. I think maybe tomorrow.

4:19Leanna Byrne:I'm delighted you got up this morning that your alarm was set at the right time and all that sort of thing. I mean, it's particularly if you have a smartphone these days, it kind of does the job for you. So you're kind of like a bit more tired, but you don't have to think too much about changing clocks. Peter, I'm going to talk to you about, you know, how is business going? We're going to be talking a lot about oil prices and gas prices. And maybe a lot of people listening say, oh, you're a hotel owner. That doesn't, it's not going to have any bearing on you. But I'm sure that's not true, Peter.

4:48No, I mean, I think it's well documented from what I've been saying, including on the BBC in the past. I'm the co-chair of the Liverpool Hospitality Association as well. A lot of big cities and places across the UK have one of those representing hotels, bars, restaurants. I think it's well documented what recent changes have meant for us and the upcoming changes from the 1st of April. To give you an example, our hotel in Wrexham is going to have to pay an additional£35 ,000 per annum in business rates, actually money payable. And if you run at a 10 % profit, which most people in hospitality don't, then that means you have to really earn well more than£300 ,000 extra revenue in order to pay a bill of£35 ,000.

5:36and basically stand still as a business. And that is before we talk about the impact of the latest war in the world, which means that one of our refinancings in our business has been pulled until further notice because the banks are assessing what they want to do with the interest rates and rising costs. And people are very cautious right now. I think the end user with whom we obviously work as guests in our hotels, they are nervous. So they are thinking of their money. They worry about their rising costs, therefore hedge their bets, keep their money in their account. Every time I think, I think we've hit rock bottom now, I realize, oh, no, there was another level below.

6:21So I'm usually the optimistic type, you see, Liana, but it's tough, certainly in my industry and a couple of other industries at the moment.

6:29Leanna Byrne:Oh, yeah, for sure. I think you really put it really well there. And it just all ties in, doesn't it? it ties into an economic mood and everything. It's like dominoes. One thing goes and the other does as well. Well, we're going to be digging a little bit more into that. So I want to talk about Iran first because, I mean, this is something that we speak about every day. And the Prime Minister is going to meet business leaders today in an emergency meeting to discuss the ongoing economic impact of the war in Iran. Sir Keir Starmer will be joined by senior representatives from the energy, shipping and financial service industries as the UK faces warnings it could suffer serious economic damages as a result of the conflict.

7:08Leanna Byrne:And over the weekend, strikes on Iran continued as US media reported that the Pentagon is preparing for weeks of ground operations. And if you've been on the Financial Times website this morning, you'll see that Donald Trump has told the paper he's considering seizing Iran's major fuel hub, Karang Island. Iran's government, meanwhile, has vowed to rain fire on any US forces attempting to enter its territory. And it comes amid a further 3 ,500 American troops arriving in the Middle East. And in Yemen, Iran-backed Houthi rebels say they've launched missiles at Iran, raising concerns the conflict could spread beyond the Gulf to key shipping routes in the Red Sea as well.

7:48Leanna Byrne:As always, quite a lot. Joining us to dissect all of this is Megan Sutcliffe, Middle East and African analyst from Sibylline, a strategic risk advisory group. Megan, thanks so much for joining us. Good morning, Leanna. So can you just start by putting all of this into context? I said a lot there. How serious is the now both militarily and economically? It's certainly been a very concerning weekend because we've had various developments that present a variety of potential outcomes for the conflict's trajectory. When we entered the weekend, we were seeing essentially the US and Israel continue to engage in airstrikes on Iran and Iran retaliating by hitting the Gulf.

8:31And while that is concerning, when we see the US President Donald Trump stating to the Financial Times that he is considering launching a ground invasion of Iranian territory, that presents the possibility of an even greater conflict escalation because Iran is unlikely to take that sort of activity lightly. It will likely respond by both heavily resisting any ground invasion attempts, while also intensifying attacks targeting energy infrastructure in the Gulf, both in terms of extraction infrastructure, refinement and export infrastructure. On the other side of the Arabian Peninsula, we also had the Houthis joining this conflict.

9:13Over the weekend, they claim to have launched two missiles towards Israel. And although this is unlikely to fundamentally change the security risk environment in Israel, given that the primary concern remains the routine rocket attacks we're seeing by Hezbollah from Lebanon and cluster munition use from Iran, the opening up of the front with the Houthis has triggered a lot of concern regarding prospects for a resumption of their attacks on key shipping routes through the Red Sea. It's been a very concerning weekend. And with the threats coming out this morning from the United States regarding an offensive on Karg Island over the next week, it's likely we'll see this conflict escalating further.

9:55Leanna Byrne:Megan, can you just remind us as well about the Houthis and how they have already essentially been disrupting shipping within the Red Sea? So this just essentially escalates things that have been going on since before this war. Absolutely. So the Houthis, of course, are a group that have existed in Yemen for over three decades, and they really gained prominence during Yemen's civil war, where they took control of about a third of Yemen's territory in its north and northwest, including the capital Sana 'a. They then, in November of 2023, began launching attacks on commercial vessels that were attempting to move through the Red Sea, specifically through the Bab el-Mandeb.

10:37They stated that this was in solidarity with the people of Gaza, given at the time the rapid escalation of the Israel-Hamas war after the 7th of October attacks. The attacks that the Houthis launched on shipping routes were extremely disruptive to global trade. The Red Sea and the Bab el-Mandab passage usually accounts for about 15 % of global trade, and there were usually up to 80 vessels a day that were moving through this area. But when the attack started, this dropped significantly. It became almost empty, which was very strange for many in the shipping world. And though we did see the slow resumption of some vessel operators resuming operations in the Bab al-Mandeb in the later parts of 2025, when a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas came into play and the Houthis ceased their attacks, The idea that the Houthis could potentially resume those hostilities and start targeting vessels again, that is extremely concerning for vessel operators and for insurance companies that continue to apply war premiums to any vessel that is attempting to transit this area.

11:44Leanna Byrne:Now, we are seeing efforts to reroute oil and release stockpiles, but how much of a buffer do any of those measures really provide? It's a very limited measure. Essentially, when we're looking at the amount of oil and gas that transits out of the Persian Gulf via the Strait of Hormuz on a daily basis, it's about 30 percent of all seaborne oil and gas exports and about a quarter of global energy supplies. Now, release of strategic reserves and the sanctions waivers that have been issued by the United States for, say, the purchase of Iranian crude that is already at sea, that provides a slight buffer.

12:24But we're talking about days here, not necessarily weeks. And if we were looking at a situation whereby the US were to launch a ground invasion of Iranian territory, we could expect this conflict to last much longer than a few days and far outlast any stockpiles that states would attempt to release or to conserve based on various energy saving measures.

12:46Leanna Byrne:So if this continues, now we are already seeing this in fuel prices, flights. When can this in the UK spread to possibly goods, food? When is that transmission kind of mechanism, when does that come in? Well, it's likely that we are unfortunately looking down the barrel of a potential inflation bomb when it comes specifically to foodstuffs. Because when we're looking at exports from the Gulf, the primary export that many of us are concerned about and are feeling in our wallets at the moment is oil and gas. But as a byproduct of the processing of many of those products, the Gulf is a major exporter of fertilizer components like urea and sulfuric acid.

13:31This means that when we're seeing a cutoff of those exports, the price of fertilizer significantly increases for farms and for industrial farming installations that have purchased or hope to purchase large amounts of fertilizer. that's very concerning because of course it increases operational costs for farms and for those who are not purchasing it or are purchasing less potentially their agricultural yields go down and so when we're looking at the next few months particularly quarter three and quarter four the risk is that we will see rapid increases in food prices particularly for food stuffs that have a relatively short production time and that have been directly impacted by the disruption we're seeing at the moment to both energy and fertilizer exports from the Gulf.

14:17Leanna Byrne:All right, Megan Sutcliffe, Middle East and Africa analyst for Sibylline. Thank you so much for joining us. Judith, I'm going to come to you on this. I mean, as we heard, we're hearing signals from Donald Trump that the US won't rush into a full-on invasion. However, there are ground troops there. And then he's saying he wants to take Kerrang Island. With all this, does this calm markets or actually just create more uncertainty? It certainly doesn't calm them, that's for sure. So overnight, you've seen Far Eastern markets down 5 % and Nikkei down about 4 % and crude futures are now up today as well.

14:52So markets hate uncertainty. And I don't think I've actually ever lived through more uncertain times. It feels like I should be very old-fashioned and put a newspaper from today under the mattress and maybe in 10 years look back at it, because I think this week is going to be quite a pivotal week in historical terms. So I think it affects everything from the consumer behaviour to bond yields. And I was paying 189p yesterday at the pump, but bond yields are something that Trump doesn't like. So basically, the higher the bond yield, the less confidence investors are feeling about a country. And the UK and the USA are experiencing the highest 10-year bond yields since the great financial crisis.

15:32So that's going back to 2008. So this week is going to be a short week, but it's going to be quite a dramatic one. And I think every time I open the screen at the moment, I look at the price of crude oil, not indexes, which tells you a lot. It's all about crude oil.

15:46Leanna Byrne:Oh, 100 percent. I feel the same way. Listen, you mentioned Asia and actually we've got our man in Singapore, the BBC's Nick Marsh, and he was watching moves in Asian markets. Nick, a very bad morning for Asian markets. Yeah, I mean, we've seen this before, you know, pretty sharp drops off the back of the price of oil, which has jumped, obviously, to some of its highest levels, actually, since this war started. We all know, you know, Asia is so dependent on Middle Eastern oil and gas. Countries here taking measures to save fuel. There's a national energy emergency declared in the Philippines. So whenever there's a big movement upwards in oil, you know, the share markets accordingly slide.

16:28ultimately traders are looking at what's happened over the weekend you know the involvement now of the houthis in this conflict the idea that there might be some ground troops or this war you know in some way shape or form is not de-escalating basically and you see it reflected in the price of oil and in the markets out here so what you know what do you do donald trump's talking about seizing control of the oil in Iran, taking Haag Island, this really key loading bay, about 90 % of all of Iran's exported oil has to go through there. I mean, that might be possible. You need a lot of manpower. You risk a lot of US troops by doing that.

17:09But even if that island was secured, it doesn't solve the fundamental problem that the Iranians control the Straits of Hormuz. So any tankers that leave that island, hypothetically if it was US controlled, would still be at the mercy of Iranian attacks. And you're kind of back to square one then. So I think, you know, traders markets looking at all of these pieces of the puzzle and thinking, well, look, we see no signs of this actually really, in a concrete terms, deescalating. And so the longer that goes on, the longer oil is going to be high. It might go down a bit some days. It might go up a bit some days.

17:38But it's still been consistently high for over a month now.

17:41Leanna Byrne:And also, Nick, what's quite interesting in your time zone, there's a lot of countries that have come out just this morning to say that they're bringing in either restrictions. So South Korea is mulling widening restrictions on driving. Australia is halving fuel tax. So we're really seeing governments. It's not just in the markets. This is really playing down to the average person, isn't it? Yeah, absolutely. I mean, it's what anyone is talking about, basically, you know, the price at the pump. It's been for a couple of weeks now that governments have been bringing in these sort of emergency measures.

18:09We've seen it across South East Asia is particularly vulnerable, these less developed economies, because they get a lot, huge amount of their crude oil from the Middle East. But even the developed economies like Japan and South Korea, they have bigger reserves, but they're still putting price caps in. And even the president of Korea announced these symbolic measures at his residence, where they'd be saving energy, that kind of thing. So it really is, it's a market story, but it is filtering down to the ordinary person. And it all translates, as we're just hearing there, doesn't it, into cost of living.

18:43Price of oil high, price of gas is high, price of fertilizer is high. That means the price of everything basically becomes high.

18:50Leanna Byrne:Judith McKenzie, I'm going to come to you on this. So as we were hearing just earlier from Nick, everything's up, up, up, up, up. But I do want to say, and I think it's important for context as well, that we aren't actually seeing the oil or the gas prices as high as even 2022, back in 2008, the financial crisis went up. I think that's an important thing to say, isn't it? It is. And look, we know the bluff of Trump, don't we? So it is. We feel like we're in the eye of the storm this week. But you've got to remember that deals are still getting done. Companies are still looking to come to market.

19:23And actually, when I do get to actually look at the screen and not the crude oil price, I'm seeing companies that are still managing to grow their earnings, even despite this really challenging time. So, yeah, you've got to kind of not get into the doom loop that I think Trump wants us to get into sometimes. And yeah, it's going to be quite a tough and a short week, but I think we'll get far more clarity as this week goes on.

19:50Leanna Byrne:Peter, as a hotel owner, what are the biggest pressures you're seeing over the past year? You mentioned a lot about wages, but, you know, with energy demand, are you having to put prices up or are you absorbing those costs? And are you actually still growing? Oh, that's a good question. In fact, I feel a bit like I wish I had overslept this morning after all the doom and gloom. we've just been talking about. Peter, don't say that. We loved having you at Wake Up to Money. I'm an optimistic guy, but it is very hard at the moment. Naturally, I do look a little bit more at the industry from a hospitality point of view and I guess property as well.

20:27So we deal with the end customers. So their confidence, I guess the only positive in this whole situation today, and I don't want to steal someone else's thunder later on, is that people might be a little bit wary flying to certain parts of the world and consider holidays a little bit closer to home, maybe even in Great Britain, which I guess is helpful. We have seen a lot of travel from the Middle East being cancelled, but very locally, back to your question, the changes in the last budget that are coming in now, that have come recently, it's making a lot of people very nervous and as businesses we look at it on a deal-by-deal cases if there is a good deal, a good property, a good opportunity we will look at it but the market needs to be right we're in Wrexham's case very briefly I'm part of a hotel operation there now since their well-documented success on the pitch and the big documentary, The Takeover by Ryan Reynolds It has given a place like Wrexham a very unique story, a very unique boost for the entire place.

21:39It's given it a platform internationally that they have benefited from so hugely that you can kind of take it out of sort of the rut that maybe some of the other less well-known places in the UK are in. So in that sense, I'm feeling reasonably positive despite all the doom and gloom. And Liverpool, however, I think many people know on the call, is a very vibrant city, very event-led city with big football, big cultural events. So, again, the products where I operate, so to speak, the cities are strong cities, good places. And I guess that's the only thing that's been my hope alive, that with a little bit of pragmatic decision making and the government protecting end users and businesses such as mine from some of the impact of Iran and other undesirable things in the world, we can somehow get through this.

22:34Leanna Byrne:Well, Peter, I think it's interesting with your two businesses, because when you have goods or services, you have, if I go very economic with it, there's price elastic, which would probably be yours. It depends on price, whether somebody is going to go in or price inelastic, where things like oil and gas, you have to buy them regardless of what the price is. However, I would think that there might be a bit of an inelastic element to what you offer because people support their teams. They want to go. They want to support them. And people are willing to spend on experiences like Matchday stays. Yeah, absolutely.

23:11I think, yeah, there's so far you can go as a business person, but also as a human being. At the end of the day, we still have a moral compass. We still know how far you can go up with the prices. before you feel like this is just feeling wrong. On the other hand, I think there's also some truth to the saying that you have to make some hay when the sun is shining. And I guess when in places like, say, Liverpool, where you've got a huge amount of bed space, because people from all over the world come to sample its events and its cultural and musical sort of history, then in those moments you have to price it to a degree that on average over the year you can make ends meet.

Read the full transcript

23:56Now, when the Chancellor of the Exchequer chooses not to reverse the hugely damaging business rates reform, not damaging for everybody in the hospitality industry, but for many people, naturally I speak to them more than the others as the co-chair of the Hospitality Association, it's within a gift to press a pause button on that. It's in a gift to look at VAT in hospitality, which in the United Kingdom is the second highest in all of Europe, only Denmark, an absolutely, absolutely amazing country with very, very amazing and high average wages, taxes more VAT on hospitality at 25 % than we do here in the UK.

24:37In fact, I've just come back from the ITB in Berlin three weeks ago, the biggest travel conference in Europe. And we had dinner and the VAT on food was 9%. I mean, if somebody offered me 15%, even for a year, it's a game changer for our industry. And again, this is not, and it's very important. I'm very passionate about this. My father is a gardener. My mom is a nurse. They have only ever known to have a salary, a certain budget that they work within every year. If somebody said to them, well, you now have to pay an additional 10 ,000 pounds per annum on some bill you didn't expect. Like, where's that money supposed to come from?

25:19In our case, as self-employed people, the profit of our business more often than not is our salary. And so there has got to be an element of profit in our business to make it worth our while to take on that risk. But we also have to put money, food on the table of the family. And once you run a really good business and you can't make a profit anymore and you've turned every stone, you do ask yourself, like, why am I even bothering? Why don't I just become an Amazon delivery driver or something like that? Although I'm never going to do that, Leanna. Don't worry about it.

25:50Leanna Byrne:Well, listen, I don't think you will. I don't think you will. But all very important salient points. Well, listen, we're going to go global again because we've got the business secretary, Peter Kyle, saying the failure to reach a collective agreement at talks of the World Trade Organization is a major setback for global trade. At the centre of this deadlock is a key rule banning tariffs on digital trade set to expire tomorrow with countries divided over whether to extend it. Ministers met in Cameroon for four days to try to agree on reforms as the organisation faces growing pressure from major economies, including the United States.

26:24Leanna Byrne:But despite no overall deal, the UK and 66 other countries have gone ahead with their own digital trade agreement. Max Mendez-Parrara, Principal Research Fellow at Think Tank ODI Global, was at the conference and joins us now. Max, sorry about that. How are you? How was the mood at the conference? Hi, good morning. Well, clearly it was a big disappointment for everyone attending the conference because this was, it is seen as a sort of a big last opportunity for the WTO to reform. At the moment, I mean, there seems to be failing in that purpose. So it has been quite negative in that front. I mean, there is this digital e-commerce agreement that was reached by 66 countries, but the general sense has been quite negative.

27:22Leanna Byrne:That digital tariffs agreement, the US and Brazil are holding that up. That's a separate thing. But with deals like that, do you think that there's any possibility that that could get over the line or are we just seeing deals that just aren't going through anymore? Well, I mean, at this moment, I mean, just reviewing, I mean, clearly today is the day that expires the moratorium that was set up two years ago and the recent agreement. So the view is that the discussions are going to continue in Geneva. But it means that basically from today, basically countries, except those that agree to not do so, will be in position to start applying duties on digital downloads, Netflix, newspaper subscriptions, etc.

28:12done digitally.

28:13Leanna Byrne:Do you think the WTO can actually deliver deals these days? Or is it because the world is so fractured, particularly when it comes to trade, that it's not possible? Well, I think that there was an expectation that this ministerial, that would be the opportunity. There were, well, the digital duties moratorium also need to be delivered and it wasn't. There was a plurilateral on investment facilitation for development that was also part of the expected package that wasn't possible to deliver because India, particularly India, opposed to it. So it seems that in the facts, I mean, the WTO seems to be unable to deliver reform, deliver new deals that adjust to the realities of trade these days.

29:09So I think that the facts, I mean, suggest that no, the WTO cannot do it. I think that is a significant setback because it is an organization that was set up for a world after the Second World War, where the spirit of cooperation, the spirit of economic efficiency was something to need to enhance. But this spirit is no longer there. And it seems that it's extremely difficult that the new rules for these circumstances will be dealt multilaterally, will be probably dealt in a fractured way, as you suggest.

29:53Leanna Byrne:And if countries are now doing deals outside of the WTO, who loses out from that? Is it smaller economies? Could it be the consumers themselves? No, I think that the reason now is space, I mean, for groups of countries and the digital, the e-commerce agreement that was signed, the 66 hundred, is an example. Groups, basically what is called coalitions of the willing, will start being formed and will start agreeing on specific issues with the possibility of other countries eventually joining. But that will create a WTO with multiple agreements, multiple models that countries can choose. And the risk of that is that it was something that was tried to be done with a single undertaking and the consensus rule that the WTO had is that that eventually created a less efficient system because you have multiple models, multiple types of way of doing things.

30:53So I think that that is probably the way. It would be a way where probably no longer rules will be what will establish how those agreements are made and the content. But it will be more than forced. Some sort of gunboat diplomacy like the US has been pushing in the last couple of months. It is more likely.

31:16Leanna Byrne:All right, Max. Well, thanks so much for joining us, particularly after a long weekend. I'm sure it has been for you. Max Mendes-Pereira, Principal Research Fellow at Trade Think Tank ODI Global.

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32:48Wake Up To Money from BBC Radio 5 Live.

32:52Leanna Byrne:Yes, welcome back to Wake Up To Money. If you have been with us since 5am, if you've just joined us, well, welcome as well. We've had a few texts in. The government is like an eight-year-old. They've been asked repeatedly what they might do to help people to which they refuse to give any specific details, but instead tell us repeatedly they're looking at all options, but nothing concrete ever. No name on that, but that's probably referring to we had an Iran update, oil prices, energy prices, etc, etc, etc. We've been talking about that for weeks. We are on the fifth week of the conflict. We also have from Paul in St Albans, how seriously should Starmer and Reeves study the measures taken by Australia's left-leaning government to combat the economic impact of the Iran war?

33:36Leanna Byrne:Or are they simply too drastic to be acceptable to the British public and politically toxic with the May 7th elections looming? I think what Paul is referring to there is Australia is having fuel tax. That just came out this morning. Interesting stuff. Well, it meets on the front page of The Times this morning. The Prime Minister is meeting fuel bosses as fears grow over shortages. We spoke about that a little bit earlier. But let's move on. It is Easter week and many of us will have planned to go away somewhere to visit family or taking the chance to escape abroad for some sun. But given the war in the Middle East, some travel companies have said that their customers are changing their plans or forgoing a trip abroad to stay in the UK.

34:19Leanna Byrne:Now, does that apply to you? Have you changed your plans in favour of a staycation? Let us know. You can get in touch or text 85058, WhatsApp 08085 909693. and if you're listening to us on BBC Sounds or the podcast just use the hashtag WakeUpToMoney on social media. Peter Schweversman, co-owner of Hotel Anfield and commercial director of Hotel Raxam. Peter, hello, thanks so much for keeping with us and also Judith McKenzie, partner and head of Downing fund managers. Peter, I'm going to talk to you about staycations. You were mentioning earlier, we're going to talk about those disruptions to international travel a little bit later But are you seeing more people choosing to stay in the UK?

35:04Yeah, I think it's a great alternative option. Obviously, I would be enthusiastic about it as the United Kingdom chose to make things more difficult for European tourists to come here. It's very important that we make domestic holidays as attractive as possible for people. Now, if prices in certain parts of the season or so for normal families is nearly as high domestically as it is to fly to Spain, then I guess we cannot complain if people choose Spain over some seaside resorts in the UK. But yeah, it makes up a big part of our business and very, very selfishly spoken. If there's some people that choose to go to Liverpool for a weekend rather than Dubai at the moment, then I'm personally very happy with that short term.

35:58I don't want to lie.

35:59Leanna Byrne:Judith, from a very economic standpoint, if overseas travel becomes more expensive or it's uncertain, is it just the case that people then will flow the money back into the UK economy instead? Or, like Peter mentioned, they might say, I'm going to the Canary Islands. Yeah, it's a bit of a mixed bag so far this year. So Jet2 said the bookings were up around about 8 % so far and they expect to hit their profits of 440 million to meeting expectations. and overall air bookings for ether were up however um i would counter that by saying the um the company on the beach which is probably a brand that's quite known to quite a few of us despite quite a good start to the year it pulled its guidance for earnings stock market as they said they just didn't know what was going to happen during this exact period and i think we're just beginning to see that now so yeah i think there's an element of people spending at home.

36:56But I also think there's a big element of the consumer thinking, not knowing what oil prices, food prices are going to be. So actually just locking that cash up and not spending it, which isn't great for the economy.

37:09Leanna Byrne:Well, as I mentioned, we're going to talk about that again a little bit later. But let's talk about apprentices now. £725 million shakeup of the apprenticeship system comes in this week, aiming to help tackle youth unemployment and drive economic growth. The DWP says around 50 ,000 more apprenticeship opportunities will be made available and they'll be targeted towards workers under the age of 25. But what about older apprentices? An older worker might not be what immediately springs to mind when you hear the word apprentice, but there's plenty of them. Wake up to monies. Olivia Hutchinson's been delving into this for us.

37:45Each year, the government lists the top 10 leading apprenticeship employers in the UK. Up top for 2025 was hospitality and pub operator Mitchells and Butler's, while the likes of Amazon, McDonald's UK and PwC also feature. Wake Up To Money approached these 10 companies to

38:03Leanna Byrne:get more of an idea of the type of workers they had on their books. And it's safe to say that being an apprentice doesn't necessarily mean you have to be under a certain age. My name's Kim. I'm a third year project management apprentice at BAE Systems. I'm the grand age of 34. Unsure of what she wanted to do after leaving college, mum of two Kim ended up working for the NHS for nearly 15 years. It was just not fulfilling for myself. I took the opportunity to look elsewhere and saw that BAE's apprenticeships had no maximum age limit which was not something I expected. It was kind of one of those why not go for it and see what happens and yeah, it's been the best decision I ever made, to be honest.

38:46Kim's employer, BA Systems, told me that around 20 % of their 5 ,000 plus apprentices are over the age of 25. Richard Hamer is their education director. We are seeing larger numbers of older, more mature people applying for apprenticeships and they do bring different skills, greater maturity, a wealth of insights from other sectors and other types of employment into our apprenticeship programmes and also being older, they also are great role models for the younger apprentices.

39:17Leanna Byrne:49-year-old Kath works as an apprentice training coordinator. I'm feeling really proud of myself for having achieved this later in life and it's really given me a thirst to continue progressing my career and perhaps in doing another apprenticeship. Her employer, GXO Logistics, is currently training more than 1 ,700 apprentices with 79 % aged over 25 and it seems to be a trending pattern. Jan Smallbone is the Director of Learning and Talent Development at Mitchells and Butler's. There is no barriers in terms of age. We have lots of our own team who are older than 25, some much older than 25, who've not been able to access education, formal educational qualifications.

39:56So it's a fabulous opportunity for them to learn and grow whatever their age group is. So is being an older apprentice becoming the norm? The answer would be yes. From the John Lewis Partnership, they have over 1 ,500 apprentices currently enrolled. The largest share of them age between 35 and 44. They even have a few who are over 65.

40:16Leanna Byrne:There you go. Wake Up To Money's Olivia Hutchinson with that report. Joining us now, Mark Simmons, Senior Vice President of Human Resources at GXO. Mark, good morning. Good morning, Leanna. What rang true for you in that package, as we like to call it, that bit of audio for you? So you have a lot of experience of older apprentices, don't you? Yeah, I guess we heard it from the previous edit. We have over 1 ,700 apprentices. As you heard, there's nearly 80 % of those are over the age of 25. And I guess some of the comments have been made, but you can hear, and Catherine's one of the great apprentices we have in our business today, it just opens up practical routes to change or improve your career without having to go back to full-time study or start from scratch.

41:05And that ability to switch industries, to learn on the job rather than sitting in a classroom and just gain that real experience immediately whilst working on real business solutions is super valuable to us. And we've had huge success from our programme. I guess, go on, sorry.

41:22Leanna Byrne:Well, no, I was just going to say to you, you were just mentioning the programme. Can you just explain how the model itself works? Because you pay in money, the government pays in money and it's for certain things you can either hire a new apprentice or you can retrain staff isn't that right that's correct yeah we we offer apprenticeships from level two all the way through level seven we've got 60 different programs today that span lots of different from technology to automation to hr to finance to operations um and it's it's time off the job it's supported as you say through the levy um it's a it's a i guess my step back from the program It's a genuine kind of talent pipeline for our business.

42:00And we're really proud of 60 % of every single role in GXO is filled from an internal talent. So that succession, that talent pipeline in an apprenticeship program in its fullest sense plays a massive part in that success.

42:14Leanna Byrne:Now, the government, it is quite clear, wants more of this funding going to young workers. You know, how do you feel about that? We actually got a statement from the DWP, it says, with almost a million young people, not in education, employment or training, it is important the system is prioritised towards those at the start of their working lives. Is that fair? I recognise and I think we absolutely welcome the government's commitment to getting more young people into apprenticeships. I guess if you look at the data on youth unemployment, it's pretty concerning. And we as a large business want to be part of that solution and support those activities.

42:50But as we've said, I think apprenticeships work brilliantly at any age. we've got people that come from lots of different sectors my personal view and I guess our view is that we hope that as the system evolves the focus on the young people which is absolutely right doesn't come at the expense of the pathway for older workers and for me the two aren't in conflict and I think with a well-designed levy system we can achieve both

43:14Leanna Byrne:And presumably as well when you hire an older worker who possibly has had more experience too that's probably better for your business I think they just bring different skills, different life experiences. You heard from Catherine briefly earlier, the ability to build confidence and develop modern skills is super valuable at the individual level. But you're right, their resilience, their experience, their different sectors add a lot of value to their role and ultimately our business. But I suppose if public money is going into apprenticeships, should it be more focused on people starting out rather than those people who, for example, like that case study, who were already in work?

43:55I think, as I said, I think it can apply to both. I think that the commitment to getting more young people into the business and the sector and apprenticeships is good and is the right approach. But as I said, I think we'd like to have the benefit of both. So we employ degree apprentices. We take lots of entry apprentices. We take school leavers. And it's a real focus for our business. So that emphasis is crucial that we continue in that regard. But as we say, continue having different pathways for lots of different people.

44:23Leanna Byrne:I'm going to bring in Peter, who owns hotels in on this one. Peter, how hard is it to hire good staff right now? Oh, that's that's an interesting one. I'm a product of an internship myself. So being from the background that I'm from, nobody in my entire family has ever been to university before me. And I'm not saying that because I'm special or whatever. I'm just saying that because there's university is sometimes seen by people as sort of the be all and end all go to place. But when you leave university in the United Kingdom, you leave with a huge amount of debt and sometimes quite questionable sort of degrees, which you then have got no practical experience and join the workforce with a lot of debt, with very little practically applicable skill and experience.

45:17and hence me mentioning internships on top of apprenticeships. I'm just going to put my German hat on here very briefly because Germany is, I think, well known for its SME sector, which carries the economy. And both big and small employers use apprenticeships absolutely. It's commonplace. It's cheaper than in the United Kingdom, which is something that hopefully the recent measures will address, makes it a little bit more suitable for employers. And it's seen, and I think for me, this is a real thing. When I came from Germany to the United Kingdom 20 years ago, like apprenticeship in the UK is seen a bit like as if somebody wasn't quite sort of maybe good enough to go to university.

46:03And that is awful because the vocational skills and the kind of, yeah, the hands-on stuff is so badly needed in this country. We can't just all work in service industries and become influencers. So it is, I think, to push apprenticeships with measures to make it more, dare I say, sexy to companies like ours. And you quoted yourself that a hospitality business is on top of the tree in terms of numbers of apprenticeships, which I'm not surprised about. But I think that the other part of it is the culture, the perception side. And I think we should celebrate apprenticeships as a real route into fantastic opportunities, one that lets you earn while you learn as well.

46:51And just on the last, very last point, if you don't mind, some of my best employees that have been with me for several years now, when I was still reasonably young business, are people that I've taken on when they were very young. Yes, it takes people a little bit longer to sort of learn how organisations work and so on. But I think apprenticeships are an absolutely fantastic model to educate people and to show them real life experiences. And if we can get over this hurdle of this obsession with university degrees and celebrate apprenticeships more, I think you will see that number could explode quite easily.

47:28Leanna Byrne:There you go, Mark. What do you think of all that? I'm sure you agree with Peter because you guys do a lot with your apprenticeship scheme. Yeah, I think PT is spot on. If I personalise it, I've got a son who's 22, who left school and did an apprenticeship. And my daughter, who's now 26, went to university and genuinely started life with a big financial mill around her neck almost. I think we need a system and a structure and different pathways to success that meets different individual needs. So I advocate, you know, apprenticeships are super valuable individually into the business, as well as all the alternative and maybe more traditional routes to career growth and personal growth.

48:05So I think we, in summary, we do need a system that covers all angles.

48:09Leanna Byrne:There you go, Mark. Maybe we need to be more German. Is there anything that you would, you know, improve about the system itself? I think as always in the system I think making them sector specific is really important I think we've had the ability through the apprenticeship programmes to adapt and develop to ensure that it meets the hospitality needs or in my case the logistics needs I think as the government continues to develop the bite-sized training the different modules in terms of ease and flexibility of apprenticeships making sure they're relevant to all sectors as well would be a key development going forward.

48:44Leanna Byrne:All right Mark Simmers, Simmons, rather, Senior Vice President of Human Resources at GXO. Thank you so much for joining us. Very hard to get my words out this morning. Now, let's talk about staycations. Is Cornwall the new Dubai? Well, perhaps not just yet, but as travel disruption continues across the Middle East and airlines admitting they'll have to pass on increasing costs to travellers, could we see a boom for the British summer holiday? Kalinda Junja, Chief Executive of Pride Hotels, Pride of Britain Hotels, which represents 57 independent hotel brands across the UK, joins me now. Hello, good morning.

49:22Leanna Byrne:Morning, how are you? Good. You're, well, according to my notes here, you are seeing bookings ahead of last year's. Take us through that. How big of a shift are you actually seeing? I'd say it's a bit early to say, but yeah, definitely demand is strong at the moment where we are seeing people who've had cancellations or, you know, just aren't going for those international breaks that they had originally planned. And we're seeing them wanting to stay in the UK. So it is optimistic on that front. But that said, it is a time of year that we typically see bookings increase anyway, you know, with going into the better season, with school holidays and so on.

50:04So I'd say it's too early to get excited about it, but it is looking optimistic.

50:09Leanna Byrne:What about Easter? Is it too close to Easter to maybe for people to change their plans? No, not at all, actually. And typically what we've seen in the last couple of years, which is unfortunate for us, really, but a lot of demand tends to come in quite late. So we are seeing very last minute pickup. Easter always tends to be a funny one for the UK hotel market because it's, you know, it's one where it's hard to predict patterns if I'm looking historically. So May onwards is looking far more optimistic. April, I'd say, still mixed signals is what I'm seeing when I'm looking across demand for our hotels.

50:50And bear in mind, I'm, of course, speaking for the luxury end of the market. All of our hotels, you know, all across the country sit in, you know, they're some of the best hotels all across the UK. So, yeah.

51:01Leanna Byrne:All right. And if more people are holidaying in the UK, does that, where exactly in your 57 independent hotel brands, where are you seeing that uptick? So, for us, over 80 % of our hotels are actually out in more remote or country house sort of style properties. We've got loads of coastal hotels. We've got quite a big presence in Scotland as well. So it's really spread out all over the country. But definitely one of the natural shifts that tends to happen when people can't travel abroad and the weather gets better, people want to be by the coast. So absolutely, that is one natural shift. We're definitely seeing demand for coastal hotels.

51:44But equally for us, a lot of our hotels are the destination itself. You know, you're not necessarily going there to fully embrace the, you know, the location as such, but you're going to embrace the hotel and what it's got to offer. So in that sense, it's, you know, that demand is trickling throughout. Because of time of year we're sitting in, which is pretty much, as you rightly pointed out, we're going, you know, we've gone into Easter holidays and we're about to then start thinking about May half term and the summer holidays. is naturally the family market is one that we're also seeing demand for.

52:21Leanna Byrne:Now, in previous staycation booms, prices can rise quickly. I'm thinking about COVID. Are you seeing increasing room rates? Could that actually maybe put people off, perhaps? Not at all, actually. I've not seen any particular price increase across the board. The prices really are very typical of what we'd expect this time of year. So it's really actually pricing is more currently driven by seasonality and demand, which is typical and definitely not by a hike in staycation. I think hoteliers are being quite careful. And I think for certainly for our properties, there's there's there's an ethical element to it, too.

53:04So, no, nothing in particular.

53:05Leanna Byrne:Now, we've also got another hotel boss here, Peter. Peter, you know, when it comes to your properties in Rexham and Anfield, I did a combination of both there. I mean, presumably demand is essentially based on when the big events are, when the big matches are. that is definitely a big element of it Wrexham has got the second biggest industrial estate in the United Kingdom so the demand there during the week is actually quite strong and mainly driven by the fact that historically there's very little other hotel options available around Wrexham which will change over time no doubt but yeah I concur with the other lady who just spoke saying that sadly for us the demand is very very last minute that's been a trend coming over the last two years and we just have to hold our nerve, which is easier said than done sometimes.

53:56Leanna Byrne:There you go. Kalinda, I'll give you the last word. I mean, we've had a staycation boom in the past, but do you think this one's going to stay? I hope it's going to stay because after the pandemic, we've sort of seen that stay actually because I think people had a moment to explore more of the UK. They realised how you can actually without flight disruptions and so on, which we've seen a lot of across Europe over the last few years, you know, without travel destruction, you can have an amazing stay. You know, you've got the coast, you've got the mountains. There's so much to offer. So I definitely tell everybody, definitely plan a staycation, support the UK economy.

54:33There you go.

54:34Leanna Byrne:Kalinda, thank you so much for joining us. And also thank you so much to Peter and Judith, both of our whole programme guests. And that is it from Wake Up To Money. New teams. New rules. A new era. Formula One returns. The engines are revving. People are getting excited. Hear every race live on BBC Sounds. It's all ice and the lights. Hands for the floor. On Five Live Sports.

55:11This is Mike Borlo of Lexicon Valley. And I'm Bob Garfield. Are you one of those people who sometimes uses words? Do you communicate or acquire information with, you know, language? Hey, us too. So join us on Lexicon Valley to chew over the history, culture, and many mysteries of English. Plus some wisecracks. Find us on one of those apps where people listen to podcasts.

From the publisher

Leanna Byrne hears about the extra cash the government will be spending on apprentices.

Elsewhere, she'll talk to a Middle East expert on the latest from Iran ahead of the Prime Minister hosting industry leaders from the world of shipping, energy, finance and insurance for an emergency meeting at Downing Street.

And she'll hear from a tourism body about whether recent tensions in the Middle East are making people rethink about travelling abroad and having a staycation instead.

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