In short
Podcast Summary: Raoul Pal: The Journey Man - Avalanche: Gaming & the Next Crypto Revolution ft. John Wu
Podcast Details
- Title: Raoul Pal: The Journey Man
- Episode Title: Avalanche: Gaming & the Next Crypto Revolution ft. John Wu
- Air Date: September 17, 2024
- Guests: Raoul Pal (Host), John Wu (President of Ava Labs)
- Description: A conversation focusing on the evolving crypto market, technological upgrades, and the impact of blockchain on industries, particularly gaming.
Episode Highlights
Introduction
- Raoul Pal celebrates the 10th anniversary of Real Vision and discusses the platform's evolution in financial intelligence.
- He emphasizes the transition towards a multi-chain world in crypto, where various blockchain technologies coexist and drive decentralization.
Key Themes and Discussions
1. The Promise of Blockchain and Gaming
- Discussion on the potential for blockchain to revolutionize gaming.
- John Wu mentions the upcoming game "Off the Grid" as a significant development in blockchain gaming, emphasizing its quality and potential for mass adoption.
2. Current State of the Crypto Market
- John Wu provides insights into the current market dynamics, highlighting:
- The macroeconomic backdrop is favorable for crypto.
- The market is maturing with a clearer differentiation between quality assets.
- Traditional sectors (like Web2 and TradFi) are showing interest in blockchain applications.
3. Challenges in User Adoption
- Both Raoul and John discuss the slow onboarding of users into blockchain technology, noting:
- There is a need for better user interfaces (UI) and experiences (UX) to attract non-crypto natives.
- The importance of real-world applications and utility for mass adoption.
4. Avalanche's Role in the Evolving Ecosystem
- John Wu outlines Avalanche’s strategy to create customizable Layer 1 solutions, allowing developers to build applications tailored to their needs.
- The upcoming upgrade (AVOX 9000) aims to enhance scalability and interoperability between blockchains.
Key Takeaways
- Growth of Blockchain Gaming:
- Games like "Off the Grid" are expected to bridge the gap between traditional gaming and blockchain, potentially onboarding millions of new users.
- Regulatory Environment:
- The uncertainty in the U.S. regulatory landscape contrasts with clearer regulations in regions like Asia, sparking faster innovation and adoption there.
- Emergence of Real-World Applications:
- Increased interest in real-world asset tokenization and loyalty programs leveraging blockchain technology.
- Future of Avalanche:
- The AVOX 9000 upgrade is projected to facilitate further growth in the ecosystem, attracting developers and gamers alike.
Conclusion
- Raoul and John conclude with optimism about the future of blockchain technology and its applications. They express excitement about the potential for significant advancements in gaming and real-world applications as technology evolves.
Additional Links
- Real Vision Membership: [Sign up here](https://realvision.com/free)
- Raoul Pal on Social Media:
- [Twitter (X)](https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI)
- [Instagram](https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/)
- [LinkedIn](https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/)
- Other Work by Raoul Pal:
- [Real Vision](https://rvtv.io/3LHYIaH)
- [Global Macro Investor](https://globalmacroinvestor.com)
- [EXPAAM](https://expaam.com)
Disclaimer For more information about the risks associated with trading and the nature of this podcast content, please refer to the [disclaimer](https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf).
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00Hi, it's Raoul. Guess what? I can't believe we're turning 10 at Real Vision this September. I can't believe it's a whole decade of democratizing the very best financial intelligence and building this kind of super community of finance, including the super platform of finance. And to celebrate, we're throwing a virtual party on September 27th at 12 p.m. and you are on the guest list. It's free to join, so don't miss out. If you're not a member, you can sign up at realvision.com forward slash free. we've also got a trade ideas competition where you can flex your market smarts plus some exclusive limited birthday merch and much more planned for september it's gonna be a lot of fun so sign up realvision.com forward slash free and we'll see you at the party september 27th at 12 p.m that's realvision.com forward slash free
1:01Hi, I'm Raoul Pal and welcome to my show, The Journeyman. And The Journeyman is all about that exploration of the nexus of macro crypto and the exponential age of technology. I strongly believe in a multi-chain world. People get confused. They hear me talking about one token versus another. You know, I like Solana and I'm very strong on Sui because I'm on the board, stuff like that. And people mistake the fact that that's what I think the future of crypto is. I'm not. I'm a mercenary for price action as well. I'm trying to make money like all of us are. You know, we need to make money out of the space because this is one of the biggest opportunities we've ever been given as we go from a$2 trillion asset class to$100 trillion asset class.
1:45But I'm actually more broadly interested in the overall space in a multi-chain world where people are pushing boundaries and frontiers of using this technology as the new infrastructure layer of the internet. You see, the ownership of goods, whether it's real world assets or digital assets, requires blockchain technology. It's a prerequisite for where the internet is going. Also, the powers of decentralization, as society starts rebelling against concentration of power, we're looking towards decentralization. That's a classic thing that happens in societies over time. It's an ongoing process from one to the other.
2:30What is really interesting within blockchain is where we see new use cases coming. There's often a criticism of the space, which is it's bad UX, it's bad UI, there's no real use cases outside of stable coins and other stuff. But it takes time to get people to start building on this. And I'm not talking about small startups for crypto natives. I'm talking about the big web two companies. I'm talking about the finance and I'm talking about gaming and culture. These big things, they are coming to blockchain. And I think it's really important to explore this. Now, I'm not much of a gamer myself. I didn't really grow up with gaming culture.
3:12But my go-to person for that is Pierce Kicks, who many of you know, who helped us understand what the metaverse is going to be all about. I was with Pierce in Portugal recently chatting with him over a beer and he said listen there's a huge game coming called off the grid that may be the big breakout and I'm like okay and he said look this is the strongest conviction I've ever had and I said well what chains it on because you know you want to know who's doing this he said Avalanche I'm like okay well I'm going to get my friend John Wu to come and talk to us about it because you know John is somebody I really really respect and like in the space.
3:48He's always got something intelligent to say. He helps me broaden my perspectives. And they're doing great work over Avalanche. So that got me to talk to John Wu. And then I was on the platform recently. I'm going to share this with you because we've got these great trade ideas on the Real Vision platform. And one of our members put up a trade idea for avalanche so i thought okay that's interesting now he's up seven percent so far who's the member can't see the name of who it is right now but it was submitted for the trade idea competition we've got running on real vision where members all around the world are competing by putting up trade ideas now he's talking about avalanche's 2024 upgrade and how big that is so i think it's a great idea to take this trade idea, to take what Piers told me, and then to go and speak to John and find out, okay, what is going on here?
4:46So this is why I love Real Vision. There's so many points of connection and interest that we all make, whether it's from the trade ideas or whether it's the notes that members are giving where they're writing up their thesis on things, and you get to drop by and see this as part of your membership or connecting with members is another great way so you can connect via the comments section on that trade idea and chat to other members about avalanche and the opportunities that arise and just having people within our network like pierce kicks keep us up to date and that's why i wanted to get you guys up to date and what's happening with avalanche and what's happening in the broader crypto space by talking to John Woo.
5:29And John should help us really understand what's going on. So I hope you enjoy it. Join me, Raoul Pal, as I go on a journey of discovery through the macro, crypto, and exponential age landscapes. In The Journeyman, I talk to the smartest people in the world so we can all become smarter together.
5:54John Woo, how the devil are you? Raul, I'm great and I love being here with you. I'm glad we can make this work. I've been on a couple of times. It's been a while, so this is great that we're back on. Yeah, exactly. I'm always looking forward to this because, you know, your perspective, because like me, you've got financial market background, hedge fund background, but also deeply crypto native, technology native. So it's always a good conversation. So for those of you who don't know you and your background, Just give us the quick bio. So similar to you, I started my career in traditional hedge funds and VC.
6:29I was a tech investor. You were a macro investor. Similar to you, I also started my own fund ultimately, like you did. And then I got into this space and so did you. Now I got into this space, though, first as an investor in Bitcoin in the, call it 2014 era. uh basically i just did the math and realized the incremental supply of the minted new uh tokens on bitcoin was on a regular schedule and fixed and i was counting addresses on the demand side and made assumptions as to what could be in these addresses and the most weakest assumptions it was far outstripping the demand so incremental sorry outstripping the supply incremental demand was four or five x that of supply you have to own it um but i still wasn't a hundred percent all it it was really 2017 ish eth um the ico boom and you remember that ral and um i looked at that and i realized whoa there is this is a utility there's a real use case i'd see my shirt ipos i know how expensive they were for goldman sachs to take you around as a hedge fund guy there and i know what it costs the companies.
7:38And suddenly you're seeing this done in a global crowdfunding manner in a very quick way for companies to raise money. And the best part was individuals, regular people were getting it early as opposed to late. So that's when I really became all in as an operator. I wanted to create a security token market of private securities and alternatives to make it easier for every person to get access. Back then, that was Airbnb, Uber, and private funds. And then in 2000, so that was CEO of Digital Assets Group, a private security platform. Then in 2019 and early 2020, I did my undergrad at Cornell, a very well-known professor in the space and distributed systems at the computer science department at Cornell, asked me to come lead the business efforts for Alva Labs, the team behind Alva Lanch.
8:32And the rest is kind of history. So we were 10 people in a room in early 2020. Today, we're 250 plus all over the world, at least according to CoinMarketCap or Coinbase's rankings were one of the top ones, a layer one. And things have been just fantastic. And I think the space and Alva Labs, Alva Lanch have a lot of upside going forward. So we'll come on to Avalanche and Avalabs in a bit, but let's just talk about the market and the backdrop. How are you seeing things right now? What are you getting your sense on the ground with your technology perspective, your investor perspective? How are you seeing the state of the world?
9:15So I am now an operator, not a hedge fund person anymore. But that would be the question I would ask if I were still a hedge fund. In fact, I would be trying to find people like me all day long to ask them about the fundamental operating trend. So you still have your instincts with you, Raul. So I think if you take this from – you have to look at the one-year-plus trend. If you look at it from about a year ago to where we are today, today is the day just so people know that Fed may cut rates. I think the macro backdrop is actually fantastic. And no one's better at talking about that than you. So I'll leave it to you to talk about that.
9:51The liquidity situation, as you talked about, is also improving. I'll talk about the fundamentals of individual assets in the space. I think in general, what we're seeing is a little bit of dispersion now. Not everything is all treated as the same anymore with just different betas. Now, the market is actually a little discerning and trying to figure out giving the quality assets more respect. And that is based on fundamental trends. And I can tell you from where I sit, there's been a lot of potential partnerships crossover from traditional Web2, as well as TradFi, who want to use the blockchain to enable some application, to enable some sort of feature, or to have a better backbone for their B2B infrastructure.
10:38And that is all happening. on the native side, the P4P and in the crypto native side, you know, I think things have been, frankly, a little bit quieter. I think the adoption curve for natives has gotten to a point where we really need to see more people crossing over and taking the belief and diving in like you and I did way back when. And that's only going to happen when you see better applications and real use cases. So you think that we're at the point where it's difficult to onboard the kind of investor type who's curious and really the next phase has to be this applications layer that we've all been talking about, working on and thinking about.
11:24That's correct. I think this is now a few cycles. I've been involved now for three cycles. You've been involved for at least three cycles and it's grown. I mean, I know you regularly talk about there's 500 million users in the space. I'll differ a little bit. I think there are 500 million investors and speculators, actual developers and actual users of on-chain stuff is actually relatively small. So there's still a long way in terms of penetration for actual usage. And that's what I'm talking about. What I am seeing is developers, both in crypto native and in web two are experimenting and ready to launch things but there's a short term and a medium term issue i think in the short term um frankly they want some certainty in the regulation and after november for better or for worse i think people are going to start moving it's kind of like the gun just went off and you're at the starting line whether it's good weather or bad weather you're going to start running so but while you're still waiting no you don't need to figure out if you need to put on a pair of sweatpants or not you can at least hold off a little bit there's no like urgency to go do something since we're so close to november so i think that's one thing and another thing is frankly i think these new entrees into the space unlike in the past where they would buy it on coinbase and then somehow easily figure out way to get into ecosystems and try things out if you own an etf you're actually sitting it parking it somewhere and you're not really getting what this whole space is about which is utility and usage so there are probably more people involved but they're not involved the way an operator will love it to be involved frankly now you've seen this kind of development in the past and that's why your perspective is always useful because technology almost always scales the same way right we're seeing it with ai now as well that yes there's the the pioneers the people who experiment and try stuff but there's actually quite a long time before the applications layer got built so give us your perspective on that because i think it's really important because this is just a technology adoption curve people forget that it's just one that's investable by everybody which makes it different that's right and i think you've also highlighted these good points is you know forget about the asset class look about look at internet like if you just look at the stocks the magnificent seven you've kind of missed the big picture of what how it's changed people's lives period full stop it's so obvious now in hindsight um that's going to happen ai and that's kind of happening in blockchain as well you know what you've seen frankly is adoption and usage more on the b2b side than the b2b2c or b2c side so the average user hasn't gotten their ai chat gbt moment necessarily yet unless you want to deal with the clunky stuff on chain so what i'm seeing in terms of working with developers and partners i think there are again i already talked about one thing which is a little bit more clarity going forward in the environment in regulation but also a lot of blockchain engineers are very good at creating platforms but they're not great at creating ui ux so that's gonna need to happen and we are in the stage right now where developers if they're going to come into this space, they're going to need better tools.
14:44They're going to need scalable lockchains. That's kind of why I'm very excited about what Avalanche is doing in the Vox 9000. We can talk about that later. Part of it is creating the tools so developers can create new, better creative applications that will create the demand from the usage side. Have you ever wanted to trade Bitcoin but haven't dared try? With Plus500 Futures, you can trade crypto without the hassle of opening a wallet. With just a few clicks, you can register and start practicing with their free and unlimited demo. See a trading opportunity? You'll be able to trade it in just two clicks.
15:19Feel ready? You can move to real money with as little as$100 once your account is approved. And the great thing is that in addition to crypto, Plus500 gives you access to a wide range of instruments. S &P 500, NASDAQ, gas, and much more. Explore equity indices, energy, metals forex and beyond with a simple and intuitive platform you could trade anytime anywhere experience the fast accessible futures trading you've been waiting for with plus 500 with over 20 years of experience plus 500 is your gateway to the markets visit us.plus500.com to learn more trading and futures involves the risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone not all applicants will qualify plus 500 it's trading with a plus when you look at demand again not just from avalanche as i said we'll get into that more detail but just overall where are you seeing movement you know we hear a lot about gaming we hear a lot about real world assets but it's still kind of you know very behind closed doors you know tokenizing u.s treasuries i mean it's not the biggest deal in the world yet you know where are the web 2 company you know what what is the state of the union when it comes to the bigger players building on this i'm so glad you're asking that because you know we're open source platform so we see who's developing and some of them are private chains so that others can't see but we get to see and frankly there are a couple of verticals that are really growing and one is gaming on avalanche yeah you guys have done a good job with that so far you got that what was the huge game you've just got that's just oh there's a couple but um Godzilla grid grid yes off the grid okay so we'll take a side hand and talk about off the grid yeah I want to hear about this because triple a publisher type people my one of my favorite people in the entire space guy called Pierce Kicks at Delphi and I was with Pierce at his house in Portugal and he was like wild-eyed he goes this is the biggest thing I've ever seen so I said I need to get John on to talk about this so what to talk us through this it's legit it's gonna be on the playstation it's gonna be on the xbox and the in-game asset solution will be on a wallet and minted on avalanche so the users can have sovereignty of their assets ultimately be able to trade it and feel like they can do things a lot easier and have the back-end benefits but what's really exciting here is this This is not your classic crypto game, which is basically thinly veiled DeFi product.
17:53This is actually great gameplay, great graphics. This is what Godzilla people are known for. And they raised like$75 million plus in order to create this game. So it's not a cheap game and they have a history of a large following, great graphics, and they're going to be launching this in the very near future so that all their users can have an even better experience than they have traditionally. So I'm super excited about it. I can't wait till everyone is able to see this in about a month or so. And it's going to be minting those assets on the Avalanche blockchain. Yeah, I mean, Piers said, you know, he's a gamer, a true gamer.
18:31He grew up gaming. And he's like, this is a really good game. Forget the fact that it's on chain it's a really really good game and you know nobody yet has got gaming right now the lead times are long right it takes a long time from the idea to doing it but this feels like this one has a chance of actually showing people how this is going to work that's correct there are other good ones as well but i think gaming is where you can get a lot of users they're very similar in age and and and other characteristics as crypto native people so i can easily see someone doing gaming in gunzillas off the grid and then figure out how they get off of that into the greater ecosystem of avalanche avalanche is also ethereum evm compatible so they can move all over the interoperability to other chains as well in fact there's even a move vm on avalanche so they go to other places like suey or something that can all happen i think that's the ultimate dream for anyone in this space is to create that true interoperability so that people can move anywhere they want that's the real power of you know the blockchain the permissionless open blockchain yeah because in the end we can't have walled gardens everybody's going to have to work with each other to allow some sort of interoperability because if the internet didn't have interoperability you and i wouldn't be able to talk right now i'd have to have the same software system as you the same you know isp all sorts of things but you know this bit needs to get done and it's still not done very well yet this kind of interoperability layer correct i think what you need again is good tech at the blockchain level but you need in at least gaming you need great content or great triple a publishers at the application level and you combine those two frankly i think Godzilla some of these other games chose the avalanche network and networks because they wanted their own execution environment.
20:27When you roll up a L1 or what we used to call a subnet, it is your own self-sovereign blockchain. You choose GAS, you choose the token economics, you choose what you want to validate, how many validators, and most importantly, it is customizable so that, and it's your call is sandbox. So you're not subject to congestion based on some surge somewhere else. If you're a AAA publisher game, Last thing you want is your users having a bad experience because some NFT drop or something goes crazy or some meme coin goes crazy and you have congestion in the system. You have your own execution environment.
21:06I don't know how off the grid is going to go, but when somebody gets traction in one of these games, what kind of number of users do you think it onboards and active users? So people who are actually collecting collectibles in games, stuff like that. what are we thinking this is going to do to the space? Because gaming is so vast, right? So I have two examples. One is another game that's launching on Avalanche. It's a public company called Nexon. It's publicly traded in Japan. It's an Asian company. They have a game called Marble Story. There's about 200 million. It's been around for 10 years.
21:43It's a more casual game. So it's not like the graphics of off the grid, but it is a well-used and has a lot of longevity, almost 200 million registered users. They have like 500 ,000 to a million in terms of monthly active users, depending on what's happening. They are going to launch a blockchain-enabled version of it in parallel with their existing game. So that will be the first test case of how many people start migrating to do... They're doing it for two purposes, not just for user better self-sovereign data and feeling like you own your assets on the user perspective. But some of the highest margins for a lot of these games is UGC, user-generated content.
22:28So the composability of tools on an open permission network allows their users, their players, to actually become developers and create new modules or new assets. And that's actually free content. So some of the best gaming companies out there with the highest margins, it's because they have users who create content. and that will be an example of a large existing base of web 2 gaming that will be migrating and that'll be a specific example now i have some numbers of other things that are actually happening it's not as big as that but and they're slightly in a different space like in royalty royalty we can talk about now or later before we go on to loyalty royalty and um real world assets and stuff just want a side question i'm seeing a lot of interest from japanese corporates we've just seen sony announcing its own layer 2 you're obviously doing stuff with japanese corporates i'm seeing everywhere what what is happening in japan that suddenly kind of switched on the light bulb for the japanese corporate players i understand a lot of gaming comes out of japan as well but what is going on there are you seeing the same and rest of asia too korea as Korea as well.
23:42So I think what's going on is we always have the perspective of a US person and the regulatory environment here has gotten harder, whereas the clarity has happened elsewhere in the world. So I think what you're seeing is Japanese corporates, Korean corporates and other places in the world don't have as much uncertainty of what they think a stable coin will be or not be going forward and what's considered a security or not a security going forward. And they're willing to now take the steps in terms of developing technology for that when that clarity becomes imminent. In the US, frankly, I think it's still more uncertain and the rules are still more vague.
24:27So it's coming. It's almost like looking at it reverse. It's like they're doing it on schedule. Unfortunately, we in the US are off schedule a little bit. So, okay, let's move on to loyalty, royalty. There's another thing that I've been very interested in, you know, whether it's the creative economy, the fan economy, there's so many areas of this. What are you seeing happening there? So I love the space because, again, it's real world use cases. So we're working with SK. SK is a large conglomerate in Korea. Keep on the Asian theme here. They have a pooled royalty system. there's 24 million south koreans in this system 40 of the country and over a hundred thousand merchants that share points so it's pooled in the sense that um if you buy effectively 10 cups of starbucks you can get one room at a marion so everything is working so it's kind of an interoperable loyalty interoperable already but when you have that many participants and you need value to be transferred in a call it a token version especially that's a point or a reward point there's no better back-end solution than a blockchain and what they found already is again they have 24 million so far i think it's like you know a few hundred thousand that have migrated to the blockchain enable solution but because of the gamification of it because of the feeling of ownership of the actual coins and because of the trading potential capability of the coins the engagement and the frequency of use of the call it couple hundred thousand that are using the blockchain enabled solution is 30 to 40 percent better than the average um loyalty rewards program in the web 2 version so early early signs are very positive for a blockchain enabled solution in the u.s there's actually one that we just announced with a company called tyb try your best now what try your best is is a u.s version the founders have great relationships with certain brands like Glossier, Rare Beauty, Urban Outfitters.
26:31So they have those relationships on one end. On the other end, they're plugged into Shopify. So they've abstracted away the blockchain component of it to the end user. But basically what they're doing is they're using promotions that would exist anyway at the merchant level and then tokenizing them. But the user doesn't know it. User thinks it's just a promotion code for a challenge. So if you buy a lipstick from glossier or something you are given a challenge and if you tweet or do something with it and and become effectively an influencer for them or you do something else that they set up as a challenge showing up at event or something you get these promotional points and then at checkout you actually can um it can redeem it but so the you and they have also in the last month and i think last day i have i saw was july they've also increased both the dollar amount used by the blockchain person as opposed to the web 2 version and they've also increased the frequency by a lot as well i think their numbers are more like 10 to 15 percent increase in in dollar amount and like 30 more frequency do you think just out of interest do you think the asian market is quicker to adopt technology i mean it's very stark when you go to asia how far advanced their cities and technological infrastructure is versus the US.
27:52I mean, the US thinks it's a technological, technology-based culture, but it is at building companies, but it's not at using it. That's exactly right. I think US, we have great developers and coming up with great vision and building things. But in terms of the individual user adopting a digital solution, that has historically been far higher in all the um north the asian countries whether it's japan or korea um china and i think there's a couple reasons though especially japan is obvious it's the density of things so people are used to doing things online and in a small place um but i also think that they have a very mobile first type culture and that also helps out a lot but yes they are far more from a user perspective willing to adopt these things and um i can tell you that they are willing to try new things that perhaps the average US person wouldn't.
28:49And it also leads me to think that the UX, UI breakthroughs might actually come out of Asia, you know, as a lot of these apps have in other spheres, because they're so consumer focused with their technology, while the US is kind of builds businesses. And as you talked about, the terrible UX UI that is the blockchain space right now, it feels that Asia is going to solve it first. Looking at products from our partners in Asia versus that of the US, that is factual. The UI UX and some of these things with SK, potential ones with Nexon and other companies are working with in Asia, the user and the UI UX is very smooth.
29:31And also, it's also fitted for local taste, if you will. And I saw this as an investor, like, you know, especially if you go to places like Asia and China, meaning Asia, you saw that their search engines were cluttered like Yahoo in the old days. Whereas here, our tastes are Google, plain, simple and nothing on it and simplify the whole thing. But yet they like that scrolling digital things moving like you're at a 1990 stock trading, you know, place where digital lights or it's like, you know, living in Times square or something so they know their users and they are better at the call it um user interface level how long before we get one of the larger hotel chains or or airlines because obviously that is the holy grail of the point system or american express you know there's a few of these big ones out there that feel like it's so obvious that they go on chain but it takes time it will not be in the U.S.
30:29first it will be elsewhere and there's a couple of reasons first I think in the U.S. most of these loyalty systems are siloed so the monetary system is controlled by Delta and United Airlines alone they do have point-to-point partnerships you know JVs or whatever once in a while but it's not like in Korea where it's a shared pool by everyone and unfortunately what the koreans have learned for the u.s unfortunately for the u.s is that it's like business clustering like this is why we had malls in the u.s there's a north strength brings in the foot traffic still appreciates the taco bell that's at the end of the mall because people do need to eat and it does increase overall foot traffic for everyone and they appreciate even though they sell footwear that a foot locker is in there as well business clustering actually works for everyone.
31:22I think in Asia, they're far more comfortable with sharing these loyalty points with everyone else. In the U.S., they're focused more on the monetary system and effectively devaluing. And in fact, I think there was recent news about Delta getting some heat from the agencies in the U.S. for basically defending the value of their promotional points for Delta flyers. I mean, I know I've had this problem with not necessarily Delta, but with other airlines hotels and places where all of a sudden you think you've earned it but you didn't earn it and you show up and it's like no you still owe x amount of dollars yeah i mean debasement is real and if you have your own private money supply which is what they really are you're always incentivized to base away your reward system that's right so i to answer your question i think it's going to be overseas and i can't name names because we're working with some of these but there will be hotels and foreign adopters of this for loyalty far faster than US airlines or hotels.
32:27So let's talk about real world assets, which is something you focused on as well. What are you seeing there? Okay, so in the US, we're seeing a little pause. And I would too. And we're seeing a lot of experimentation, proof of concepts, but they are kind of in wait and see mode. what we are seeing a lot of is obviously stablecoin. I was just at the launching of the New York office with Jeremy Allaire and the growth of stablecoins there. But even every one of that launch party is still waiting for a specific clarity as to what determines a stablecoin. We're seeing a lot of tokenization in the money market funds, BlackRock, Franklin Templeton, to name a few.
33:10That's all happening. But in terms of tokenizing funds, like we, Avalabs, helped KKR a while back. It's really the crypto native funds. Recently, Parify decided they wanted to eat their own cooking, so to speak, and they just launched a new fund and they tokenized a sliver of it through our progress to securitize to have the right licenses on the Avalanche blockchain so that individual LPs can go and buy and ultimately trade those LP units and have more price discovery and liquidity. So the bigger funds are in pause, but the crypto native guys who are now starting to eat their own cooking, if you will, to show the rest of the world.
33:51How bean up are you all feeling in the US? You know, because it is, I mean, every conversation I have is like everyone's hanging their head. It's like when regulation, you know, everybody's been sued. You know, it's just been it's been a terrible environment. I mean, everyone's moving forwards, but it's been bloody hard. I mean, what we've done is really moved our energy to different areas. You talked about Asia. So, you know, my team has spent a lot of time in Asia this past three or four months talking to different companies. We've gone to the Middle East, Latin America. So Avalanche's Big Summit now is going to be in Argentina in October, in a month from now, because 30 % of the Argentinians actually use cryptocurrency as a way to daily transact.
34:39So I think looking at everything from a US perspective, yes, it could be kind of frustrating. But what we've done is channel energies, the rest of the world that are adopting much faster. You started the beginning of conversation talking about the ICO boom in 2017. And ICOs were such an obvious way of coalescing capital really fast, very suitable for a space like this that innovates, dives, thrives very fast. The time cycles are super fast. Do you ever think we get back to that? Because it feels like everything in this space, you see the experimentation, it grows, it flames out, and then from the ashes rises the phoenix and the next iteration of this.
35:23It feels like that ICO stuff is still under, business is not finished. Business is not finished in terms of that. You're absolutely right. I think the technology has improved a lot. user interface is not perfect yet, but it's also better. But we also learned from that, that in the US, at least, they were considered unregistered private security. So you have to have an ATS to be able to match trades. You need to have the right broker dealer licenses, et cetera, et cetera. So I think the dream of that is still there and it will happen, but it's going to take more time. I think really what's happening is the technology's improved so that don't forget right after the ICO boom on Ethereum, you have crypto kitties that inflated fees because the technology wasn't there.
36:13Now it's probably there in at least more than one of these chains. Okay. But the regulation is not there yet so that people will adopt it from the issuer perspective. And then at some point you actually need individuals to have some sort of discovery and research and understanding and get comfortable with the private security asset class. So I can't wait till we get to the point where it's just about education and research and discovery as opposed to waiting for clarity in rules. Is regulation still not ready for it anyway? Well, it is happening elsewhere in different forms. I mean, for example, before the ETPs in the U.S.
36:55got launched, there were ETPs in Europe. So other places in the world, there are definitely versions of this. But let's be honest, also the largest capital pool in the world is still in the U.S. And the US, if you use current rules, has the largest accredited and qualified individuals. So that's where the asset value is. And they are the first ones to actually buy this before we get into a retail, true retail situation. Switching topics, one of the things that, you know, everybody overcomplicates the space or overfinancializes the space often. And I step back and think, basically, blockchains are in this business of selling block space.
37:34you know that's all we really do in the space and you know yes unlike other systems like this whether it's cloud or whether it's the internet you can actually participate in owning it so it's very different but how do you think that this how do we start to differentiate block space in the end when everybody's kind of fast and cheap and everything else how does that work great Great question. Because I think there are... How much room can there be for 50 block space providers? Yes, there's going to be some niche, some broad. But yeah, how do you think of block space per se? So I'll answer that in two ways.
Read the full transcript
38:12One, a block space is not equivalent to block space. What I mean by that is that's like saying a query back in the 90s at Excite or at Lycos or at Yahoo is the same as a query on Google. There are different levels of search, just like there are different types of block space. Block space, there's a lot right now. Think of it as a pure commodity and you're only competing on price. You know, what Avalanche has always believed in is that different chains for different reasons, different purposes. So this whole upgrade, largest upgrade of the Avalanche blockchain since mainnet launch is about creating customizable, fast, interoperable, what we call L1s, which is your own Selva blockchain, tethered to Avalanche mainchain.
39:02so you can have your application on your own infrastructure and choose a purposeful blockchain based on what you need whether it's high transaction throughput low gas fees higher gas fees some people want to actually higher gas fees or you don't want to deal with it you want to go to market faster you use in a vox as your token instead of having launching your own token as some want to do or this is why we have a lot of um tradfi crossovers because you can also use a proof of authority private chain that has optionality into the public world, public permissionless world. So the way I think about it is we want to create a network of networks and create the most usable block space with the most customizable block space.
39:51So certain chains are going to be good for certain things, but if you want a customizable chain, I think there's no better way for you to develop than on a Avalanche system. The other interesting thing I've seen is what Coinbase did with Base, which was no token blockchain. And, you know, because everybody thinks a blockchain needs a token and they're kind of proving it doesn't, just the technology at its own. How do you think through that and what they're doing with Base and all of that? We've helped TradFi and other companies create no token private chains, not an open permissions one like basis um i think it's fascinating what coinbase is doing with base now i think base could be like aws for coinbase they don't really know how to monetize it just yet they are getting the benefit because there's some art between settling aws but that's a really interesting i hadn't thought about that they don't like just in the beginning of aws they did not know how they were going to monetize that in the very beginning they were just building a tool for themselves.
40:53I think there's no doubt in my mind that base is a place where a lot of competition will have for general Ethereum. They're already seeing it, the number of transactions, the number of users. Don't forget, they got like 80 to 100 million wallets in the centralized exchange that they could feed into this. But because of the regulation and the clarity of it, that's why they don't have a token. They were just waiting to figure out how this turns into their AWS. They're not sure. Yeah. I mean, does therefore the value accrue to the share price as opposed to the token? Because there's always been this dichotomy between shares and tokens.
41:32You've probably got equity in Ava Labs and then you've got the token in Avalanche and this kind of dichotomy still not been worked out. I wonder if it's going to accrue to the equity or not. That's right. I think they have to really seriously think about this and how they're going to place it because the token is for use purposes and for utility. And I think you've talked about it. I've heard you say this at least, you know, token could be a great way to create value for the brand or culture of a well-known brand or for other things, not necessarily an ownership in the underlying economics of a business.
42:09So I think they need to figure this out. and if they are able to do a token they're going to keep it purely as a utility token with great token economics or somehow does that value also accrue to the equity holder and in the crypto permissionless world it's a very tricky construct because it is about community it is about composability of the tech is about having your own data so in other words like all the stakeholders in a crypto ecosystem are they're the the stake if you own a crypto token in some sense you're using it for gas or token for literally a physical token like going through the old gates you know from a bridge or something in the u.s driving a car you're also in theory some sort of you know shareholder but there could be governance and you get to help dictate the rules there is also you know um the the fact that if you have this you can also suggest ideas on how to do things so there's also management and you're part of being heard in that community as well so it's like rolling all of these five different things into one stakeholder which is a very hard construct to understand it's almost like a co-op in a way um and i don't think the world's really figure out how to optimize that yet but i think we will get there and that's what Coinbase will have to do with base if they do have a token?
43:35Do they keep this purely utility, purely governance as separate from the equity or do they roll everything up into one thing? And do they figure out like AWS, a way of monetizing the accrues to the equity holders and we kind of start moving the focus of blockchains away from just tokens and people start embedding them in businesses which might actually help adoption at scale because you know Facebook and Google, none of these guys want tokens because they have so much equity. It's different if you're a startup, you can kind of choose your journey. But, you know, for others to do it, I think what Coinbase is doing is a really big deal.
44:19I think it's a huge deal. I think it's worth watching. It's going to have ramifications on the entire space. And by the way, you're talking about large companies. You just mentioned Facebook and Coinbase. they don't have the go cold start go to market problem. One of the benefits of this token is coordination and incentive program. It's your guerrilla marketing and the cold start. And it's an easy way for an entrepreneur, not easy. It's another way for the entrepreneur to go to market faster. Not only from a code perspective, you're sharing and borrowing code from other people. So you don't have to deal with stuff that others will have to go raise VC money to create a product.
44:54You're already borrowing the code. So it's got to like speed to market and go to market things for the smaller enterprise, but for Coinbase or for Facebook, if they don't have that edge of a need or need for a go to market, maybe they do want to keep it separate. But that's something that has not been figured out by anyone, but it will have ratifications worth keeping an eye on. I do think though that what they're doing is very much incredible and um you know i uh it's funny because when i saw base being that become announced the you know a little probably over a year ago now it's all us business people that were saying wow this is could be interesting but like all the hardcore tech people like oh that's just a you know l2 and this and that i'm like yeah but they got 80 million people they can throw into this in the backing of that giant balance sheet and also the whole ecosystem already there.
45:51So I think it's very interesting. We'll see what happens. It's worth looking at, especially from Ethereum's respect. Now, that's the other question that actually was next on my mind is, how are you thinking through the ETH versus the layer twos? I've got some thoughts that I'm trying to form. I'm starting to think that we're at a scaling point where right now, because the economics of layer twos doesn't really accrue much because it's kind of batched to the layer one. And they've made the layer one so cheap and the layer two so cheap that we're in this kind of no man's part of the J curve. but really maybe if um ethereum truly scales i blockchains global blockchain use scales massively what they've built is something that is much more scalable and flexible and they've taken short-term pain i price underperformance and lesser cruel to the chain but i could be wrong it could be just it's parasitic and it's terrible and it's the end of i mean there's two different schools of thought what what do you think well i mean i think um you can see it in vitalik's responses recently he's definitely turned far more negative on the whole l2 construct um and you know although this what they call blob has is only an 18-day data storage but it's also like it's like creeping in on allowing l2s to settle and being the entire blockchain itself so i think it's hard for the community and there's a lot of infighting in that community right now but let's not forget they still are the biggest playground, the largest bar if you will where most people are hanging out so it's still their game to lose but I do think that what we're seeing now is that dispersion different chains for different reasons and there's not going to be a thousand but there may be four or five and Ethereum will probably be one of them just because they have such a lead in terms of the ecosystem.
47:56So So what are you getting excited about at Avalanche right now, looking forwards, right? We're getting closer to the banana zone activity. You'll get business development opportunities, things coming to market, you know, developments of the product. Talk me through what's getting you excited. First of all, when I heard you say this somewhere or read somewhere, bananas, I'm like, what the hell is Raul talking about? What is a banana zone? Everything goes bananas. The U.S. is turning into a banana republic. Maybe that's what he's really trying to say. it was not until i went through one of your ex you know tweets basically where and you had the charts and i said ah that's what he means by the head of film that makes sense now so very creative you're always forward looking very descriptive and uh have a framework for everything so i really appreciate that i'd always agree with everything you say but generally i do and it's very thoughtful and thought provoked anyway back to um so i guess yeah i got lost in there with the excitement of bananas what was the question what's getting you excited as we start getting into the i'm excited and the way you describe things but you know what what's exciting me actually is this massive upgrade we have in avalanche um that's coming up because i see 75 different games that's going to launch in the next year or so uh that's over 20 different call it l1s on you know the different variable uh different various you know avalanche l1s i am looking forward to them and seeing how the composability the connectivity of all of that why did you change the name from subnet to l1 because listen if you're you have to be a little aware of the customer or the user if you will even though avalanche is an open permission thing but like who wants to be called subordinate to something else and in fact it's a misnomer because it's your own l1 so it's not subordinate um it is tethered to a box because you have to um you know basically uh pay fees in a box but it's not different like it's separate or anything so it's a network of networks so that's part of the reason why it was rebranded so people feel like and we had that feedback from the community too there were developers are like hey you know whether it's an app developer or someone who wanted to like um fork something and and you know create their own l1s they didn't want to be known as a subordinate thing or subnet so that's the reason why we changed it to so people would say okay great now i don't feel so bad about it and and let's see if the the merits of the product itself will be worthy of doing it instead of getting over a name or a hub that that's why the name was changed so i'm very excited about that because i see a lot of color l1s in the pipeline and gaming and brands a lot in overseas i'm very excited about the overseas activity um and i can't wait to also have clarity in in after november one way or the other people are going to start running because even if it's raining they're gonna they're tired of standing at the start line and what is the technological kind of upgrade that happens and how is it going to affect users or builders onto the spec you know talk us through what it is you're doing when does it happen yeah it's um it's going to happen uh in october with a launch of a test net with basically think of it's like your ios upgrade everything is going to be better it's more scalable it's more and you're going to be able to customize it you're going to have interoperability with other l1s right now that is not necessarily great in terms of interoperability with other l1s um and then with that interoperability not only will your dedicated token if you choose your own token you can launch your own token or you can use an avox token they will be you have interoperability of assets but you also be you know be tethered back to the c chain which is the like the main chain of avalanche which is the liquidity hub and you can ask the composability of the code and borrow things from defi and stuff like that so i think you talk about network effects and metcalfe's law very well.
51:57The way we think of it is more like Reed's law, where communities are now scaling off of each other in a network fashion as opposed to individuals. So I think it's going to be explosive. It's going to be its own banana-like shape curve when things happen. In fact, Massari has done a decent report in September because it's really hard to measure the transaction count. First of all, units in this space are different for every... A lot of this is self-reported. I saw this on the internet as well. Not every internet company counted a monthly user the same as some other, you know, depending on hours or days or number of times you go on or whether you actually transact versus just check.
52:36In this space, you have the same issues with standardization of the metrics and units. That's why you probably look at trends of the metrics as opposed to just the absolute number you should look at. Yeah, because you just have to assume the trend is correct because everybody miscounts, changes everything, whatever. It's like the 500 million number. It's not the right number, but it doesn't matter. I'm just looking for the growth, yeah. Correct. The trends are there as long as that's consistent. So I can't wait to – so what I'm saying is like, you know, Masari and I encourage your users to go look up that report on September 12th.
53:15They've actually captured a lot of the growth on some of the early subnet or what we call subnets now L1s and capture better understanding of the real trends of the overall network of networks as opposed to just the main network. So I encourage them to check that report out. How long did it take to do all of this? I mean, this is a big upgrade. Well, I mean, this upgrade has been in the works for about a year. You know, this has something that we've been talking about it, community-led, the community wanted certain things. So we went back and forth with the community. and ultimately came up with the specs and the prioritization of things.
53:56And again, this is open and permissionless, so you have to take the community into stride. So it would have been faster probably if it was centralized, but because you had a back and forth feedback, which is what we're all supposed to do in this space, it took a little bit longer. But the technology itself is also going to be, it's not a small feat. you know, a lot of brilliant minds have been at work to do this. And I think what you're showing here is also another important thing, is that the tech is not static. People kind of think because of Bitcoin, that what is launched stays as is, but it's not.
54:37We're starting to see relentless upgrade cycles as new competitors come with new ideas, the benchmarks keep moving, the space improves. and you have to keep reinvesting, which is an expensive process as well, but it's going to be what separates the winners from the losers. Yeah. And it's also, you know, one thing we didn't talk about is trading off short-term and long-term. You know, a lot of the metrics actually capture what's happening in the short-term and those are primarily on-chain stuff. But how do you value or quantify a private proof of authority chain where the state of California tokenizes 40 million cars on chain.
55:22It's a private, so you can't really see it. It doesn't necessarily go into the numbers, but it's there somewhere. How do you do it when we work with Deloitte? Does that accrue value to AVAX? I can't talk about specifics in some of these deals, but in general, it will, yes. Then it gets measured in the growth of the underlying protocol. It will get measured in the underlying growth of the protocol. Correct. It depends on the specific deals and differences, but it depends on also the industry. Some industries obviously don't want a token. They want a SaaS model. And Avalanche is actually the software services team for Avalanche.
56:06Avalanche has its own governance. And we go back and forth. there's a service level agreement when avalanche foundation wants to do something we support it and avalabs gets paid for that support and development of the platform or something like that so it is um you know avalabs gives us the ability to interface with traditional companies in in a language in a in a scheme so to speak meaning like a payment method that they're used two and capable of dealing with and are you building other stuff on top as well as part of that in other labs so we never want to compete with the application developers or in our case people who launch their l1s or an application on the main chain um but what other labs has done before is if you see necessary things like um infrastructure related middleware related to make the developer experience better or to give the users a better interoperability with other chains or something then avalabs will build that for its community for the avalanche community and for the avalanche developers and what is the has the upgrade got a name or is it just just an upgrade name is avox 9000 avox 9000 and so that goes testnet in october Yep.
57:33When do you think it might go live? Obviously, nobody ever knows, but what do you guess? I couldn't tell you, but my... Is it six months? Is it three months? No, it's probably earlier than that. It'll be like most stuff in this space. Parts of it will go live. And then, you know, the hundreds of thousands of TPS, Hyper SDK, part of AVOX 5000 will be a bit later, but the interoperability will come first. The other functionality, like meaning, you know, allowing these L1s to spin up their own gas and execution environments, those will go first. So, you know, most of it will be done, I would say, by first or second quarter of 2025.
58:18Listen, John, it's a fascinating conversation as ever, but also just really interesting to see what you guys are doing at Overlabs and, you know, the Avalanche ecosystem overall. Paul, I love seeing the wins you're getting in areas like gaming and stuff like that, and also the upgrade and the continual improvement of the ecosystem to make it better in the defining of the product. I think it's just really cool. Thank you. And it is great. And I think the entire space is actually doing better than some of the metrics suggests. I agree. You know, from what I see from developer activity, business development activity, Everything else is probably ahead of where retail activity and investment activity is right now.
59:04And, you know, part of that is banana's own catch up, I guess. You know, once people have liquidity to invest and regulatory clarity, all the stuff that you and I have just talked about, you know, it feels quite explosive because it does feel like we're actually going through a step change. You go through most of the big protocols, they're all doing some really big upgrades. And we start to see the signs of really big business development stuff, not small stuff anymore. And you've seen it, the adoption of this stuff, whether we go back to the 2017 ICO or CryptoKitties, the fundamental adoption is actually explosive.
59:39It goes to nothing to a lot very quickly. Exactly. Well, always looking forward to it. John, brilliant as ever to speak to you. And I'm sure we'll check in in due course. And good luck with the launch. Thank you, Ronald. It's always a pleasure. So I said, but fabulous conversation with John. He's been on Real Vision a few times. He's one of my go-to people. I always seek him out when I see him at an event to have a chat with him because he's super nice, super thoughtful. And he's one of these people who believes in an abundancy mindset. It's like, you know, we should all be working together. Their cross-chain interoperability is interesting.
1:00:13What they're doing with their technology is brave and interesting. in kind of rebuilding and relaunching what they can offer and how they're repositioning Avalanche. But really, it's some of these big use cases that they've got going on right now, whether it's the loyalty side or whether it's the gaming side or whether it's the real world asset side, that has me super interested. So I think it's a journey for all of us to follow, whether you're an Avalanche investor or just a crypto investor overall, and you want to see how it goes. So anyway, don't forget, if you are interested in stuff like the trade ideas and notes you just need to be a real vision member so just sign up it's free to join and there you'll get much more than you get here on youtube if you're watching on youtube and if you're a real vision member it's really within the real vision plus tier where you get to interact with the trade ideas in more depth and you get to communicate with many members about their ideas now we all want investment ideas it's what helps us get an edge and when you've got tens of thousands of people helping you get an edge.
1:01:17It's a very powerful thing. So we'll see you over at realvision.com. Take care. See you next time.
1:01:45you'll be able to trade it in just two clicks. Feel ready? You can move to real money with as little as$100 once your account is approved. And the great thing is that in addition to crypto, Plus500 gives you access to a wide range of instruments. S &P 500, NASDAQ, gas, and much more. Explore equity indices, energy, metals, Forex, and beyond. With a simple and intuitive platform, you could trade anytime, anywhere. Experience the fast, accessible futures trading you've been waiting for with Plus500. With over 20 years of experience, Plus 500 is your gateway to the markets. Visit us.plus500.com to learn more.
1:02:20Trading in futures involves the risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Not all applicants will qualify. Plus 500. It's trading with a plus.
From the publisher
🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw. Raoul Pal welcomes John Wu, president of Ava Labs, for a wide-ranging conversation on the evolving crypto market, upcoming technological upgrades, and how blockchain is poised to reshape industries through better scalability and real-world applications. They also dig into whether gaming is (finally) ready for a breakthrough on the blockchain. Recorded on September 17, 2024.
Is blockchain gaming ready for its moment?
Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries.
Connect with me:
Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/
Newsletter: https://raoulpal.substack.com
My other work:
Real Vision: https://rvtv.io/3LHYIaH
Global Macro Investor: https://globalmacroinvestor.com
EXPAAM: https://expaam.com
Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices


