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Podcast Episode Notes: Capital Allocators – Episode 200 – Private Equity Masters 1: John Toomey – HarbourVest Partners
Episode Overview In this episode, Ted Seides speaks with John Toomey, a key figure at HarbourVest Partners, to explore the evolution of private equity over the past three decades. The discussion covers the various aspects of private equity investing, including fund strategies, international expansion, best practices, and future opportunities and risks in the space.
Key Themes
- Historical context of private equity investing
- Evolution of private equity strategies
- Insights into HarbourVest Partners' operations and philosophy
- The future landscape of private equity
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Guest Background
- John Toomey: Member of the Executive Management Committee at HarbourVest Partners.
- Firm History: HarbourVest has been active in private equity for over 30 years, managing over $75 billion in assets across funds, secondaries, and direct co-investments.
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Discussion Highlights
The Early Days of Private Equity
- Initial Attraction to HarbourVest: Toomey was drawn to the firm due to its unique position as a limited partner in many funds and its small but pioneering nature at the time.
- Market Landscape: In the 1990s, private equity was less specialized, with few firms and a limited focus on venture capital and buyout strategies.
Evolution of Private Equity Strategies
- Diligence Process: The due diligence approach has significantly evolved, now involving extensive data analytics, operational risk assessments, and evaluations of ESG and D&I factors.
- Investment Strategies: Discussion about successful strategies, with emphasis on operational improvements and identifying market opportunities as keys to generating returns.
HarbourVest's Operational Philosophy
- Manager Relationships: HarbourVest views general partners as clients, fostering a collaborative approach to co-investment opportunities.
- Investment Process: The firm employs a structured approach to assess co-investments, focusing on the manager's track record and alignment with investment opportunities.
Insights on Co-Investments
- Growth of Co-Investments: The co-investment market has become a significant sub-asset class in the last 10 years, providing investors with direct exposure alongside a lead sponsor.
- Strategic Filtering: HarbourVest organizes its teams around dedicated strategies to maximize the efficiency and effectiveness of co-investment evaluation.
Secondary Market Dynamics
- Strategic Advantages: Secondary investments allow quicker capital deployment and provide early returns, making them an attractive option for investors.
- Market Maturity: Toomey notes an increase in secondary transactions due to growing awareness among general partners of the benefits of using this market for portfolio management.
Global Perspective
- International Growth: HarbourVest has expanded its footprint globally, with a significant emphasis on understanding the nuances of different markets, particularly in Asia.
- Market Development: The firm emphasizes that non-U.S. markets are not simply lagging behind but developing rapidly and independently.
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Opportunities and Risks
- Future Growth: The conversation touches on the potential for private equity to capture a larger market share relative to public equity markets.
- Challenges: Concerns include navigating regulatory environments, managing ESG expectations, and responding to the changing dynamics of globalization.
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Personal Insights from John Toomey
- Favorite Hobby: Meteorology, with a deep interest in weather patterns and phenomena.
- Important Daily Habit: Morning and evening walks with his dogs, which help him reflect on his day and decompress.
- Life Lessons: Emphasizes accountability and the importance of preparation as essential for success.
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Closing Remarks
- Ted Seides expresses gratitude for John Toomey’s insights and reflections on private equity investing, inviting listeners to share their thoughts and encouraging subscriptions to the podcast.
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Key Takeaways
- The private equity landscape has evolved tremendously, with a growing focus on data-driven decision-making and operational strategies.
- Strong partnerships and communication with general partners are crucial for successful co-investment processes.
- Understanding the global market dynamics is essential for future growth and competitiveness in private equity.
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For further insights, listeners are encouraged to subscribe to the Capital Allocators podcast and explore additional resources available on the Capital Allocators website.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:01Capital Allocators is brought to you by my friends at WCM Investment Management. To outperform the markets, you have to do something differently from others. In my 30 -something years investing in managers, there may be no one I've come across who does that as clearly and as well as WCM. I've seen it up close as an investor in their international growth strategy for the last five years. WCM is a global equity investment manager, majority owned by its employees. They believe that being based on the West Coast, away from the influence of Wall Street groupthink, provides them with the freedom to live out their investment team's core values, think different, and get better.
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1:27This testimonial is being provided by Ted Seides and capital allocators who have been compensated a flat fee by WCM. This payment was made in connection with capital allocators testimonial and production of podcasts and does not depend on the success or level of business generated. The opinions expressed are solely those of capital allocators and may not reflect the opinions of others. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss principle. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please visit wcminvest .com for WCM's ADV and further information. Hop on our website, capitalallocators .com, and sign up for our free monthly email to stay apprised of happenings around the show and receive our five best reads and listens each month.
2:02You can also join our premium community to add a weekly email that gets you inside Capital Allocators, connectivity to show guests, and my investment thoughts. Private Equity Masters is brought to you by ILPA, the Institutional Limited Partners Association. ILPA is dedicated to engaging, empowering, and connecting limited partners to maximize their performance on an individual, institutional, and collective basis. It also hosts Voices of Private Equity, a podcast featuring leading voices from private markets that delves into the most pressing issues facing investors today. In its first season, the podcast held candid conversations that revealed each guest's personal journey in the industry.
2:51Rate, review, and subscribe to Voices of Private Equity today. Private Equity Masters is also brought to you by PitchBook. Deciding where to allocate capital is challenging for even the most seasoned fund managers. The margin of returns between a good and great investment can be wide, especially in the private markets, so you need access to the best fund data available, and that's PitchBook. 93 % of PitchBook's clients say their fund data is better than any other provider. PitchBook also publishes first -rate research on all aspects of investing in the private markets. You can explore PitchBook's data and research today by signing up to get free limited access.
3:40That's free limited access to the largest database of private market intel. To sign up, visit pitchbook .com slash capital allocators and see how PitchBook data can help give you that extra edge.
4:00Hello, I'm Ted Seides, and this is Capital Allocators. This show is an open exploration of the people and process behind capital allocation. Through conversations with leaders in the money game, we learn how these holders of the keys to the kingdom allocate their time and their capital. You can keep up to date by visiting CapitalAllocators .com. Over the last decade or two, no asset class has generated as much interest and investment dollar returns as private equity. This eight -part miniseries, Private Equity Masters, is a set of conversations with some of the longtime leaders in the space. We'll hear their stories, those of their firms, and their perspectives on this all -important area of the capital markets.
4:54My guest on the first episode of Private Equity Masters is John Toomey, one of two members of the Executive Management Committee at HarborVest Partners. For more than 30 years, HarborVest has invested across all parts of the private equity spectrum in funds, secondaries, and direct co -invests. Today, it oversees over $75 billion of assets and canvases the world. Our conversation discusses the early days of private equity investing, evolution of strategies across primaries, co -invests, and secondaries, international expansion, best practices of managers, the next wave of growth opportunities, and risks in the space.
5:38John has a unique perch at the top of the industry and offers a wonderful perspective to kick off the miniseries.
5:48Today's show is sponsored by iConnections. iConnections software platform seamlessly connects managers and allocators for virtual meetings, giving managers the ability to subscribe and share information with allocators who can efficiently select and meet managers all on one platform. The scalable technology powering iConnections can be used for bespoke events by managers, allocators, and service providers. Visit iConnections .io to learn more.
6:45their operational risk. Visit northerntrust .com slash solutions to learn more. Please enjoy my conversation with John Toomey from HarborVest Partners. Well, John, thanks for joining me. It's my pleasure. Why don't you take me back, I don't know, 24, 25 years ago. How did you find your way to HarborVest back then? I was a chemistry and physics major and I fell in love with finance based on what my roommates were doing, my friends in undergrad. They were going to Wall Street and working in banking. And I was building models around atmospheric chemistry and they were building financial models. And we compare notes at the end of the summer.
7:30I'm like, oh, that actually sounds a lot more interesting to me. So I went and I did our typical tour duty, if you will, as an investment banking analyst. And it was in New York. And look, I'm Boston, born and raised here, went to college here, and so wanted to come home. And in 97, right, 24 years ago, there actually wasn't a lot of private equity firms in the industry. So I reached out to all of them. And what attracted me to HarborVest back then, which actually, ironically, was it actually didn't have a name yet. It had just completed the buyout from Hancock Venture partners. They had not yet branded.
8:07It was temporary HVP partners way back when. And what attracted me was their market position, their vantage point in the whole industry, because we were a limited partner in many funds. We had a very small secondary business at the time. There was the direct co -investment side, which is where I was hired into. We did everything from co -investing in buyouts to late stage growth equity financing, late stage venture financing. And so that diversity of perspective of those experiences, along with the people, I mean, it was really a cottage industry then. And they were managing directors and analysts, and I was an analyst.
8:49And so a 25 -year -old analyst, you had this incredible opportunity to almost like step into the apprentice business, step into the apprentice model, and work with people who were industry pioneers on a day -to -day basis. So that, to me, was one of the most attractive things. So you mentioned there weren't that many private equity firms. What was HarborVest's investment offering back then? Oh, you're pining for the nostalgia of village life, right? Life was simple. Life was simple. So look, it had three businesses, but it had four product offerings. So each business, the multi -manager private equity business known as the fund -to -funds business, which the firm had become so successful at, in many ways identified with because of its success.
9:34We had a secondary business and a direct co -investment business. So three business lines. And the primary business was split between US and non -US. And so there's really just four products and you raise one fund roughly every four years. So you're raising roughly one of those funds per year. And we served almost exclusively institutional investors. It was not quite yet the sovereign wealth funds, had not entered the market yet. It was predominantly public and private pension plans, U .S., non -U .S. endowments foundations in that commingled offering. And it was the kind of a simple, would you like Delaware or Cayman?
10:12There were eight items on the menu. It was a much more simple time. What was the breadth of manager options back then? It hadn't quite specialized yet as an industry. So there was venture and buyout, and then maybe some geographic differences. At the time, there was really very little to be done in China venture. I mean, it hadn't really think about it today. If it's not yet, it will be as big as the US market. But it really hadn't started yet. The Asian markets were predominantly just buyout and developed market buyout at the time. There really wasn't quite a distinction between small, medium, and large buyout.
10:52If you think about that, I mean, a large buyout fund in the late 90s was a billion dollars in size. And then on the venture side, it was just venture, right? We didn't have necessarily early stage and late stage and balanced and growth. And there certainly weren't industry specialists of any depth to talk about. There were some that were beginning to specialize, but it was still very much a generalist market. And what was your early experience in the due diligence process like? I grew up on the co -investment side, right? So that's really where it started. And I will tell you, this is one of the things that I think is a good example of our culture today.
11:29I mean, I remember, I was probably there for a month, a 25 -year -old analyst, and I had to write an investment committee memo. And I wrote it all up. I submitted it. It came in the investment committee meeting. And you're like, adrenaline pumping through my body. I'm all excited. Like, oh, this is great. Present this investment opportunity. And I'll never forget, I was sitting at the end of the table. It was like the typical classic long table. The two founders were sitting in the center of it facing each other. I couldn't even see one of them because you were that far in the corner. So you could kind of just only see one of them.
12:01And I'll never forget, Ed Cain turned, he looked down my way at the table and he said, we don't pay you to make copies. we pay you because we want to hear what you think. And I just stopped short and presented the investment opportunity. Of course, it didn't go anywhere. But I just remember from that earliest step, it was like August of 1997. I remember that vividly. And that still persists today, right? We want to hear what people think. And so on the direct side, it was very similar to what you might see in any opportunity today, right? An evaluation of markets and company and products and management team and valuation, forecasted returns and the analysis and evaluation of risk and reward.
12:50That was on the direct equity side. The primary side is probably where the diligence has evolved the most as an industry over the last 20 years. So what was it like then and how has it evolved since? I'd say it's changed in really five ways. Data, the benefit from secondaries and directs, and that gives you from a vantage point. ODD, operational due diligence, ESG, and DNI. If you think back to 1997, it was really just, it was a very relationship heavy. You largely had the data that was given to you by the manager. You had an analysis of the people. Do I think that these are good investors? And do they have a strategy that's coherent with the market opportunity?
13:35Are they aligned? All of that is still the same. That's a constant. But I'd say that the depth of the data, both what managers give to you and make available to you in consideration of your investment, the data that we have, I mean, we didn't have 40 years of data back in 1997, but we do today. And so we just have this unbelievable set of data and analytics that go on top of that to really pierce and identify, how does a manager create returns? Is it multiple arbitrage? Is it largely safe bets, but cash flow pay down? Is it M &A? Are they good at that? Who's actually doing it within the organization?
14:14Is it really still the partners or is it someone else who's learning the business? And do we really want to have somebody learning the business on our client's dime. And then I'd say the ODD, ESG, and D &I, those are all new dimensions that are very important today that really weren't part of the consciousness of us or even the industry 20 years ago. So you got to dive in a little bit on that data side and these primary investments. What have you found of all those different levers have been either the most successful investments or the ones that you've gravitated to, which may or may not be the same thing?
14:49You hear different managers talk about a playbook and the translation between what I'd call the packaging of the playbook, like what do we do and how do we do it? Sometimes there's admittedly a little gloss packaging put on that by the managers, right? There's a little salesy. But then how does that translate when you look at actually, you know, we or our clients are committing a dollar and you're going to return two and a half dollars back to us over seven to 10 years. How have you specifically done that historically? The industry, there's been many great returns created by multiple arbitrage.
15:29You buy a business for eight times and you sell it for 12. That helps, right? That's a great way to create returns. In different cycles, it may not be as available to you as readily. So you really want to understand, you know, what did you specifically do with the companies? What was your strategies? What did you see? How did you change? Was it revenue growth? Was it you were organizing the business in a more efficient way? Was it M &A add -on? You can actually quantify that. You go all the way down to EBITDA and cash flow and identify who does that. And those, what I call operational improvements, the identification and execution on market opportunities, where are the market size growing the fastest, the managers that have been able to do that consistently cycle in and cycle out, in some ways, insulate you a bit from the inevitable market cycles that come.
16:18And as long as you're with the best managers of the world, you can generate attractive returns relative to all the other investable opportunities that exist in that timeframe. How do you process all that information? I'm imagining you're looking at a new fund, could be an existing portfolio manager, a new portfolio manager, and you've got now reams of data from all of their past deals. What do you do with it? Just to be clear, our diligence on a manager doesn't start the day they print the PPM. It just can't. And the interesting part of the private markets is that the best managers in the world often are oversubscribed, even at an incredible size funds.
17:01Apollo at over $20 billion, oversubscribed. No one would have thought that before it happened. So it does happen because there's tremendous demand for the returns that exist in the private equity markets. So if you're showing up with the PPM as it's printed, you are late. Like you were at the back of the line. So what I give our teams a lot of credit for is they have a multi -year pipeline and map of the entire industry. And we are tracking returns every year, every quarter on every manager that we have access to and we have data on. To me, there's no greater way to measure or test a manager's credibility than to verify that they did what they said they would do a year or two or three ago.
17:52And so then you bring into the analysis our secondary and our direct co -investment, and you can actually get an up -close look at the underlying portfolios and the older funds and the guidance from the managers and what they intend to do with them and what type of return they expect to create. And then the fun part is then you measure it against actual outcomes. And what ends up happening is you end up developing relationships with the management team, the leaders of these organizations. And you actually begin to formulate a view of who's spot on, who's generally conservative with what they're telling you, and who might be always glass half full, which just means you have to be a little bit more cautious when you evaluate the next offer.
18:40You started in the co -invest side way back when, and that's clearly the activity in that space is a lot higher today than it was. What did it look like in terms of the opportunity flow back 24 years ago? That market has really become a bona fide sub -asset class unto itself. That's really only a five or 10 -year development. In the 90s, it wasn't even a cottage industry. It was nascent. And it was, in many ways, the similar pattern that you see here today is why, one of the reasons, because there's multiple, why a manager will actually access or utilize the co -investment market. And so in the late 90s, it was actually very similar.
19:28It was managers who had an opportunity where they needed to invest $100 million into a company, and their fund size meant that they realistically could only invest $75. And so they have a choice. Do they partner with somebody with a peer in the industry, another lead GP, which means, okay, now we're not investing 75, we're investing 50 each, and we're sharing governance, and now we've got to deal with that. or who are the logical minority investors into private markets, people we have relationships with that we know and we trust, and there's just some familiarity with them, who has the capital and the team able to evaluate and invest into a $20 or $25 million investment alongside us.
20:19And they remain the lead GP. So in many ways, the market that you see today actually started in very much the same identical way. There wasn't quite as much this notion of what I'd call the demand from the LP side, where the other reason the co -investment markets exist today is general partners know and limited partners demand that, hey, look, this is just part of our relationship. And I'm going to invest X into your fund, and I'm going to pay one and a half and 20. And on the co -investment side, I'm going to get lower cost economics, even no cost economics. And that allows me to buy down the total cost of investment for me overall.
21:00So as you look at that now, after two decades of doing it, what is your own process for filtering the ideas that come through the transom of what you'd want to participate in as a co -invest? The way I would describe this, our firm is organized where we have dedicated people to each strategy. And that's a deliberate choice. The alternative would be to everyone has manager relationships and everything that comes from a manager, the new fund they're raising, a co -investment opportunity, secondary investment opportunities, you have the same person on point. From our vantage point, that presents a challenge.
21:37So the challenge is, guess what? The person who was in that point on the manager relationship, everything that that manager, this is the best set co -investment opportunity. We've got to buy this secondary at 105 because they're such a great manager. And so really from the beginning, we organized our teams around dedicated disciplines because we, of course, the person who is the manager relationship on the primary side has an important voice in the process, right? They may have even sourced the investment opportunity. They provide a perspective on diligence. But we want dedicated co -investment teams who wake up every day and say of the 800 opportunities that we see this year on co -investments, of which 780 of them are actually going to happen, what are the best 50?
22:29And it may not always be from the same manager. They're good investments. We're glad they're in our primary portfolios. But it just isn't that enormously continuously tight screen that exists on the co -investment side. And so that's how we've organized our teams. When I've talked to more of the other, right? So a CIO who's managing a single pool of capital. So the relationship is going to filter all the way through the activities. You hear a bunch of different lenses and rationales of why an LP may want to co -invest. When you have so many different relationships and so many ideas, I'm kind of curious what you found works best.
23:07There's a few things that I think have made our co -investment team as successful as they have been. And the first is the whole HarborVest. Think of general partners really as our clients. And to remind you, it's HarborVest partners, right? It's not HarborVest capital. It's not HarborVest advisors. It's partners. And so our whole DNA, our whole mentality is we're here to serve. Of course, we're here to serve the limited partners. but we're also here to serve the general partners. And when you think about general partners as partners with you, you think about what's their value proposition, what solution are we bringing to them?
23:43How can we be more than just another dollar of AUM for that manager, of which there are thousands of sources of that in the world? So we treat the general partners that way. We try to bring solutions to them. On the co -investment side, what we found they value the most is, frankly, a quick no is always better than an elongated no. And so we just have this commitment, you know, 24 -hour period, we will get back to the manager with a quick read. Views on valuation, industry coverage, we're trying to understand the alignment between not just the firm and the investment that they're making, but who at the general partner is making that investment.
24:25And let's be clear, what's the individual person's track record on deals like this? And when they line up, industry expert, they're just doing the same thing they've done four or five other times. They've all generated great returns. That completely lines up. So that's a big part of it is looking very closely at those dynamics. So that underwriting process, it sounds like you're underwriting the specific areas of success with the manager as opposed to necessarily underwriting the company that they're investing in? So it's both. I would think of it as, and look, we're not repeating all of the diligence that a manager is completing.
25:03That's just not efficient. It doesn't make any sense to do that. We're reviewing that, of course, right? We get all access to all of that. So I would describe it as we're doing all the same underwriting that a lead sponsor will do from an evaluation of the market, of the company, of the management teams, of its products, industry structure, et cetera. Then on top of that, we will layer on our own perspective of the manager's appropriateness or alignment with that investment opportunity and all the way down to the individual level so that we can really pierce through the organization and look real close at who specifically is leading this deal.
25:43And the other thing that has been remarkable is our vantage point with hundreds of manager relationships around the world. And the fact that for the last 20 years, there's been secondary buyouts in this industry that didn't exist before 2002, 2003. What's been actually remarkable is our vantage point or access to diligence is we actually can contact prior owners of companies or owners of companies in the same industry and get an off -list reference or insight that is enormously valuable to us in our evaluation of that. But you have to be quick. You have to be resourced well. We've got a dedicated team of over 50 people.
26:25And of course, you need to have capital to be relevant to the managers as well. Once you have participated in a co -invest, what's the process of ownership like? Passive, active, value add? How do you think about being an owner of a business as a co -invest? It does vary because if you're a $200 million investor alongside a sponsor who's led it with them and their other limited partners in a $4 billion equity check, then you're a very small investor and you have a relationship that is more akin to a limited partner. There's of course a separate agreement that governs minority investor rights and tags and drags and all of that, but it's more akin to investing as a limited partner.
27:10At the other end of the spectrum, the top 25 managers in the world actually have on average seven product lines. That's up from two 10 years ago, and it's up from one 20 years ago, right? And so what's been incredible of that evolution is managers who seemingly are able to attract lots of interest in their new products don't always line up the closing of the next fund or the new fund with the investable opportunities. And so we, in many occasions, think about value proposition, have worked with those managers and say, look, we will underwrite the entire equity check, $200 million. Now you go and close your growth equity fund, you close your technology buyout fund, whatever it is.
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27:54And then you have the right to call 100 or 150 from us for the next six or nine months and to see this as your first investment. And of course, if somehow the world goes upside down, we have the right to put some of that directly back to you so that we're not alone and that the manager is aligned and incented to review that. So when you do that, it creates this incredible affinity and depth of relationship with the managers. And in those cases, we may take a board seat. We may have more active rights around some approvals. It's really situation -specific, size -specific, and manager -specific.
28:33How do you think about exit strategy on Coinvest? Our anchor is alignment with the manager. And that's true going in, too. We want to align with what's their entry point, what's their entry value. Sometimes, though not often, there are some economics that exist within that market. And do the economics exist in a way that deviate enough from the alignment with the lead sponsor? That's something we evaluate closely. So if we get that alignment right, then for the most part, some managers will say, hey, it's like a limited partner. It's tied into the co -investment partnership. And the general partner, the lead sponsor will decide.
29:10So in which case, we don't really have a choice. It's as if we're investing as a limited partner. When that doesn't exist, then we often, even though it's not structural, we often will align with the general partner around that. they want to know that they can deliver a clean solution to the next owner of the business, right? So they often will have a drag. We have likely no desire to remain an owner of those investments after the lead sponsor has exited, other than what's been interesting is sometimes you go from one lead sponsor to the next lead sponsor to the next lead sponsor. And so that's been an interesting dynamic because we often have relationships on both sides and then can evaluate, wait, do we want to stay invested with the business?
29:53We've been with it for four or five years. It's performed extraordinarily well. And yeah, this is a great business and there's more returns for our clients. I'd love to hear about a success story and maybe a not so successful story from the Coinvest program. One of the great success stories is it was a company called CSN Stores, which not a lot of people know what that is, but you will when I tell you what it rebranded as. And so CSN Stores was this Boston -based e -commerce business in household goods. And they had a whole variety of brands. Every kind of household good had its own website. And they wanted to do a private round to begin to consolidate its operations and to rebrand.
30:38And we had a clear intention of going public. It was a $200 million round. And there was a couple of Boston -based general partners that were organizing this. And they were going to max out what they could reasonably do within their programs. And so they wanted to bring other people in and they didn't want to bring just anybody in. They wanted to bring somebody that is a limited partner in their funds. They wanted to bring somebody in that they've known for, in one case, 20 years. So we were invited to evaluate the opportunity. We saw the attractiveness as well. And so we invested 50 or $60 million out of that 200 into CSN stores, which became a rebranded as Wayfair and a couple of years later went public.
31:22And so that is a great example of how the vantage point, the relationships, look, the dedicated teams, it was substantial capital. It was a dedicated team that evaluated and my partner, Ian Lane, joined the board. And so that's a great example of that dynamic. How about one that didn't go so well? Oh boy. Yeah. No, look, nobody bats a thousand, right? So I try to black out the places where we have not returned investor capital, Ted. So I'm thinking a little bit. And it's important to learn from the mistakes, but I don't try to relive them every day. If I think about just the various times, you know, 99 to 01, 07 to 09, there are examples of where the challenges of the co -investment market when the market turns can be, particularly if there are multiple co -investors is you need to make a down and dirty financing, or you need to invest additional capital to buy some relief from the lenders.
32:20You need to buy covenant relief for four quarters, eight quarters, whatever it is. And the lead sponsor, this again, back to alignment. If the lead sponsor is 20 % of the capital and co -investors are 80 % of the capital, that's not very good alignment. But inevitably, even if it's 80 -20, we could be 10 % if there are other co -investors. Now you have this decision and it's impacted by the capital availability and the decisions of the other co -investors, which is why this alignment question is real tight. We certainly have had investments where we've had to make the tough call to walk away from, where we had a different view than the lead sponsor.
32:56We generally follow the sponsor in those situations, but we are fiduciaries. And so if we think that the risk reward isn't there and there's a good chance of throwing good money after bad, we walk. We walk and we have to. And so we certainly had some of those back in the 01 timeframe, the 09 timeframe. With all this information you're gathering at the experience of the company level, both through the due diligence process on co -invest and your actual investments, I'm really curious, how does that talk back to your primary evaluation? So you're on the primary side of the business, just investing in the funds.
33:33How do those two talk to each other? So on the co -investment side, it really comes through. Of course, there's an insight on the underlying company level that gets fed back. But the real insight that our primary team captures from our co -investment business is really through the manager effectiveness, the manager leadership on the underlying company level. And that was invaluable in the part of our industry's history where club deals had become prevalent. And you'd have three, four managers come in. And what was interesting is, because oftentimes with our size and scale as a co -investor, again, you're a minority investor, but you often get information rights.
34:19You can attend board meetings. You actually get an upfront row seat on what the manager is actually doing. And interestingly, in the club deals, you have the advantage point of, well, who's actually doing the work? Who's actually just a financial investor? And who does management call when they have issues? Who does management defer to in the board meetings? And so that is invaluable. And then you can bring that back to your primary analysis. I'd say at the company level, because it's more broad than just single co -investments, that's where the secondary business comes in. Because we're evaluating all of the manager's prior funds.
34:57We have underwritten forecasted outcomes for every fund that we track every quarter. And then you can see how that changes. So when a manager shows up raising their next fund and they're giving you forecasts in the more recent funds, we can actually calibrate that to the forecast that we've been tracking for each of the last 10 or 12 quarters before that. And that to me is where the insight really comes in. And we've actually sourced primary relationships first through the secondary business because we got to know somebody and said, wow, this person said X, they delivered X plus 10%. And as a result, Insight Ventures is a perfect example.
35:352003, our first investment was in a secondary. And Jeff Hoaring said, hey, listen, I'd like to get to know Harborvest a bit more. And they've been just a wonderful partner. I'm really curious about these examples where you have a relationship with a manager in the primary business, you start to see things through the co -invest business that either you're just repeatedly passing on their co -invest deals, or maybe you do one and their behavior isn't quite what you thought. Where do you draw those tensions between that information and how you would just underwrite the primary fund manager without that additional information?
36:13Managers generally aren't doing anything nefarious, but there are times I'd say it's more the the shade of conservatism or aggressiveness with which they view the world and which they communicate what they're doing. That to me is the real, the real value. We've had some experiences on the co -investment side where the general partner treated the other co and us and the co -investors as an afterthought. And it wasn't a good experience. And that becomes part of the discussion becomes part of the discussion, of course, with the manager. But it also becomes part of the discussion around this. Our business is we have commingle funds, we have separate accounts, we've got some other ways that investors access our expertise.
36:55We have to and we do run each of those independently. So it's still the information informs your decision. But there is never any other criteria on an investment decision other whether that fits in that program. Is that the best opportunity that we can invest in a client's program. So let's turn to the secondary business. I know you've been at it for a long time. How do you think about the strategic advantages just for an investor in your funds of participating in secondaries versus primary or co -invest? I'd say the classic view of the secondary market was a great way to start a private equity program, right?
37:38All the way you can invest capital more quickly. There's no J curve. You get early performance, early liquidity. It was a great, you know, you're ramping your target allocation. What a great way to do it. That actually still exists today. Another reason why I've seen investors invest in a secondary is they actually just like the returns. I mean, the returns are actually quite good. And so as part of your program, why not have a part where it is broadly diversified? The downside of secondaries is you can't always be so precise the way you can on primaries or co -investments around picking your portfolio construction, X percent Europe, Y percent venture.
38:14The founder of the secondary business used to say, you can only buy what someone is selling. So there is a bit of a diversification element that benefits the returns and the risks, but makes it hard for precise portfolio construction. Amazingly, I remember back in 2000, the secondary market evolved like a lot of markets. The early returns were spectacular. Capital followed the returns as it always does. And then people followed the capital. There was more opportunities. Every market has developed that way. And the secondary market is no different. What has been different though is the market has shown a remarkable ability to have just another gear in terms of the investable opportunities.
38:58And what has, in my opinion, counterbalanced what should be an inevitable reduction of returns as markets mature, if you follow that cycle, is the increase in the investable opportunities. And for 20 years, it was largely a distressed seller market. For the most part, the secondary market existed only because an owner of a limited partnership interest decided it didn't want to own that asset anymore. And what has changed in the last, say, five to 10 years is all of a sudden the general partner community has become alive to this market as, well, wait a minute, I actually can use this for my own portfolio management tool.
39:45I'm not limited to a corporate buyer, a financial buyer, an IPO, or now a SPAC. Now I actually have this other market. And so for me, that has been remarkable because the size of the market has grown dramatically. So those use cases from a GP perspective at the individual company level, at the fund level, how are they thinking about working with the secondary market? It's all over the place. So it could be either, right? Is it a portfolio level deal or an asset level deal or is it a fund level deal? So the different examples are a manager gets to be, I don't know, seven to 10 years into the life of the fund.
40:23They have three or four companies left. They can decide, do they just sell them off one by one? Or do they realistically have investors in the fund who maybe they're actually not current with that manager anymore? And so can you actually offer an LP tender and say, look, if a third of my investors have moved on or they're thinking about the world differently or they've invested with other people, why don't I refresh my limited partner base? There you can do a limited partner tender and have secondary capital like HarborVest come in and replace a lot of investors who aren't there. You can do an asset level deal where they could do the same transaction in concept and say, look, we're going to sell these four companies to a new continuation fund and manage that out.
41:04And we'll give investors the option to roll for those who want to stay invested. But we really want to reset the timeline. And of course, with all those transactions, alignment is critical and just understanding how you're treating the existing investors and how your new capital is aligned. How's the pricing environment changed on all these secondaries? It ebbs and flows with the cycle. Where we are in the cycle is a lot of transactions will run in the 90s or at par. What's interesting is if you look back at our history, and we've committed $30 billion to secondaries in our history, and you look at the total returns we created for clients, the misconception of this market is like, oh, it must be all about the discount.
41:47So an asset purchased at 60 must be a better return than an asset purchased at 95. And the discount is the only predictor from the discount is the likelihood of the seller selling because it's always easy to convince somebody to sell something at 100 or 101 or 99 than it is at 70. So to me, that's the only predictor. And if you look at our gains, our returns over our history, yes, there's a benefit that comes with buying an asset at a discount. but you get that discount once. And if you buy the right asset managed by the right manager, that manager and those assets can create gains year after year after year until they get realized.
42:31So some of our best returns have been investments we've made at par or at 105 because it was with exceptional managers and they were great assets right at the point of their portfolio where the gains were really about to explode. You mentioned a couple of different vehicles, continuation funds, managers looking to extend duration. This is sort of this common problem as private equity firms, particularly, I don't know, maybe a decade ago, were flipping companies back and forth with each other. Where is the industry sort of taking this concept and structure of owning good assets for longer without that frictional cost in between?
43:14It's a great question because what's happening, and I'll use the word atomization, but it's not quite what's happening, but I'd say the access points into the underlying investments are changing. So for the beginning of the industry until the last 10 years, if you really wanted to invest in private equity, your choices were generally a 10 -year limited partnership. You would make an investment upfront, and then the manager would invest and create liquidity and send the capital back over time. And you basically had to wait. And what has changed is there's now multiple ways for institutional investors and non -institutional to get access to the underlying companies.
43:54They could access it through co -investments. They could access it through a continuation fund that the manager is doing in year seven, or maybe there's an LP tender at some point. So you don't have to actually wait till the end. You can both exit and enter at different points in time. And so what's been incredible from our standpoint is our business, primary, secondary, directs, credit, real assets, in many ways, the game, the market is changing. It's almost like it's kind of, we're at a soccer game and the pitch, and it's all the actions happening right in front of us from a co -investment opportunity, from a secondary opportunity.
44:32It's grown dramatically because investors are desiring more access, more exposure to this asset class, and they don't have to just only do it through the 10 -year limited partnership. And you can avoid some of the friction costs that come with selling the company. So the longer holds, for those who want it, can be quite attractive to allow the returns to compound. So I want to slice your business in a couple of different ways. You mentioned early on China venture capital, and I know it's a global business. What are you seeing, let's say, outside the US in other geographies across these different product areas?
45:10I think it would be a misconception to think that a market outside of the US is just X years behind the US or Y years. I mean, these are developing in their own ways. They're developing in a much faster pace than the US private equity markets have. I mean, we've been international for a long time. We opened our first ex -US office in 1990, 31 years ago, and our first office in Asia in 1996. Now, we have 10 offices today. And a lot of those markets have continued to grow. So for many years, the depth of the market was nowhere near it was in other markets. Europe, of course, has been deep for a long time.
45:51But outside of the US and Europe, the depth of the market wasn't there. And so over time, just this is one of the amazing things about the private equity industry is you have a firm, it's like the story of TA, you can almost go through, it's like the Belichick coaching tree. And you can just see all the firms that have come out of that. Now it's taken decades for that to happen in the US. But the same thing is happening in Asia, individuals leave, and they start new firms, and they're great investors. And so those markets continue to grow rapidly at a fast pace. And look, the private markets, like all financial markets, they're also influenced by, of course, the rule of law and the structure and the maturity of the financial markets.
46:32So how you finance a buyout in different markets in Asia are quite different than how you would do it in other developed markets. And so you need to have dedicated people. We've We've got four offices. We've got 60 people on the ground. You've got to just be in the market to be able to evaluate and get access to those opportunities. And how about some of the differences between buyouts and, say, venture, your two core areas investing? Yeah. So from our vantage point, again, I would take Asia, for example, split it between developed markets and developing, very different. The developed markets, North Asia, Australia, they are predominantly buyout.
47:14Predominantly buyout markets. There's mature managers there. A place like Japan, where the private equity as a percentage GDP is probably the lowest of any developed market in the world. As you see some of the daily headlines, that is changing. That is evolving. And so that's a quite attractive market today. On the venture side, for us, it's predominantly China. We've made some investments in places like Vietnam. but it's predominantly China where for all the reasons that we all know about the size of the China market, the growth of the China market, we've had some of the largest exits that we've ever had across the history of our firm come out of our China venture portfolio because the numbers are just so unbelievable.
47:57And if you look at the venture industry, the growing number of the the Midas 100 list, the number of unicorns, number of decacorns. It's growing and it's slanting more and more towards China as becoming a peer with the US. And look, I don't know why it wouldn't be the biggest market someday. I want to turn a little bit to how you think about your own business. You've had these relationships with lots of 100, 150 terrific private equity firms broadly defined. What have you learned from the best practices of how they've gone about running their business and applied them to HarborVest? Yeah. So, I mean, hundreds of manager relationships.
48:36I think our culture is a culture of continuous improvement. So I wouldn't want to leave you with the like, look, HarborVest has it all figured out. We've got a great business. We have incredible people. I'm proud of the work that we do for our clients and for our managers. But we are in a constant state of improvement. How can we do this better? And so you pick things up along the way. And whether that's succession planning, seeing firms who botch that over time, and they end up kind of losing the next generation or made it a financial transaction over anything else when it was just fundamentally a partnership among group individuals versus those who adopted the stewardship model the way we have, which is we're a partnership and I'm a steward of this business today.
49:22Pete and I today lead the business along with all of our partners. And when we retire, we will sell our share back to the business. So we picked that up from managers over time. Look, I'd say on the IC front, years ago, one of the things we picked up from our friends at TA Associates is like a lot of managers, we had a binary voting system, right? It was either yes or no, and you needed three out of four votes at the global IC to approve something. What we heard from TA was they adopted a numerical rating, one through five, and you had to have a collective number across the total voting members.
49:57And the reason why is what they were trying to do was control for what I'd call the, I'm willing to go along with it investment. So you might have three of four yeses, but it's kind of three mediocre lukewarm. And when you put a numerical rating on it, and then collectively it doesn't make the bar, boy, maybe you shouldn't make that investment. So that's a great example of just, you know, you just have all these relationships, you absorb and evaluate what they're doing, and you do take a little bit of the best of what you see and how you can make your firm better. Are there any other nuggets like that decision -making process that come off the top of your head?
50:36We actually have a conference that we run every year for our managers, which is how to manage the firm. And we convey a lot from our experiences and what we've learned over the years. But they convey a lot to us. And I'll just never forget. I mean, we had, it was the mid -2000s. And we had a topic of managing senior talent. You have great type A personalities that everybody wants to be in the C -suite and they want to be autonomous and lead the business. And everybody can't all do that. So you always have to manage great talent. That's something I think we've learned over the years to do to cultivate talent and bring it along.
51:13And we're fortunate we've never been in this situation, but there was a venture manager who said, let me tell you what happens when your funds go from 800 million in size to 400. And we talked about, how do you fire a partner? And you just see the looks in the room, like nobody thought about it because the industry's only gone in one direction. But the notion of like, well, how do you decide? Is it track record? Is it just the most expensive partner, which isn't always the case, right? Is it the most junior partner of the partnership? Because they might be at the higher priced yet lower contribution relative to the other seasoned tenured members of the partnership.
51:54And so you have that discussion of like, how do you do it? And that was a remarkably raw and candid discussion led by somebody who had lived it, went from 800 to 400 after the 9901 timeframe. Curious to touch on opportunities and risks as we look out. So on the opportunity side, you recently brought in Vanguard, clearly has, at least from the outside, this opportunity to bring scale in ways that we probably haven't seen. And I'm curious how you're thinking about that going forward. I'll answer this two ways, Ted. First is, let's talk about scale of the industry, because that's been an age -old question.
52:34And then I'll talk about scale at Harvard. So look, scale of the industry, if you look at the size of the global public equity markets, this is not a current data point, so don't hold me exactly to the hundredth of a million dollars, But it's about, I don't know, $80 or $90 trillion just around the world. When you look at the total private equity market capitalization, again, around the same time, it's like $8 or $9 trillion. So it's big, right? And it's bigger than it has ever been. That's what we always hear. Capital overhang, look at how much people are raising. So it's true. All right? I can't.
53:11Like, the data is the data. But when you compare it to the size of the public equity markets, tell me why it can't be 20 % relative to the size of the publics or 30%. Because I think what has happened in the last couple of decades is almost a complete development, and you're seeing this on the credit side, of a completely independent private capital markets that has developed. And so personally, well, yes, if I'm driving my car at HarborVest and I look in the rearview mirror and I say, wow, there's been more capital raised in the industry than ever before. And it makes for great headlines for those that publish that.
53:52But I don't just look in my rearview mirror when I drive. I look in the windshield. And where we're going is just still an incredible amount of opportunity and room to run from an industry standpoint. That's my perspective on the industry. On the opportunity at Vanguard. They've been great, great partners. They are great people. And we are fortunate to be selected by them. I'm sure they went to everybody in the industry. And I think there were few people who can do what we do with the scale that we do. So of course, you need to have scale to have a partnership with Vanguard. And what's important about scale is as long as we have visibility into it.
54:35And we do given the tight partnership of how they intend to bring this to their clients and how we will support them and do that with them. But as long as you do it deliberately and you have visibility and you can invest into it, then you can manage that growth. How do you think about the pricing environment? So you touched on earlier, one of the ways that some of these firms have made money is this multiple expansion. And now we're entering this period where it's always possible, but multiples feel pretty full? They've felt pretty full many times. So I think if anything, what the industry has done, I think a lot about the first generation of the industry, the industry pioneers, the names that we all know, extraordinary entrepreneurs versus the second generation of the private equity people that we work with every day today.
55:26And I think what has changed in the industry is not to take anything away from the pioneers because they built incredible businesses, incredible returns for investors around the world. But I see the level of expertise and sophistication in the people making the investments today. You have to be better today than you were 20 years ago because there's much more competition. Some of the parts of the markets have become more efficient. You need to have a very clear strategy and thesis. You need to have exceptional execution capabilities to actually make that happen. So yeah, the pricing is high. But what we see is managers who, when they're underwriting a company and going in at 12 times, they're not underwriting to exit at 15.
56:13Actually, they're underwriting to exit at 10. Because the market does go through cycles. And all that does is to get to your underwritten returns, it raises the game for those managers to execute on the plan that they have to get from A to B so that they can still generate the returns investors deem acceptable at an exit of 10 times. Are those acceptable returns from investors recalibrated to a pricing environment that's higher? So we've had this period of time where if you look backwards, returns have been extraordinary and you're now entering at higher prices. Do the investors expect those same level of historical returns or in your sense, are people recalibrated?
56:53It's interesting because people would look at, say, private markets, private equity, you know, three to 500 basis points above the publics. And if the public market returns are coming down over the long run, then we shouldn't private markets as well. And we have this debate all the time internally. It is shrouded in what I describe as this is a great risk reward opportunity because you, of course, have to evaluate the risk as well. But when I hear that, I actually believe that's a euphemism for this is a below the bar return. Like if you're selling me on this is a good risk reward, we are in the business for delivering outcomes, for delivering those returns to our clients so that they then can ensure that they secure the pensions of policemen and firemen and teachers.
57:40And that's why we exist. So I would like to think that client expectations do come down because it's calibrated to the equity markets. Unfortunately, I think they still held us to the higher bar. And if anything, it's the only place over the last decade that has contributed the excess return when they're trying to meet their 8 % or 7 .5 % or 7 % total asset return, they're not getting returns in a lot of places. And it's requiring us and our industry to up our game to make sure that we meet those objectives. What do you see as the biggest concerns that you have other than that mismatch expectations going forward?
58:24Honestly, ESG has been on our minds, has been part of our firm for many years. I serve in our ESG council and it is growing in visibility, which is great, but it's growing in visibility and importance at different rates around the world. And so that's hard, right? You'll have a European investor say, I want you to screen every deal and I want you to only do the best through the ESG criteria. And we have some US state pension funds that say, hey, I'm a fiduciary over people's pensions. I can't trade returns. Now, what's interesting is there's an implicit assumption there that there's a cost and that by aligning ESG with your programs somewhere, it must be more expensive or you must exclude certain opportunities.
59:11So of course, the returns must be lower. Our data suggests that's not the case. There's actually a positive correlation between managers with great ESG programs and the returns that they generate because they think about this. And it is good for the business. It is good for the underlying companies long run. So that's one. It's the uneven application. And let's say the non -standardization, because it'd be a lot easier if it was standardized. The other is, globally, we're ending a new era, if you will, around this long journey of globalization. So 20, 30 years, we've just been on this same trajectory.
59:46The world has become more global. and look COVID is a important reminder of some of the risks and consequences that come when the pendulum swings the other way and so we're dealing with what's happening in Japan right now and our team on the ground and our clients and are we going to be able to fly to the EU in order to meet clients again face to face and then not the least of which is you know what are the regulatory changes that are happening so operating a global business not just for HarborVest, but for everybody, it's become harder and it's required us to rely upon our scale and breadth more and more because it's not getting easier running a global business.
1:00:31Well, John, it's just a fantastic tour of all these activities. And before I let you go, I want to ask you a couple of closing questions. So what's your favorite hobby or activity outside of work and family? My favorite hobby. So I don't think a lot of my partners even know this, but I actually almost attended to get a PhD at the University of Hawaii for meteorology. And so I love the weather. I like a bunch of weather apps. I just, when there's like a storm, I'm in front of the television. I'm just, I'm all over it. I've got some weather instruments at home. I'm a complete weather geek, so much so that my kids actually have nicknamed me Tank Weathersfield.
1:01:14So whenever it's like, oh, hey, Tank, what's the weather outside? Because it looks like it's sunny from my window. And so I'd say anything related to meteorology is one of the things that interests me outside of work. What's your most important daily habit? So I have three dogs. And I would say the morning walk and the evening walk are the two most important things. A morning walk is a help me think about the day, what's important, who do I want to speak to, what do I want to achieve that day. Then you go through your long day. And then the end of the day, it's just another opportunity to decompress a bit and reflect upon the day and something to be said for the unconditional love of dogs.
1:01:53What's your biggest pet peeve? I guess I would frame it as maybe deflection of accountability. And what I mean by that is we set high goals, right? I mean, our clients demand that from us. And so we do that all the time. And sometimes you fall just short, you get close, you can get to exactly where you want it to be. And one of the things I think is real important for our business and our culture and why we've had the success we had is this honest assessment of like, what went well, what didn't go well, and how can we improve? You know, never make the same mistake twice. Something Pete Wilson, So my co -CEO says all the time, never make the same mistake twice.
1:02:33And so I think there are times where if I begin to hear though, well, we didn't because that to me, it's like, well, hold on. Right? Like it, was it in your hands? Like, what did you actually do? And so for me, I think, and I think our team knows that they kind of laugh. They're like, oh, okay. The deflection of accountability, like just own it, own it and make it happen. So along those lines, what has been the biggest mistake you made and what did you learn from it? I don't want to be too specific because I don't want to reveal exactly when it was. People are like, oh, I remember that. There was a moment in my career where we had a really important meeting for the firm.
1:03:09And again, I don't want to go too deep to reveal what it is. But I would tell you is every indication leading up to the meeting was that it was going to go our way. It was just like, oh, it's so obvious, the internal chatter, the dialogue, the feedback we got, even some explicit discussions. And it's amazing, Ted, because when 20 people tell you the same thing, what happens, you actually begin to believe it. And I remember going into the meeting expecting that we were just going to win. And we didn't. And we didn't. And it was humbling. and as a result i have committed as all of our partners that experience that never to be unprepared again never to be unprepared again and if i think about my one of my college football coaches he would always tell me so the game's not won on saturday it's won on monday and tuesday and when you ever it's not the will to win it's the will to prepare to win what are you doing on Thursday before the game.
1:04:14And so for me, that's a cultural element of the firm as well, which is be prepared, don't assume anything, and run hard through the tape. What's your favorite book? Well, you'll laugh at this. I actually don't read a lot of books. You say like, wow, I don't know if anybody's ever answered it that well. It's true, right? I mean, I love what I do. I love who I do it with. And I've been reading investment committee memos for 20 years. I just, I love them. I just have a voracious appetite of them. The one thing that is not, it's not quite a book, but I'm an Aspen Institute finance fellow. And in that, you read a bunch of philosophical books and excerpts and readings.
1:04:52And you just talk about how do you go from just kind of being successful with your business to really being more impactful in society. And so for me, the story that I reflect upon often is the story of Plato's cave, which I don't know if you know it, but it's an example of like, so Plato. trying to explain, as he often does in his readings to some other character, some context. And he created this allegory of the cave where individuals are in a cave and they're chained so that their heads can only see the back of the cave. And what they see in the back of the cave is shadows. They see shapes and they see shadows.
1:05:31And in many ways, that's all they know, right? That's the world that they see. And what they don't realize is one of them breaks free from the chain and they look behind them. And what's behind them isn't two -dimensional black and white shapes of the world that they know. It's a different world. And it's somebody actually creating the shadows. And it's three -dimensional. And it's colorful. And it's kind of the way life should be as opposed to the way life appears to be. And I think about that all the time, right? What are the chains that are holding us in? If you break a chain, how would you convince others there's a better world, better opportunity?
1:06:09Think about our ESG and DSI initiatives. How do we be a better citizen in the world than what we do and we do for our clients? What teaching from your parents has most stayed with you? Talk to the lunch lady. I mean, seriously, right? I remember it was like third grade and she's like, do you say hi to the lunch lady? I'm like, oh no, nobody does. And she's like, well, why not? And then the lesson was, look, it's how your day goes is in your hands. And you choose, right? Do you say hi to the lunch lady? Do you say hi to the bus driver? Do you say hi to the front door receptionist in the office?
1:06:42Do you say hi to the analyst sitting in front of your office? Because if you do, and it's not a big effort, it's a small choice to invest into. And the return on that investment is enormous. And I was intimidated by Mildred until I started talking to her in third grade. And she was a very nice woman. All right, John, one more for you. What life lesson have you learned that you wish you knew a lot earlier in life? I'd probably tell my younger self, life's not a straight line. I mean, everybody thinks their career is planned out. I'm going to do this first. I'm going to do this. And I'm going to go to business school.
1:07:14And I'm going to do this. And it doesn't always play out in a linear way. And oftentimes, there is a J curve to it. And you get to a point in the middle of your career where you say, wait a minute, I'm contributing a lot. but I'm not actually receiving a lot in return, right? I mean, that's a common. People get impatient and they take a view that, hey, there may be there's a better opportunity. I would be rewarded better somewhere else. And I think by and large, and we've had some people in that ilk that take the view that maybe the grass is greener on the other side. But I think by and large, those with whom I've had that conversation in our organization that have stuck with our organization, exceptionally talented people, I think to a person, it's all worked out for them.
1:08:01And so my encouragement to people is, hey, it's not linear. It's not a straight line. If you're a math person, it's not Y equals X. It doesn't go straight up to the right all the time. So that would be something I've learned along the way because it takes a little bit of the anxiousness and the concern or stress or eagerness out of the picture and focus on what's right in front of you. Great. John, thanks so much for taking the time. Hey, Ted, I appreciate it. Thanks again. It's good to see you. You too. Thanks. Bye -bye. Thanks for listening to this episode. I hope you found a nugget or two to take away and apply in your investing and your life.
1:08:37If you'd like what you heard, please tell a friend and maybe even write a review on iTunes. You'll help others discover the show and I thank you for it. Have a good one and see you next time.
1:08:52Thank you.
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