Why The Next Phase of Crypto Is Bigger Than You Think w/ Blue Macellari

13 Aug 2026 · 1 h 4 min · 24 chapters

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In short

Institutional crypto adoption and the “next phase” of crypto—why on-chain finance, stablecoins, and tokenization are poised to expand, despite recent liquidity/price stagnation. The episode argues that crypto’s fundamentals are improving (stablecoins, RWA, agentic payments), but adoption is slowed by regulation, liquidity cycles, and especially UX/interoperability fragmentation.

Guest

Blue Macellari. Background: trained economist; worked in emerging markets fixed income/FX/distressed debt (Lehman Brothers in London during 2008; Elliott for liquid EM/distressed sovereigns). In Brazil (2017) did distressed private equity; used Bitcoin for cross-border transfers, then launched a market-neutral crypto fund in 2018. Joined T. Rowe Price to build its digital assets business; by 2023 trades 20+ tokens internally.

Key claims

Market-neutral crypto is “true” market neutral due to fungibility. Post-FTX risk systems and counterparty/“look-through” exposures are often misunderstood. Crypto liquidity hasn’t recovered because of scarring from Oct 10 and a shift of marginal capital to AI. Stablecoin growth risks UX fragmentation; winners will abstract bridging/complexity.

Notable examples

T. Rowe Price building through FTX; internal architecture preventing counterparty exposure; “Bitcoin for drug dealers?” question; Robinhood accelerating both TradFi and crypto; cross-exchange arbitrage/basis trades in early crypto; DTCC/on-chain settlement as a long, standards-driven transition.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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Change in the Crypto Space

0:00 to 0:55

Learn about the recent transformations and institutional interest in crypto.

“We had a period of extraordinary change in our space, extraordinary transformation.”

Welcoming Blue Macellari

2:02 to 2:24

Raoul welcomes Blue Macellari and discusses her background in finance.

“In The Journeyman, I talk to the smartest people in the world so we can all become smarter together.”

Blue's Journey into Crypto

2:24 to 4:26

Blue shares her journey from traditional finance to the crypto space.

“So give me, as ever, I love everybody's journey into this crazy space.”

Market Neutral Strategies in Crypto

4:26 to 5:52

Understanding market neutral strategies and their effectiveness in crypto.

“It's a very similar skill set to some of that stuff.”

Building Digital Assets at T. Rowe Price

5:52 to 6:46

Blue discusses her role in building a digital assets business at T. Rowe.

Navigating Regulatory Challenges

6:46 to 8:06

Exploring the regulatory environment and its impact on crypto investing.

“you could really take different views on chains and tokens, which up until then have been a little bit like throwing that set aboard to some extent, you know?”

Crisis Management and Institutional Resilience

8:06 to 11:30

Insights about managing risk and resilience in a volatile market.

“And when you first joined Turo, what was the attitude there?”

Liquidity Challenges in Crypto

11:30 to 14:00

Analyzing the recent struggles of crypto in attracting liquidity.

“it's an incredibly unusual thing to be in a place where they are willing to support the platform.”

Post-FTX Learnings and Market Sentiment

14:00 to 15:00

Explore the lessons learned by the crypto community after the FTX collapse and its impact on market sentiment.

“So, you know, I think that people learned an incredible amount from what happened post FTX.”

The Macro Environment's Impact on Crypto

15:00 to 17:20

Discuss the macroeconomic factors affecting crypto and the community's understanding of these changes.

“One thing that still kind of gets under my skin and bothers me is that I don't feel like we really understand as a community.”
Show all 24 chapters

AI's Influence on Capital Allocation

17:20 to 19:20

Analyze how the rise of AI has diverted investment attention away from crypto markets.

“that AI sucked a lot of air out of the room.”

Stablecoins and Market Dynamics

19:20 to 21:08

Examine the growing role of stablecoins in the crypto space and their potential impact on liquidity.

“the TAM of crypto has gone from 8 billion people to infinite agents.”

User Experience Challenges in Crypto

21:08 to 25:10

Identify the major user experience issues in crypto that hinder broader adoption of stablecoins.

“I think on the crypto, call it the crypto side, and this is one of the things that I always find super interesting.”

The Future of Identity in Crypto

25:10 to 27:20

Discuss the critical need for digital identity solutions in crypto and the challenges facing this sector.

“the winner is going to be the person who is able to abstract away the backend and bridging and all of the things that crypto people are willing to do that the average consumer is not.”

Call for Collaboration on Digital Identity

27:20 to 28:00

Highlight the importance of collaboration among tech giants to develop secure digital identity systems.

“Blockchain is fantastic for anything that is complex, difficult, or needs to be securely moved, transferred, and represented across internal and external parties, right?”

Concerns About AI and Digital Identity

28:00 to 36:20

Discussion on the rising concerns about AI and the urgent need for digital identity standards.

“And I got together some of the kind of senior folks at Amazon, Meta, LinkedIn, Microsoft, which is LinkedIn as well.”

Optimism vs. Pessimism in the Face of AI

37:38 to 42:00

A discussion contrasting optimistic and pessimistic views on the impact of AI on humanity.

“I just, I'm much more optimistic about the whole thing.”

Transitioning Traditional Markets to On-Chain

42:00 to 42:45

Learn about the challenges and processes involved in moving traditional finance to blockchain.

“So you can't tinker with it while it's in action.”

The Role of Robinhood in Financial Innovation

42:45 to 44:32

Understand how Robinhood is accelerating change in both traditional and crypto finance.

“And so it's not going to be fast and it is not going to be incremental.”

Demographics Shaping Modern Investment

44:32 to 45:48

Explore how younger investors are influencing financial service offerings.

“So they're coming for your traditional platforms.”

Tokenization: Strategy Over Technology

45:48 to 47:59

Delve into the strategic implications of tokenization beyond just technology.

“They hold like more digital assets than they do, you know, mutual funds.”

Challenges of Introducing Liquidity

47:59 to 52:04

Learn about the complexities and risks of introducing liquidity to non-liquid assets.

“And the other piece is, is that much of the legacy, sort of what is the bulk of business now, and then ultimately over time becomes sort of the legacy business is not going to go away.”

Institutional Interest in Tokenization

52:04 to 56:00

Discover how institutional clients are beginning to engage with tokenized assets.

“And the piece that I think is really interesting is if you talk to a portfolio manager at a private equity fund or an alternatives fund, they do not want their stuff to mark to market daily.”

The Role of Stablecoins in Commodity Trading

56:00 to 1:01:20

Discover the potential impact of stablecoins on capital management in global trading.

“Like I was like, I had never been asked to do it.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00We had a period of extraordinary change in our space, extraordinary transformation. So we had a new administration which brought in a new SEC. We got guidance from CFTC, SEC. All of a sudden, 2.0 was being rolled back. It was being investigated. We had all the pieces for institutional participation. I think that we have hit a point where much of traditional finance is beginning to understand and see the functionality that has developed in crypto markets that would be phenomenal to introduce to traditional markets. I mean, think about the way mainstream people are getting excited about perps, right?

0:39They want to get up to speed. It's been like one sort of inbound, hey, somebody from a board called and they want to know if you can come to teach in on tokenization. And I have been surprised by how much the sort of pace picked up very, very quickly.

0:54Raoul Pal:Hi, I'm Raoul Pal, and welcome to my show, The Journeyman. That journey is that journey of understanding of the nexus of macro crypto and the exponential age of technology. For me, one of the things I'm lucky with is, you know, I came out of the investment banking institutional hedge fund space. and I know a lot of people in that space and a lot of people trust Real Vision and myself with their stories because we don't sensationalize it. We ask them proper questions and we really want to find out what's going on. And they come to also find out how people think about the world and where it's going.

1:31Raoul Pal:So this time is a new guest for me. Blue, she's coming in from T. Rowe Price and she runs crypto there. She also has an institutional background and a hedge fund background. So we speak the same language. We have the same kind of understanding. And so I really wanted to pick our brains on what she's seeing from the institutional perspective, markets in general, and how she can apply her own trading past to these markets. It's going to be a fascinating conversation. Enjoy. Join me, Raoul Pal, as I go on a journey of discovery through the macro, crypto and exponential age landscapes. In The Journeyman, I talk to the smartest people in the world so we can all become smarter together.

2:20Raoul Pal:Blue, fantastic to have you on Real Vision. Thanks for having me. Great to be here. So give me, as ever, I love everybody's journey into this crazy space. how the hell did you get here give me your story so i am trained as an economist um and had always done emerging markets um fixed income rates fx i was at lehman uh in london in 2008 when we went bankrupt uh yeah and then i went to elliot where i did like liquid emerging markets which is probably not everyone else's version of liquid um and and had always just primarily done distressed debt and a lot of sovereigns. And in 2017, I was living in Brazil.

3:04My husband was the deputy governor of the central bank there. So we moved to Brazil and I was working in private equity, distressed private equity. And I had a friend who said, oh, if you need to be sending money back to the States, the best way to do it is since you're dual resident, you should do it using Bitcoin and then you can go hedge your exposure. And I did that. I hit Bloomberg mid and it took 60 minutes and I didn't have to go to tell one person. It didn't take five days. I didn't, you know, see those kinds of spreads and fees. And the light just went off and I said, oh my, why isn't everyone doing this?

3:46And so that's how I got into crypto and And coming from emerging markets debt, like I know what a sovereign balance sheet should look like, and I know what a sovereign balance sheet shouldn't look like. And until I resigned from a top 10 global private equity fund to go launch a market neutral crypto fund in 2018, and that's have a look back.

4:08Raoul Pal:And also, I found there's a lot of EMFX traders and option traders who've moved to crypto because they understand gap risk, illiquidity, volatility, information asymmetry, skew. I mean, all of it, right? It's a very similar skill set to some of that stuff. Yeah, it's interesting because you get people from all different finance backgrounds. so like you got the equities guys they look at it a certain way and then you got the commodities guys in there like they make fantastic traders in this space um but i always i always think that the people who pick it up the fastest are like our fx guys yeah that's right and to think of it as a currency is pretty useful and as you said the commodity guys because they also have to deal with volatility and that kind of stuff it kind of works for them but why the stupid idea of a market neutral fund i mean that was quite a big mix from what you were doing to that and what kind of trades were you doing then back then yeah so um i always joke i'm like the only person in crypto from the class of 2017 who's not either retired or in jail um but uh but um but basically uh it was sort of cross exchange arb it was cross exchange arb it was cross exchange arb um And then basis, which back then the spreads were so big that you could drive a truck through them.

5:36Right. And this is before you could do onshore basis. And we were registered in Brazil and with the CBM. But why market neutral? I started out as somewhat of a crypto skeptic. And I liked that crypto is the first like when you look at crypto assets, when you look at tokens, they are the very first truly 100 fungible spot commodities that can be traded simultaneously anywhere in the world wheat well there's there's ukrainian red wheat and there's kansas and you right and same with oil you get these very small they're i actually think of crypto market neutral as probably the only true like market neutral out there because the assets are fungible um And so even though I had only ever done the most directional things, like almost activist restructuring that you could do, I actually really liked being able to do this market neutral.

6:38and then made the transition to T.R.O. once I felt like the space had become robust enough, we had enough chains that you could do true directional, like you could model, you could build, you could really take different views on chains and tokens, which up until then have been a little bit like throwing that set aboard to some extent, you know?

7:02Raoul Pal:And so T.R.O., what did you come on to do and what are you doing now? So I joined to build out all of the digital assets business. So I started, we had no infrastructure. And so I built the entire sort of end to end. We have an entirely crypto native setup. We don't use any two row existing systems, except for Microsoft Outlook. So we have the same sort of operating engine and end-to-end experience, as you would expect from a totally crypto native outfit. And so built all of that. And then by 2023, we're trading 20 plus tokens internally in a portfolio. But there just wasn't a regulatory framework or a path to bringing something to market for retail.

7:54And that really only came into play in the way that we needed it to, to be able to do active investing, active multi-token investing, you know, probably a year ago. The generic listing standards was a big breakthrough.

8:09Raoul Pal:And when you first joined Turo, what was the attitude there? Were you kind of stuck in the closet and hidden away and like, don't talk to these people, they're bad people? I mean, how was it? What was the attitude? Because it's different at different firms. It is. It is. So my first day at Tiro was like July 31st, 2022. So that's like six, eight weeks before the FTX debacle began, right? And I remember the very first question that I got in an all-hands meeting when I sort of did the introduction, and then there was silence afterwards. And then someone raised their hand and they said, isn't Bitcoin just for drug dealers?

8:49And I was like, so? It's, you know, that's not really the case anymore. and it's actually more transparent to be able to trace things on chain. It's not that effective a tool for criminal activity because you can see everywhere that you're token one. But I have to say the thing that amazed me the most was the open-mindedness of people at Turo. So it's like it's a very research-oriented shop. And so when you sit down and you sort of, they're willing to be, you know, sit there and have a conversation and you lay out the case for, you know, this is what Solana does. This is the case for Bitcoin. This is what Hyperliquid does.

9:27People will follow you through that journey. And if you lay the case out and you support it with evidence, the guy who asked me if Bitcoin was for drug dealers is the holder of tokens, our new ETF, and is like one of the biggest proponents and keeps asking me when we're going to bring all these different things on chain. So like there was a willingness to learn and have an open-mindedness to like really think about changing a viewpoint, right? They weren't biased and that was really important.

9:56Raoul Pal:And actually, very useful time for you to be setting up when things are blowing up. A, you've lived that before a hundred times because you understand distressed assets, you understand how it works. you know your job has been essentially to capture those opportunities but also building your risk systems and your custody systems it's super useful to say like this is why we need kind of best in class in what we do because these are the kinds of crazy shit that happens in these markets yeah and and i had already sort of laid out the architecture for what we were going to do and how we were going to treat and all the different pieces and i was able to go my first introduction to the equities monday morning meeting was the monday after ftx they said can you can you come in and explain what happened.

10:38And I was able to say, based on the architecture that we've already presented, we would have had, we obviously would have had price market exposure to like the drop in value of assets, but we would have had zero counterparty exposure or vendor exposure. And even through January, even through everything we saw, so that daisy chain of bankruptcies and stuff through, through December, January, and that was really important. And they, they say build in a bear market. And this was building a bear market and T-Row stuck it out, right? A lot of what we've seen every other cycle as institutions, like you remember January 2018, I think the Goldman shut their entire desk, right?

11:19So you would have things like that, those cycles and T-Row didn't blink. They just said, you know, keep building, keep going. And that's an incredibly, it's an incredibly unusual thing to be in a place where they are willing to support the platform.

11:34Raoul Pal:It's bizarre that firms that are considered sort of conservative, Fidelity, T. Rowe, Franklin, have actually been the people who stuck it through. Goldman, JP Morgan, everybody else kind of built a business, pulled the plug, built a business, pulled the plug. I mean, incredible. Yeah, I think we should cut the banks a little bit of slack in that they are the regulatory environment in the U.S. became really hostile. And it was very much directed towards banks. And asset managers still had a lot of freedom and autonomy to continue to build in this space and do things. And it became an incredibly restrictive environment for banks and for broker dealers in the US.

12:18Raoul Pal:The other thing that I've observed about risk, you talk about counterparty risk, I think the space doesn't have enough financial people who've been through this before. And they don't understand that it's not necessarily your counterparty that's the problem it's their counterparty that's the problem yeah I think that um and that's in DeFi particularly you see this all of the time is people don't understand that yeah sure you know it looks like your margins everything gets sorted out in one go but systemic failure people don't understand it yeah I think that's absolutely true I think we very much saw that post FTX I think that people didn't understand And it did have visibility onto the, like sort of a look through onto the type of exposure that each entity had to all the other entities.

13:05Right. And that was a very small world of people lending to each other.

13:10Raoul Pal:I mean, I have exactly this with long term capital when I was at Goldman and they blew up. Basically, everybody's biggest client was the same client. And in this time around, everybody's biggest client was three arrows capital. Nobody knew. Exactly. And I think that we, I feel like a lot of places didn't have proper risk managers, like they hadn't brought someone in who had done it. And someone who had been through like a real serious, everybody heads for the door at the same time crisis, right? Because when we think about liquidity is great, but if nobody, you know, but it correlates to one and the door gets really small on the way out when you have a crisis and you see it in em you see it to a lesser extent in equity markets but like you see it in in em and in macro and you saw it in entire capital management right um and and when you have a massive system that in large part a big portion of it is retail operating on auto liquidation it just like adds a bunch of surprises to the mix right like It's like, surprise, guess what?

14:22Guess what happened? You're not long. So, you know, I think that people learned an incredible amount from what happened post FTX.

14:35Raoul Pal:Why do you think crypto has been struggling with attracting liquidity in this environment recently? It kind of part of it was 1010, whatever happened in October that left some residual scarring on the business overall. But since then, it's never really captured any of the upside that it normally would have captured in this kind of macro environment. I think there's a couple of things. One thing that still kind of gets under my skin and bothers me is that I don't feel like we really understand as a community. me. What happened 1010? Like, I don't, I've heard many sort of ex post explanations, because people always look for a reason.

15:21And none of them have, I don't feel like I, I've heard something where I was like, Oh, okay, that was it. That makes sense to me. At the same time, I think many people were waiting based on past experiences, past cycles, were waiting for a lot of bodies to flow to the surface, and they didn't, right? So I, and I, And I think that we're far enough along that that really is the case. I think people were hurt. I think people, you know, funds were down, probably had a lot of withdrawals. But it didn't become this sort of mass of bodies rising to the surface, which I think says a lot about the maturity of the way that people and what people learned from the last time around.

15:59When we think about why crypto has been struggling so much sort of since the fall, I think it's a couple of things. I think we had a period of extraordinary change in our space, like extraordinary transformation. So we had a new administration which brought in a new SEC. We got guidance from CFTC, SEC. All of a sudden, 2.2.0 was being rolled back. It was being investigated. We had all the pieces for institutional participation. many institutions started to understand it and sort of get what was going to be happening in terms of tokenization or on-chain finance, however you want to say it. But we had it, you know, basically from the launch of the first Bitcoin ETFs until sort of through last summer, we were on like a sugar high.

16:52We had like nonstop great news. Every time we turned around, something unprecedented was happening in crypto, right? It was, this person's doing this, or this, you know, this rule has been, you know, rolled out. We got this type of guidance. And I think that it's impossible to sustain that type of constant transformational news flow. And so I think that's part of what happened was like, we kind of came down off the sugar high. And I think that to a certain extent, even though most people in crypto, I think, have a very good sense of the intersection and the potential between crypto and AI, I think that for your marginal crypto buyer, that AI sucked a lot of air out of the room.

17:38and um when we were watching sort of the spacex ipo i think that internally we were sort of watching very carefully what was happening i was like yeah i think the marginal buyer of the spacex ipo is like a solana holder i absolutely think that like that's a guy who's gonna right you can

17:53Raoul Pal:even see it on crypto twitter the people who used to be pure crypto people are now ai and crypto people or completely moved to ai because it gets attention you can make money and people in the end And they'll just choose where they can go to make money. And that's where capital goes always. Yeah. But I also think it's been for that. I do think there's a whole subset of people who see that. I hate this work with the synergy between the relationship between AI and crypto. Machines can't use real American dollars. That's not on the table. And that's kind of the tip of the iceberg. But I think that especially for those marginal buyers, when they're thinking about, you know, adding risk, high growth tech related risk, they have been doing that in AI on the equity side rather than, you know, rather than in crypto the past year.

18:50Raoul Pal:Yeah, just for some reason, the liquidity mix wasn't good enough, I think, to have excess investment capital. So I look at excess liquidity, which is liquidity growth above GDP growth, and it hasn't been very strong. So any liquidity that's come into the market goes to the one focus of attention, which has been AI, which has been given a great return. And we just not had that liquidity cycle. And price begets price, and it brings in volume and everything else. So I think it's been an issue of that. But when I step back, and you look what's happening with the rise of stablecoins and how fast it's growing, the small but growing RWA bucket that's coming, and then the very nascent but gigantic, agentic, you know, payments and finance systems that are coming, i.e.

19:50Raoul Pal:the TAM of crypto has gone from 8 billion people to infinite agents. Yeah, I think. So the underlying is really strong. But the activity levels, because retail is not really there, it's not great yet. Every institutional player now is building something. They have an opinion. they want to do something so it's all there it's all in place to happen i think so i also um i also think that the sort of the most many of the most popular or the broadest or most mainstream like ai sort of equity plays are still largely around the narrative is very much around core infrastructure i don't think people have gotten to the potential or the application in the same way.

20:40And I think that follows. But I think it's very much about infrastructure and sort of hardware still. And I think, and I think there's, you know, it's so new that I think there's a lot of people who don't understand yet what it means. And so they're sort of doing that thing. It's like the taxi driver told me to buy NVIDIA. Like, it's that sort of top layer of things, and you have to let it mature, at which point that sort of interplay between those things will become much more clear. I think on the crypto, call it the crypto side, and this is one of the things that I always find super interesting.

21:17It kind of puzzles me is sitting in the institutional seat that I sit in, I obviously, there's a lot of tokenization discussion and then there's like the crypto investing side and the extent to which when I am having sort of industry tried to fight conversations around tokenization, the extent to which people are still separating crypto and tokenization really surprises me. We think that there is going to be, call it a trillion, call it five trillion, whatever your number is on stable coins, but like that's block space, right? Like, so where, where do we, like, to me, it's just, that's like an obvious connection.

21:59Raoul Pal:It's because I think we made a mistake because how we bootstrap, you know, we mean a two and a half trillion dollar industry into existence by being sort of divisive. It's like mine versus yours. All of this stuff built the network effects that built this space, but it ended up leaving a toxicity that people didn't like cryptocurrency but thought blockchain was a great technology. you're like actually one is just the payment rail for the use of the block space exactly yeah and and tradfi is going to and has to a large extent particularly on the asset management site going to go through like a journey where they they begin to understand that what we all learned in like in previous cycles which is why different blockchains are suited for different things and why interoperability is absolutely key.

22:56Like that this needs to be a fully interoperable space that a real estate land grab walled garden doesn't work. It doesn't sustain over time.

23:06Raoul Pal:Do you think we're running into problems with this with the stablecoin market? Because we're seeing this coalition of people on sort of their own sort of permission chains. Then we're seeing the open source ones. Then we're seeing it multi-chain. And it's like, I'm looking at this thinking, this is a mess because it's not very easy to send you a dollar, which was the whole idea, because we're kind of losing the interoperability because people are trying to capture market share without realizing you'll all have market share, just let it grow. Exactly. And also without realizing that a difficult UX, UI, is like the biggest hurdle to adoption.

23:47If we make this unpleasant.

23:49Raoul Pal:Us crypto people are kings of queens of that. We've made the worst UX and UI in existence and we still have it. I know. I like it. It's like, you know, like, you know, it's up till three o 'clock in the morning on GitHub, like trying to figure out, like Discord, trying to figure out how to get that$20 back that I like sent here by accident. I've just like now abandoned it. It's like, no, we're not scaling like this, people. Regular people will not participate and do this. Like it's going to be a real issue with stablecoins. We have to, if we're saying it's, we say to people like, this is amazing.

24:19Like you can just boom, like, you know, pay. It needs to feel like that for them. And we need to make it like that. And I think that we will get there. I always, and this is like totally dating myself, but I feel like the way that I look at stablecoins right now in the phase that we're in is that it's a lot like when we like went from cable to screen streaming and it was like cable it was like you just turn on the tv and you could go through the channels and it had a menu and you could see what was on and you could yeah it was like super user friendly um and then we went to super fragmented streaming and now it's like there'll be a show and i want to watch it and i can't remember which of the 12 streaming services like and i'm like oh but i canceled that but now i like now i need to sign back up for it because now move streaming services and that's what stable coins are like right now that's not going to help us grow.

25:09And I think that, and I think to a large extent, the winner is going to be the person who is able to abstract away the backend and bridging and all of the things that crypto people are willing to do that the average consumer is not. And that's how you're going to sort of become that market leader.

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25:28Raoul Pal:Yeah, I mean, I've talked about this. It's like, I don't know what computer you're on, what Wi-Fi network you're on, what operating system you're running. It doesn't matter. It just works. I click, you know, open on the video and you pop up and you don't know my end. So it needs to be that. That's interoperable. Yeah. And it needs to be seamless. For the most part, crypto has matured to a point where everybody who is going to get here through code is already here. Everybody who is going to get here through like sort of hardcore tech, they're already here. and they're willing to brave the, you know, discord at two o 'clock in the morning, whatever it is.

26:05I totally get that I'm not your typical crypto demographic. I'm okay with that. But I'm a middle-aged mom of three and I'm pretty willing to show up and try things. So like I run my entire family cell phone plan. We moved it all to Helium. Like, you know, I have a hive mapper and then au pair's car. like the whole thing. I'm about as crypto forward as you get for, you know, among the mom set. And you're not going to find that with the rest of the people. And so we are not making products, products, apps, utility interface that brings the marginal non-tech, hardcore tech person in, there is no path to adoption.

26:55No, no.

26:57Raoul Pal:Because in the end, it should be the rails for the entire financial system and a bunch of other things like identity and provenance. And there's a whole bunch of things that we've kind of even stalled on right now because nobody's really talking about identity properly. With all of the AI going on, it should be top of mind. people have stopped with the whole idea of web 3 the read write own idea that's stalled as well yeah um it's just a little sad i like i hope it picks back up but um but yeah no we have saw like we've solved on a lot of those things um identity and often the way that i explain it internally is blockchain is not great for everything it's not perfect for everything um there are plenty things that can and should be done on a database, right?

27:43Blockchain is fantastic for anything that is complex, difficult, or needs to be securely moved, transferred, and represented across internal and external parties, right? And that's a huge swath of things, like the identity piece um is critical and like yeah I've become very I become increasingly concerned about yeah I just become more and more concerned about AI pretty much every day but um but I just don't understand how we're not working more focused on identity I went through this realization what was

28:24Raoul Pal:coming in 2021. And I got together some of the kind of senior folks at Amazon, Meta, LinkedIn, Microsoft, which is LinkedIn as well. Who else? A whole bunch of them. And I got them on the call and said, listen, you're all kind of working on the crypto side in those big Google as well. And I said, listen, AI is coming. We desperately need digital ID. And it needs to be on chain. It needs to have a provenance, all of that. They said, absolutely. I said, because what is going to happen is we're going to have fake content looking like me, doing stuff that I've not sanctioned. And it's going to be the Wild West.

29:09Raoul Pal:And you guys are going to get sued like the banks did after 2008. And you'll be sued for a decade over this. And they're like, yes. And I said, so let's get together and build a common standard. And they said, we'd love to, but we're never going to agree each other's credentials. They don't want improbability. So Microsoft was saying, we're not going to take Amazon's credentialization. And I'm like, can you not agree something? No. So I said, do you understand where this leads is you will end up getting sued. And they're like, yeah. Yeah. I mean, that's really incredible. But not surprising, right?

29:48Not surprising, but I will add that to the list of other things that concern me, right? This growing list. But I also think it concerns me that I think many regular people who are outside this industry or outside AI or maybe even outside finance are not deeply and profoundly concerned about AI. I feel like the general public hasn't gotten to the point where they know to sue yet.

30:15Raoul Pal:They just have no clue of how far this has gone and how urgently important it is. And government's too slow for AI. I mean, we were used to Metcalfe's law in crypto, which was fast. You know, to go through that exponential curve is quite something. This is that squared. It's Reed's law. The first example doesn't appear in biology. It's happening in AI. I mean, it's staggering. And so no government can keep up with this. No, especially not our government, not the US government. But yeah, I think it's a little terrifying. One of my portfolio managers was like the leading analyst. It's good. We really balance each other out.

30:59But he has a master's in AI. And probably every fourth phone call, you know, every fourth call, we wind up like steering off into AI. And then I'm like, I like, stop, we have to like, we have to put a lid on it because I'm not gonna be able to sleep tonight. And I'm just going to be terrified about this like end of days. And, um, you know, and we saw the breakout, we saw that we saw the rogue attack. And I was like, so what you're saying is that the AI broke out, broke out in order to cheat on its homework. I was like, so tell me AI is like a teenager without telling me it's a teenager, but it's, um, the element of self-reporting that is required by the AI firms.

31:46Like, they share with us, okay, this has happened. Something's escaped the lab. And the fact that it's like sort of a voluntary self-reporting.

31:59Raoul Pal:Well, how else are you going to do it? It's moving too fast. I mean, you see the new frontier model every two weeks right now. Yeah. and from my measurements compounding, intelligence is compounding. It's like doubling every five months, the efficiency of intelligence output. There's no way. We've never dealt with anything like this. I mean, the only way to do it is have a holy shit moment. Guys, guys, this is what's happened to us, which is what they're doing. Elon spoke about this last week. He's like, what are we supposed to do here? All we can do is kind of tell each other we've got a problem with something.

32:38Raoul Pal:Tell the U.S. government and say, listen, or we've got, and you're seeing OpenAI doing it now and anthropically forwards, like, okay, we've got a new class of model. This is a lot more powerful. You guys need to check it out first. And in the end, the U.S. government will get to use it for a month or three months first to use it for their own needs. And then you release the model. Yeah, I mean, I think it just, but I think that we should all be, I'm going to sound like a crazy person, we should all be very suspicious, right? That it is all sort of self-reported and the assumption is that they're reporting things that are, like they're letting people know when something important has happened and something's escaped the lab, right?

33:21but there's a huge element of trust there that I don't I personally am don't really have at this point and I so I you know and I don't I don't know that there's a solution I don't I don't think there's any way to successfully or coherently or intelligently regulate it at a government level I mean I just don't think that that's a true option in a feasible way

33:44Raoul Pal:and there's so much game theory at play here I mean don't forget anthropic is the largest fastest scaling of revenues in any company in human history the game is so big and then it's the game of the us versus china that it becomes when i look at it from sort of game theory perspectives impossible to stop it is and it's a horrible outcome from a game theory perspective like it it's getting to the worst possible place as as quickly as humanly possible as quickly as possible by machine right it's that that combination so knowing in like a game theory context it's a terrifying outcome which is one of the things that keeps me up at night um but uh you know i so i i just um i think i selectively like choose to put my blinders back on and i go back to my like go back to my world because i don't you know what else what else do you do i'm the opposite i just kind of throw myself into it and say well we're along for the ride it's going to happen there's nothing i or you or any government or anybody can do about this even elon said he said i tried i gave up i just joined it and it's like so this is the most extraordinary time in human history to be alive we've birthed intelligence that is beyond our own and we're going to put agi into physical form into robots.

35:08Raoul Pal:And we are not ready for this because we're going to have smarter, stronger, faster, cheaper intelligence carriers with dexterity. And they're going to be scalable beyond anything we understand. And that's three years away. And no ethical, no ethical boundaries, right? um like optimizing without ethics is a terrifying idea i mean that's the piece that scares me right i mean if if you could if there was a way to include the ethics i mean without going off the deep end of all of this what are our ethics versus chinese ethics versus somebody else's ethics what ethics are these things going to have themselves the point being my my point being is I think all layers of intelligence are built upon each other and they, you need a symbiosis.

36:02Raoul Pal:Like we, if we destroy the planet, which is the layer of intelligence beneath us, we're dead. And if AI kills us, it's dead because you need the kind of compute of all the other layers. So it's a longer conversation about this stuff, but it is. It's not going to kill us. Now, one of the things I remember sort of at the fairly early on during the Iran conflict, there was a there was an Imperial War College study that was released on like AI across models participating in war games. Like nine out of 10, they like go nuclear. Like they haven't like and they get there within like three or four steps.

36:44that's like becomes the optimal outcome is always they just like go straight for the nuclear weapons and and it was across models um and and then even when you tried to input like you know this is bad for humans like like you would kill you know x many innocent people civilians that no didn't matter and that to me is like is is that piece that you can't to me it's still a leap of faith We don't wind up killing off the intelligence layer underneath us, which is a very dark thing to say, I think. Sorry.

37:20Raoul Pal:So a quick break in your regular programming. If you're serious about your future, grab my free report called Prepare for 2030. I think you've got five years to make as much money as possible. And this guide will help you navigate what's coming. The link is in the description. Download it now. Yeah. Yeah. I don't know. I just, I'm much more optimistic about the whole thing. While I see the risks, I think normally the good outcome is the one that prevails. Humans are pretty messy creatures anyway, or pretty messy compute. We like killing each other. We like taking each other's resources. We do all sorts of weird things anyway, which most other animals don't do, but we do.

38:04Yeah, I mean, I...

38:08Raoul Pal:But we haven't managed to destroy everything is the point. Correct. I was at Lehman during the bankruptcy. And then I went on to do distressed debt. And I come from like a debt, like a fixed income debt background, not an equity. Equity people are like, it's going to be okay. Let's all look on the upside. It'll be fantastic. You know, like everybody will have lots of extra time because the AI is doing your work. And I'm like, the machines are going to kill us all. That's like the fixed income. That's like where fixed income people go. and especially distressed people are like you know like it's like armageddon is where you go well because i was the same in macro i made all of my money in bear markets and i had to retrain my entire thinking process when i realized that this this kind of technological trend because i kind of scoffed at nasdaq and stuff and like oh these guys are all kind of they're smoking the hopium and then after a while i realized that i was so wrong and i actually had to flip my entire mindset from looking for crashes to looking for buying opportunities and looking forward to when the market fell uh it was hard exactly exactly i am i had a cio um at elliot and he used to always say the most expensive thing you can be in our business is rigid and it's like it's so true like you have to be able to sort of take the opposite view you need to be able to push yourself, you cannot get wedded to a position or viewpoint or an outlook where you just can't, like, it's just too expensive to be rigid, right?

39:47That's the most important lesson, I think, that, like, I learned in that process.

39:52Raoul Pal:So when you're looking out across crypto markets, which have been kind of low volatility, sort of boring sideways markets for a while now, where are we, where's the opportunity? So I think... On the investing side, not the building side, yeah. Yeah, I think I very much like and continue to see a lot of opportunity in, I'm going to call it, on-chain finance, on-chain RWA slash tokenization slash on-chain finance, like the whole umbrella. Yeah. And. And this is also actually, I think, part of one of the reasons that markets haven't been great the past year is I think that we told told people for ages, institutions are coming, institutions are coming.

40:39everybody's going to tokenize everything institutions are coming and then we said oh my god the institutions are here because we've got like you know big announcements people are doing this people are doing that and and they haven't i think the average sort of investor or the person in the crypto market has not seen that translate into like increased network throughput increase right um which is try to move super slow like institutions are here and institutions are building we're just not fast right um and and crypto markets are not necessarily that patient. And I think they've not known for their patients.

41:13And so we haven't seen it translate. But it is so clear to me the extent to which things are moving on chain. So all anybody wants to talk about is how we're getting to 24-7 trading in US equities. And guess what? You know how that's going to happen it's got to be on chain because people don't understand that the dtcc clears

41:42Raoul Pal:i don't know a quadrillion two quadrillion stupid numbers this is what's coming for block space is all of this and there's like there's a lot of work to be done right like these are these are all sort of like people are figuring out the pilots and like they you know there's it's a slower process, especially when we talk about sort of functioning mainstream traditional markets, being able to transition on chain, everything has to be done as like a sidecar, as a pilot, because you can't mess with the stuff that actually works and like literally powers the global economy. So you can't tinker with it while it's in action.

42:16So it's got to be over here and separate. And you have a bunch of firms, again, much like your example of all of those like big tech firms, they have to come together and you have to agree industry standards, right? So you You have dozens of broker-dealers, you have dozens of asset managers, you have so many different people who have to come together and agree on what that industry standard looks like and how we sort of do that collectively in order to transition. And so it's not going to be fast and it is not going to be incremental. It will be experimental and then sort of all at once. but between that so it's like payments tokenization like chain suited for for tokenization i love you know hyperliquid um i think the number of phone calls that i've gotten from sort of traditional hedge fund managers or cios they're saying like oh yeah like oh i hadn't spoken them in six months and they're like hey so i'm watching this hype what do you think about this hype stuff You know, so I think that we have hit a point where much of traditional finance is beginning to understand and see the functionality that has developed in crypto markets that would be phenomenal to introduce to traditional markets.

43:41I mean, think about think about the way mainstream people are getting excited about perps. Right. Think about the way. Right. So all of these prediction markets.

43:50Raoul Pal:I mean, that's one good thing is I've seen, to see the rate of innovation and speed of adoption that Robinhood has been doing. Vlad has done an astonishing job there, astonishing how fast they're moving. And that's pushing everybody else to move faster. It's pushing Coinbase to try and move faster because they're pretty slow for what should be a more nimble organization. and then it's causing others to as well, which is good. And that came from hype. Vlad is obviously very aware of hype and everything else. But yeah, it's coming, but it's coming from retail again. It is. And I'm a huge fan of Robinhood.

44:30And what is fascinating is they are transforming both sides of the aisle. So they're coming for everybody, right? So they're coming for your traditional platforms. They're coming for your crypto side. So they are applying pressure on both sides and have accelerated movement on both sides, on the TradFi side and on the sort of FinTech crypto side.

44:59Raoul Pal:And the wealth management side and the asset management side all at the same time. It's like... Yeah, and their customer base is maturing, right? So they're starting to move into like, okay, well, how do we offer services for people who are now maybe married and have kids or like are actually thinking about retirement. And so they are expanding into that territory, historically very much dominated by more traditional shops and more traditional platforms. And like when you look at the numbers, like one of the things that's just absolutely amazing and it's consistent study after study after study is the way that the demographics split on sort of who has traditional brokerage accounts and who has like a FinTech, right, app account.

45:44And as you skew younger or more people, like their first experience is digital. They hold like more digital assets than they do, you know, mutual funds. All of these different things. And it's been really interesting to see that demographic component sort of play out very much through Robinhood. And I think that the pressure it's putting on the rest of the industry in all directions is fantastic for the industry in terms of evolving.

46:16Raoul Pal:What is it? What signal do you take from that from what you should be doing at Tiro? You know, because you have retail, you have institutional products, you have all of the things. What signal do you get from all of this that you need to do? Because on one hand, you're crypto native and you'll want to move faster. The other hand, it's quite difficult to move. But this product innovation can come. there's a lot of kind of complexity in this it is um i think it's so we have um we're also sort of in the midst of of really being thoughtful about how we approach tokenization um and up until now so for the first several years when you saw like 28 2018 2019 like sort From all the way through probably last year, the technology continued to get faster, more efficient, cheaper.

47:09So essentially, you could now tokenize something. What would have cost you$15 million, 100 people in two and a half years to do four years ago, you can, I always say, if it's like a Build-A-Bear workshop or whatever, and it's like you can go to Securitize, you'd be like, boop, boop, boop, boop, boop, and this chain, and it does this, and boom, boom, boop, and out pops the tokenized fund. So tokenization as a service has really advanced, which makes it a really interesting question, which is why are you tokenizing what you're tokenizing? Like, who are you trying to reach? What do they want? It is a tool.

47:43And so it is much more about thinking through who you are trying to reach in the right type of product for them, rather than saying like, oh, it's like a huge, it's not an ops conversation. It's not a tech conversation. It's a business strategy conversation. them. And the other piece is, is that much of the legacy, sort of what is the bulk of business now, and then ultimately over time becomes sort of the legacy business is not going to go away. You can still go out and write and mail a paper check in the mail if you want to, like you could get out a checkbook and send someone a check. And the whole thing, I mean, somebody asked, like, we were buying a house and I had to find a check.

48:29And I was like, Like, oh my God, I think I had to call the bank and be like, can you issue me new checks? But, because who has that anymore? I can't remember the last time I wrote a check. Yeah, exactly, right? You're like, where's my checkbook? I was like, and you can still do that. And banks, it is still going to be probably decades before banks eliminate that capability, even though nobody uses it, but you can't just mothball it. So you have to maintain these things that sort of phase out as legacy. modes of operation. But one of the things I'm very much focused on is thinking through when people operate on-chain and when people prefer a 24-7 on-chain experience, people who are used to trading from their phone, who are used to settling instantly, who are surprised when they find a mutual fund and the money's not there for three days, they think something went wrong and they're calling in, right?

49:29What do those people want to invest in?

49:32Raoul Pal:But what's also weird is I see the other way around, which is, what can I force down the throats of retail investors by tokenizing? Because I've run out of buyers for credit funds or private credit and stuff like that, right? And I worry there's a mismatch. It's like, I've never met a real estate guy who has not said I'm interested in tokenization. But on the other side, I've never met a retail investor who really cares about buying tokens on a share of some illiquid building in wherever, but they're just looking like they just want to dump their assets into a new market. So we've got to be careful.

50:13Raoul Pal:I think the point being is who are you developing product for, why and how? There's real innovation, real opportunity, but it's not just tokenizing everything that exists no and i i mean i do think that's important i mean i think people people have since the dawn of time tried to introduce liquidity into things where there is no liquidity yeah we see that a lot every time every time in fact it blows up in the end yes and it just can't be done i think um there is that question of like oh well this is you know this is how we reach these like additional marginal retail investors who want who want juicy yield and we put it in a tokenized format and one of two things happens.

50:58You either don't change the underlying terms and conditions of what is a non-marketable fund, i.e. like it's a quarterly or monthly redemption and there's a gating and that is how those funds work and that's how they should work and that's how they're able to generate the returns they do. It is that sticky capital structure.

51:13Raoul Pal:And you can put that in a smart contract. You totally can. But then people need to understand that that is what they are getting. Just because it came out of blockchain doesn't mean that it changes the underlying. Or what's even more concerning is people will buy that, right, and structure it in such a way that they are packaging the economic interest, right, and they are essentially trying to create a secondary market where you don't have an abstract every day, where you don't know what the underlying value is. And I think we'll see. That doesn't end well, especially when you introduce infinite looping.

51:55Then it becomes like a real powder keg. But you are going to wind up, this is where people introduce counterparty risks and take on counterparty risks that they don't know about or don't understand. around. And the piece that I think is really interesting is if you talk to a portfolio manager at a private equity fund or an alternatives fund, they do not want their stuff to mark to market daily. No, no. Right? Like that's a big part of what they do. That's right.

52:26Raoul Pal:It is to have a zero volatility structure with things that actually volatile underneath is the arbitrage. Exactly. And then they don't want to send an investor letter to like every guy who held the token for 30 seconds one day. I mean, they don't like, right? Like you get an investor letter is like stamped to you. Like they are very protective of that intellectual property of the underlying, like of what their activity is, which is not a fair use. It's how that type of investment works. And so I wonder if we at some point see pushback from the actual PMs themselves. but you just can't safely introduce liquidity where it doesn't exist.

53:09Raoul Pal:No, but anything with liquidity, anything fixed income related that's relatively liquid, you know, yield products, fantastic. You know, a lot of those products are going to be better than, as you said, the looped, you know, yield farming products that are on DeFi. And people can then have a choice about where they get yield from, what the risk factor is, all of equities anything basically homogenous should be on chain it's the fastest most efficient way of transferring and custodying assets you know all of that should come um but we don't have to tokenize illiquid real estate um as the first thing yeah and it's funny because still when you see like still oftentimes people say um oh well like one of the main sort of compelling arguments for tokenization it brings like it brings greater accessibility and liquidity to illiquid asset classes.

54:00And it was like, well, it brings greater accessibility and the illusion of greater liquidity, but it doesn't actually create liquidity where there is none, right?

54:07Raoul Pal:And are you finding that there are now institutional clients who will take tokenized stuff? So, you know, like, you know, I talk to Sandy Call a lot. She's a good friend at Franklin. And, you know, it takes a while because you tokenize some yield products. And now you've got to get your customers to actually buy it because they're not retail-led, they're institutional-led. So they have to then build the crypto rails to actually get used to this stuff. I mean, everyone's doing it, but it's slow, right? It is slow. It is slow, and it's a lot of education, right? When you think about sort of the due diligence rubric that any of those sort of, especially at the institutional level, any of the terms would go through, it's a big lift.

54:54one of the things that I have found really interesting is I want to say over the past six months I have probably done 15 or 20 board presentations on tokenization and staple coins so what kind of companies like very like our large institutional um our large institutional clients so we have a a very very big part of it so we're 1.8 trillion dollar asset manager a large portion are retirement assets where we had, you know, people have 401ks and we administer the retirement program. And what is happening is that these companies, their boards are like hearing about tokenization and like it's become like a buzzword and they're sort of not really sure what it means and they want to get up to speed.

55:39And there has been a real movement for different, and it's all independent of each other. It's been like one sort of inbound, hey, somebody from a board called and they want to know if you can come do a teaching on tokenization. And I have been surprised by how much the sort of pace picked up very, very quickly. Like I was like, I had never been asked to do it. Six months ago, it was asked the first time.

56:04Raoul Pal:And then it's just like, I imagine that the treasury operations of large corporations are also, I mean, I spoke to, I don't know, a whole bunch of them in the past. And they were starting to get interested in this. And the other people who are so obvious to me, and it's not really happened yet, is the massive commodity trading firms. Because they have assets tied up in Angola to Tanzania to French New Guinea, all sorts of places. And they've got capsule controls to get around. They've got vast amounts of money sloshing around. And they might as well just have an internal stablecoin rails. And they can move money around from entity to entity.

56:48Raoul Pal:no problem. I'm surprised that's not happened at scale yet. That one does surprise me as well. Brazil has started doing it. Brazil is actually unbelievably crypto forward. It does not get enough credit, but incredibly crypto forward. I actually have a friend who's a head trader for LATAM for one of the like very big commodities firms um and he's in a trading role obviously and and a few different times i've been like why aren't you guys using so like i what is the rationale like are you guys having conversations about it like are you like are you thinking about it but you just haven't gotten there or and and he's like nope nope we're not nobody's looking at it um well well well louis drafus and a bunch of the soft commodity houses have did it in 2017 they basically or 16 they basically use smart contracts now for all the letters of credit the shipping the whole lot so they can move this stuff around really fast but it's not taken off elsewhere yet it's bizarre yeah um there was actually like a i don't know if you remember there's a really interesting it was city it was city and it was um trade financing and they had the smart contract triggered by i'm gonna forget which canal but whatever canal it was um they like it was triggered by the gps like essentially like the the oracle brought in that um the ship had passed through the canal based on like the gps reading so that was like the verification and then the trade financing was released in to me um especially especially when you have um multi-jurisdictional pieces uh and the cost of capital is so high internally as a result i don't understand why there hasn't been a greater adoption there in my previous life as an equity derivative salesman And early in my career, Cargill were one of our clients because they run this huge balance sheet and have so much excess capital.

59:08Raoul Pal:And one of the things they were doing was doing something in South Africa and they get stuck with rand that they couldn't move. At the time, there was the dual rand system, the financial rand, the commercial. And so we used to do the index arb for them because they would be stuck with this capital. And it was a way of getting capital out. All of these things they have to do. And I'm like, all of this could just go so quickly now. I know. And yeah, I mean, like you look at historically like Argentina with the blue ship swap raid, the same thing. Yeah, it's it is interesting. I mean, I don't know why more firms haven't adopted it as a really effective internal cash management tool.

59:46And I wonder if it's more so that the people who are typically in those roles are not, their coverage from like Southside banks is just not in a position yet to be pitching those as products. Like there's not an opportunity there that they can capitalize on yet.

1:00:08Raoul Pal:And there's always somebody being paid to therefore recycle the capsule in a different way. so there's somebody making the money out of this arbitrage in South Africa or you know so I mean they're very smart people as we know they figure out how to get their cost of capital down as low as possible so there's a bunch of people's jobs that don't want that to happen I guess as well yes exactly right so I mean they'd be cannibalizing their own their own business um but yeah it's you know it's usually you're especially when you have a huge like multi so you know uh multinational global sort of conglomerate that does something that operates across so many different, you know, 20 different currencies.

1:00:45And they have enormous sell side, like bank relationships. And those are the people who are sort of constantly coming through the door, pitching them on cash management and all of the tools. And I think that maybe, it may be the case that stable coins are not in that arsenal yet.

1:01:02Raoul Pal:Well, because you make more money selling currency options. Of course. Exactly. Of course. So if you're watching from a large global multinational company, please call us and we'll do a walkthrough on why you should be doing this with open interoperable stable coins, and you're going to save a ton of money and time. Blue, listen, fabulous conversation. Really enjoyed it. I think we could have talked a lot longer, but let's see where this goes. It would be nice to get a bit of liquidity back in crypto because I think we've all taken our penance for getting overexcited. earlier, as you said. And maybe it's our time again soon.

1:01:39I think so. I think so. Thank you so much for having me. It was such a pleasure to talk today.

1:01:44Raoul Pal:Yeah, fantastic. We'll get you back on at some point and catch up with where you are. Sounds good. What I love about somebody like Blue is this commonality of language of understanding. She's lived through the emerging market crisis. She understands the lens with which to look through crypto. It's volatile. It's nascent. It's an emerging market itself. It's a frontier market. And so once you use that lens, you understand it better. But she really understands the space itself and also where it should go, where it's going. She shares the frustrations and also the joy of seeing where it is today.

1:02:18Raoul Pal:But I really enjoy these conversations. I hope you did too. And I'll see you next time. You obviously enjoyed the episode because you're here with me at the end. But listen, don't forget to go to realvision.com forward slash join and grab a free membership. It's an incredible community packed with alpha, great investment ideas, and the research that you need to help you unfuck your future. So get started now. Go to realvision.com forward slash join.

From the publisher

Raoul Pal welcomes Blue Macellari, head of digital assets at T. Rowe Price, to explore why crypto has struggled despite improving fundamentals, and how AI, stablecoins, tokenization, and institutional adoption could reshape the financial system. They also discuss the risks around AI, crypto infrastructure, and what needs to change for on-chain finance to reach mainstream adoption. Recorded August 10, 2026.

Today’s sponsor is Plus500 US. Take your trading to the next level with cross-market contracts, from precious metals to key indices, and more. Whether you’re a seasoned trader in the Futures arena or brand new, Plus500’s user-friendly trading platform offers you the advanced tools, market insights, and quick execution you’ve been looking for. Get started with Plus500 for as little as $100 at https://us.plus500.com. Trading in futures involves the risk of loss.

Timestamps:
00:00 - Why Institutional Crypto Adoption Is Accelerating
02:20 - Blue Macellari’s Journey From Wall Street to Crypto
05:09 - Building a Crypto Fund Through Market Neutral Trading
07:07 - Building T. Rowe Price’s Digital Assets Business
11:35 - What Traditional Finance Learned From the Crypto Crisis
14:35 - Why Crypto Markets Have Struggled Despite Better Fundamentals
18:10 - AI vs Crypto: Where Is the Capital Going?
21:05 - Tokenization, Stablecoins, and the Future of On-Chain Finance
23:36 - Crypto’s Biggest Barrier to Mainstream Adoption
27:26 - Why Blockchain Identity Matters in the Age of AI
30:16 - The Risks of AI, AGI, and the Intelligence Explosion
39:51 - Where Blue Sees Opportunity in Crypto Now
43:15 - Hyperliquid, Perps, and TradFi’s Growing Interest in Crypto
46:40 - How Tokenization Could Transform Asset Management
49:32 - The Hidden Risks of Tokenizing Illiquid Assets
54:07 - Why Institutions Are Finally Embracing Tokenization
56:05 - Stablecoins and the Future of Global Payments
01:01:22 - Will Liquidity Finally Return to Crypto?

🔥 *Download Raoul Pal's 4-year investing roadmap for free:* https://rvtv.io/41fVHWF
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